NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	108		Excitement	6.2 [575]		MVP	Sam Hauser (BOS): +18.0%
Boston Celtics	114		Comeback	1.2 [1088]		LVP	John Collins (UTA): -10.4%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brice Sensabaugh	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09	0.21	0.00	0.12	11	96%	0.14	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Walker Kessler	0.07	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.05	0.01	7	58%	0.10	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01
Isaiah Collier	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	5	67%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Cody Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.01	4	62%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Juzang	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Filipowski	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	8	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
KJ Martin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Svi Mykhailiuk	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.00	-0.01	0.04	8	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Collin Sexton	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	-0.01	-0.04	16	47%	0.06	6	-0.13	2	100%	0.00
John Collins	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0.08,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1	-0.03	-0.06	0.02	30	45%	-0.02	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.02

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Hauser	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.23	0.00	0.06	23	69%	0.18	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jaylen Brown	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.01	0.12	0.00	20	51%	0.19	3	-0.06	11	91%	-0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.02	0.09	-0.01	9	56%	0.16	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Derrick White	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.07	0.07	0.04	-0.01	-0.04	16	51%	0.08	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Torrey Craig	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	5	60%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Luke Kornet	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.01	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Baylor Scheierman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Neemias Queta	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.03	4	100%	0.05	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Payton Pritchard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	11	36%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	1.8	23.2	14.6	24.2	1.7	35.0	126.9
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.1	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +37.7%

BOS +3.8%

UTA -2.8%

BOS +10.5%

BOS +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	BOS	NBA	UTA	BOS	NBA
this game	14.1	15.0	14.4	110.2	114.0	113.1
season	14.8	15.2		109.6	118.8
opponent	14.4	13.7		109.5	119.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	14.1	14.8	15.0	12.0	14.1
BOS	13.6	15.2	12.1	19.8	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cody Williams	33	32	0.12	-0.62	0.75	-0.29	14	-20	34	13.5	14.3	-0.85	16.6	14.3	2.35
Brice Sensabaugh	50	53	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.40	10	-16	26	13.0	15.1	-2.15	15.8	14.2	1.62
Kyle Filipowski	34	37	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.20	2	-8	10	13.8	14.2	-0.39	14.6	15.3	-0.65
KJ Martin	31	32	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.08	-8	2	-10	14.3	14.0	0.30	12.3	16.3	-4.04
Svi Mykhailiuk	47	48	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.04	-9	3	-12	14.1	14.0	0.19	13.6	16.3	-2.66
Johnny Juzang	39	40	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.07	-13	7	-20	15.7	13.0	2.68	14.3	15.5	-1.26
John Collins	67	68	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.41	2	-8	10	14.0	14.3	-0.30	16.3	12.3	4.04
Walker Kessler	64	62	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.12	-8	2	-10	14.2	13.8	0.39	15.3	14.6	0.73
Collin Sexton	67	71	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.31	-6	0	-6	13.8	14.6	-0.77	14.9	15.2	-0.30
Isaiah Collier	58	57	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.08	-14	8	-22	14.4	13.5	0.85	15.2	14.8	0.38

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jaylen Brown	80	79	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.03	17	-11	28	14.6	16.8	-2.21	13.9	14.6	-0.72
Jrue Holiday	65	65	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.05	15	-9	24	15.0	15.0	0.00	13.9	14.3	-0.33
Derrick White	74	73	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.40	3	3	0	15.8	13.0	2.80	14.2	13.6	0.61
Luke Kornet	59	60	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.09	13	-7	20	15.5	14.4	1.13	14.5	13.3	1.16
Sam Hauser	73	74	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.05	13	-7	20	14.9	15.3	-0.42	13.9	14.5	-0.65
Neemias Queta	39	36	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.25	-5	11	-16	14.7	15.2	-0.51	13.8	14.2	-0.39
Payton Pritchard	54	53	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.16	-4	10	-14	14.7	15.4	-0.63	13.8	14.3	-0.44
Baylor Scheierman	28	25	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.30	-11	17	-28	14.9	15.1	-0.24	14.3	14.0	0.31
Torrey Craig	28	25	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.30	-11	17	-28	14.9	15.1	-0.24	14.3	14.0	0.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.62,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.66,0.72,0.83,0.81,0.81,0.89,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.92,0.88,0.83,0.8,0.64,0.85,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 86, CHI 94	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.61,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.77,0.87,0.85,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.92,0.98,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.9,0.86,0.72,0.91,0.96,1	94.5%
OKC 100, DEN 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.78,0.87,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.87,0.95,0.95,0.91,0.94,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.95,0.9,0.72,0.97,1,1	94.4%
POR 115, TOR 117	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.54,0.66,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.81,0.74,0.85,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.87,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.72,0.85,0.98,1	93.8%