inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 100 Excitement5.5 [721] MVPSebastian Telfair (OKC): +18.7%
Denver Nuggets 107 Comeback1.4 [998] LVPReggie Jackson (OKC): -13.9%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Sebastian Telfair0.190,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.200.010.027129%0.211-0.0300%0.00
Serge Ibaka0.110,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.110.100.030.021567%0.162-0.05367%-0.01
Steven Adams0.070,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.060.010.01373%0.0700.00540%-0.04
Andre Roberson0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.01-0.00-0.01437%0.0100.0000%0.00
Anthony Morrow0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0-0.00-0.01-0.01950%0.021-0.022100%0.01
Nick Collison-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.010.01-0.010.01546%-0.0100.00333%-0.02
Jeremy Lamb-0.020,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.01-0.020.01567%0.042-0.052100%0.01
Lance Thomas-0.040,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.010.01837%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Kendrick Perkins-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.09-0.020.00330%-0.033-0.08475%0.00
Reggie Jackson-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.10-0.06-0.022035%-0.121-0.026100%0.03

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Wilson Chandler0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.19,0.19,0.190.190.110.090.011562%0.211-0.02450%-0.01
Timofey Mozgov0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.120.030.00789%0.192-0.045100%0.02
Nate Robinson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.060.010.003100%0.0700.0000%0.00
Darrell Arthur0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.050.01-0.00664%0.0600.002100%0.01
JaVale McGee0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.010.00550%0.0200.002100%0.01
Kenneth Faried0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.010.01747%0.021-0.02367%-0.01
Ty Lawson0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.00-0.001350%0.042-0.05475%0.00
Randy Foye0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.010.01667%0.042-0.0500%0.00
Arron Afflalo0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.01-0.011543%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Danilo Gallinari0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.01533%-0.0100.00250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.01.627.015.523.71.733.3128.7
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +24.8%
DEN +7.6%
DEN +7.6%
DEN +7.9%
DEN +2.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCDENNBAOKCDENNBA
this game17.415.715.1113.6124.4104.2
season14.514.6105.7103.4
opponent15.315.0106.6103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
OKC19.018.118.414.217.4
DEN13.817.013.518.515.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Andre Roberson13120.04-0.540.57-0.053-101319.017.11.8513.716.0-2.22
Anthony Morrow5251-0.04-0.460.41-0.3711-182916.319.1-2.8116.115.01.17
Kendrick Perkins4544-0.12-0.380.27-0.203-101317.517.40.0915.316.0-0.71
Nick Collison3935-0.18-0.320.14-0.15-1-6516.518.1-1.6315.515.8-0.35
Sebastian Telfair5454-0.23-0.270.04-0.323-101316.518.9-2.4816.314.51.80
Lance Thomas3736-0.28-0.22-0.060.04-114-1518.017.01.0014.416.6-2.19
Steven Adams3131-0.32-0.18-0.130.04-125-1718.616.81.8915.315.9-0.63
Jeremy Lamb3737-0.36-0.14-0.230.05-147-2118.516.71.7915.316.0-0.69
Serge Ibaka6666-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.27-6-1-517.716.61.1116.114.31.78
Reggie Jackson6664-0.560.06-0.61-0.23-114-1517.517.00.5016.114.31.87

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Wilson Chandler48500.57-0.070.630.1315-82315.016.4-1.4117.916.81.11
Timofey Mozgov64650.440.060.390.189-21115.416.4-0.9417.916.01.98
Ty Lawson64650.440.060.390.189-21115.416.4-0.9417.916.01.98
Kenneth Faried53540.440.060.380.0613-61915.316.3-0.9918.915.03.94
Arron Afflalo58590.380.120.270.2161515.815.40.3518.714.83.92
Randy Foye28290.120.38-0.270.0916-515.415.8-0.3514.818.7-3.92
Darrell Arthur33340.060.44-0.380.24-613-1916.315.30.9915.018.9-3.94
JaVale McGee22230.060.44-0.390.11-29-1116.415.40.9416.017.9-1.98
Nate Robinson22230.060.44-0.390.11-29-1116.415.40.9416.017.9-1.98
Danilo Gallinari3838-0.070.57-0.630.17-815-2316.415.01.4116.817.9-1.11


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.78,0.87,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.87,0.95,0.95,0.91,0.94,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.95,0.9,0.72,0.97,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAC 100, SEA 1090.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.64,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.85,0.84,0.84,0.91,0.91,0.97,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.88,0.92,0.85,0.96,0.91,0.91,0.89,0.93,0.98,0.99,194.4%
MEM 86, CHI 940.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.61,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.77,0.87,0.85,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.92,0.98,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.9,0.86,0.72,0.91,0.96,194.0%
GSW 99, MEM 1050.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.89,0.78,0.84,0.85,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.89,0.91,0.96,193.9%