NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	110		Excitement	10.5 [39]		MVP	DeMar DeRozan (SAC): +72.4%
LA Clippers	111		Comeback	38.8 [59]		LVP	Jonas Valanciunas (SAC): -31.8%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan	0.72	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.31,0.72	0.12	0.58	-0.02	20	60%	0.73	1	-0.00	12	100%	0.21
Keegan Murray	0.17	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.06	0.07	-0.04	12	62%	0.21	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jake LaRavia	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.07	0.00	5	70%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach LaVine	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.1,0.12,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.10	-0.04	0.01	22	61%	0.11	3	-0.07	5	100%	0.04
Devin Carter	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.00	4	67%	0.04	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.06
Keon Ellis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.01	9	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Markelle Fultz	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Lyles	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Valanciunas	-0.32	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.32	-0.09	-0.23	-0.01	10	37%	-0.18	3	-0.14	4	75%	-0.03

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,0.12,0.12,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.43	0.43	0.06	0.39	0.01	19	63%	0.62	5	-0.18	8	75%	-0.00
Derrick Jones Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.26,0.41,0.41	0.41	0.15	0.26	0.00	9	81%	0.41	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,0.39	0.39	-0.05	0.45	0.01	19	40%	0.49	2	-0.10	4	50%	-0.02
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.12	0.08	0.01	3	150%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ivica Zubac	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.05	0.01	14	61%	0.14	0	0.00	8	50%	-0.10
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	5	75%	0.11	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Kobe Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Coffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	4	25%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Dunn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	7	29%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.5	2.6	26.3	15.6	26.3	2.4	35.6	2.4	22.0	156.6
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.1	2.4	15.6	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +124.9%

SAC -41.2%

SAC -26.4%

SAC -13.9%

LAC +6.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	LAC	NBA	SAC	LAC	NBA
this game	15.9	15.8	14.4	107.8	112.1	113.1
season	14.3	14.9		115.1	113.6
opponent	14.3	14.6		108.7	114.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
SAC	14.9	18.2	14.8	15.7	15.7	15.9
LAC	15.8	13.1	17.2	15.7	19.9	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeMar DeRozan	84	84	0.17	-0.67	0.84	0.20	-1	0	-1	16.7	12.1	4.54	15.6	16.8	-1.19
Markelle Fultz	5	4	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.04	4	-5	9	10.6	16.1	-5.52	21.2	15.6	5.69
Trey Lyles	22	21	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.01	-1	0	-1	14.9	16.1	-1.26	16.7	15.5	1.18
Keegan Murray	81	81	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.03	-6	5	-11	16.5	13.4	3.05	14.9	19.6	-4.67
Devin Carter	24	24	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.05	-4	3	-7	16.7	15.6	1.12	15.0	16.0	-1.04
Zach LaVine	85	81	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.40	5	-6	11	15.3	18.4	-3.07	16.2	13.9	2.25
Jonas Valanciunas	80	78	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.46	0	-1	1	16.1	14.9	1.26	15.5	16.7	-1.18
Jake LaRavia	59	58	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.40	-3	2	-5	15.5	16.4	-0.90	15.6	16.1	-0.53
Keon Ellis	61	56	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.74	2	-3	5	15.1	17.0	-1.84	16.3	15.1	1.15

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Jones Jr.	51	53	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.37	8	-7	15	16.2	15.4	0.84	15.9	15.8	0.19
Ivica Zubac	82	84	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.48	3	-2	5	15.5	17.4	-1.96	16.3	13.8	2.52
Bogdan Bogdanovic	40	44	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.57	-3	4	-7	17.9	14.4	3.54	15.0	16.5	-1.46
Kawhi Leonard	77	77	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.39	-3	4	-7	15.6	16.3	-0.68	16.1	15.1	0.97
James Harden	83	85	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.43	-5	6	-11	15.5	17.4	-1.89	15.4	18.2	-2.79
Kris Dunn	51	52	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.08	4	-3	7	14.6	17.1	-2.51	16.8	14.9	1.87
Amir Coffey	50	52	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.14	-1	2	-3	17.0	14.5	2.49	15.4	16.3	-0.96
Kobe Brown	8	8	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.00	0	1	-1	18.0	15.6	2.41	12.4	16.1	-3.77
Nicolas Batum	53	55	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.09	2	-1	3	14.7	17.0	-2.35	16.2	15.4	0.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.31,0.39,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.68,0.63,0.75,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.48,0.67,0.47,0.51,0.59,0.34,0.47,0.2,0.15,0.05,0.27,0.46,0.47,0.78,0.67,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 82, CHH 83	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.58,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.37,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.29,0.22,0.19,0.02,0.09,0.16,0.54,0.69,0.79,0.9,0.72,1	90.0%
SAC 91, GSW 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.67,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.45,0.33,0.45,0.22,0.41,0.54,0.69,0.93,0.76,0.84,1	89.3%
POR 111, LAL 116	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.39,0.41,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.48,0.44,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.5,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.37,0.29,0.34,0.22,0.31,0.22,0.09,0.08,0.46,0.55,0.63,0.57,0.58,1	88.8%