NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	118		Excitement	8.7 [170]		MVP	Caris LeVert (ATL): +23.0%
Atlanta Hawks	120		Comeback	1.8 [454]		LVP	Quenton Jackson (IND): -10.1%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pascal Siakam	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.12,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06	0.08	0.06	0.08	19	52%	0.12	1	-0.06	6	100%	0.03
Aaron Nesmith	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.14,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	12	58%	0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Thomas Bryant	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	7	62%	0.10	1	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Andrew Nembhard	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0.03	-0.04	0.07	0.00	11	50%	0.09	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ben Sheppard	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	45%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Obi Toppin	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	6	56%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
T.J. McConnell	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarace Walker	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bennedict Mathurin	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.27,0.19,0.12,0.12,0.12,-0.03	0.08	-0.09	0.02	20	60%	0.10	3	-0.13	10	80%	0.03
Myles Turner	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	10	52%	0.03	3	-0.11	7	86%	-0.07
Quenton Jackson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.02	0.01	4	25%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Caris LeVert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.19,0.13,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.23	0.23	0.17	0.09	0.02	17	72%	0.25	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Onyeka Okongwu	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.04	0.11	-0.01	12	62%	0.22	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.03
Trae Young	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.1,0.04,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.04	0.02	24	60%	0.27	7	-0.20	12	92%	0.10
Georges Niang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.01	-0.03	6	46%	0.06	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Keaton Wallace	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terance Mann	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	7	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Mouhamed Gueye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	5	50%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Zaccharie Risacher	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	7	43%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dyson Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.05	0.01	10	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	9	44%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.4	29.6	14.6	38.2	2.5	38.4	151.2
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.2	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +18.5%

ATL +8.3%

ATL +12.0%

ATL +14.2%

IND -3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	ATL	NBA	IND	ATL	NBA
this game	13.4	14.8	14.4	115.7	117.6	113.0
season	13.8	13.3		114.4	112.1
opponent	14.4	14.7		113.9	113.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.6	15.0	12.2	13.0	13.4
ATL	14.1	15.7	13.0	17.0	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quenton Jackson	30	29	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.26	14	-16	30	13.6	13.3	0.27	14.2	15.1	-0.91
Thomas Bryant	30	30	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.14	5	-7	12	13.1	13.5	-0.44	14.5	14.9	-0.41
T.J. McConnell	1	0	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.04	-2	0	-2	32.0	13.2	18.77	0.0	14.8	-14.82
Pascal Siakam	73	73	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.41	13	-15	28	12.1	16.8	-4.77	15.7	12.7	3.03
Jarace Walker	7	6	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.17	-12	10	-22	15.9	13.2	2.63	13.2	14.9	-1.76
Ben Sheppard	35	38	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.16	-15	13	-28	15.6	12.3	3.37	13.9	15.4	-1.52
Bennedict Mathurin	86	84	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.50	7	-9	16	13.3	14.1	-0.77	15.0	14.1	0.93
Obi Toppin	36	36	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.03	-13	11	-24	15.5	12.3	3.23	13.9	15.3	-1.44
Myles Turner	72	72	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.28	-5	3	-8	13.5	13.1	0.44	14.9	14.5	0.41
Aaron Nesmith	75	75	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.68	8	-10	18	12.6	15.7	-3.17	14.9	14.6	0.31
Andrew Nembhard	65	67	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.28	-10	8	-18	13.1	14.0	-0.92	15.1	14.4	0.69

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dyson Daniels	74	76	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.33	16	-14	30	13.7	17.7	-4.03	13.7	12.5	1.28
Onyeka Okongwu	68	70	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.46	4	-2	6	14.2	16.0	-1.81	13.7	12.7	1.06
Caris LeVert	66	65	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.28	8	-6	14	15.5	13.7	1.79	14.4	11.7	2.68
Georges Niang	48	49	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.14	11	-9	20	15.0	14.7	0.33	15.1	11.9	3.21
Trae Young	71	72	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.32	3	-1	4	14.7	15.0	-0.30	13.2	13.8	-0.55
Terance Mann	41	42	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.29	-3	5	-8	15.3	14.5	0.87	12.5	14.0	-1.55
Mouhamed Gueye	51	50	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.22	-6	8	-14	14.5	15.1	-0.55	12.2	14.5	-2.30
Keaton Wallace	4	4	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.06	-5	7	-12	23.7	14.5	9.29	12.7	13.4	-0.69
Zaccharie Risacher	53	50	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	0.29	-16	18	-34	14.7	14.9	-0.18	12.2	14.5	-2.30
Clint Capela	34	32	-0.24	0.74	-0.99	-0.19	-2	4	-6	16.0	14.2	1.81	12.7	13.7	-1.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.83,0.82,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.78,0.73,0.8,0.8,0.89,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.8,0.83,0.84,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.72,0.86,0.85,0.78,0.74,0.54,0.76,0.63,0.41,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.84,0.91,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 101, ATL 102	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.75,0.8,0.78,0.84,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.72,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.72,0.84,0.92,1	92.2%
LAL 102, WAS 109	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.61,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.78,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.89,0.85,0.81,0.77,0.83,0.73,0.79,0.84,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.66,0.76,0.63,0.74,0.69,0.73,0.69,0.85,0.96,0.96,1	91.9%
DET 95, WAS 99	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.69,0.76,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.72,0.77,0.73,0.71,0.7,0.77,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.87,0.81,0.71,0.67,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.72,0.89,0.96,1	91.8%