NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	115		Excitement	6.8 [457]		MVP	James Harden (LAC): +36.6%
LA Clippers	123		Comeback	1.8 [459]		LVP	Ausar Thompson (DET): -9.2%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dennis Schroder	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.17	0.05	-0.01	14	75%	0.22	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cade Cunningham	0.21	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.11	0.09	-0.01	25	66%	0.32	5	-0.11	6	83%	0.02
Isaiah Stewart	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.06	-0.01	6	71%	0.15	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ronald Holland II	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.02	0.00	3	70%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Malik Beasley	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.01	0.03	12	58%	0.12	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	6	54%	0.03	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Jalen Duren	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	58%	0.04	2	-0.05	6	50%	-0.04
Simone Fontecchio	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ausar Thompson	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.06	-0.02	13	38%	-0.05	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.37	0.37	0.27	0.14	0.04	24	74%	0.50	5	-0.14	20	80%	0.03
Kris Dunn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.10	0.08	0.00	3	133%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ivica Zubac	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.08	0.07	-0.01	20	55%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.05	0.01	1	125%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.07	0.05	16	64%	0.14	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
Amir Coffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.02	-0.02	7	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	2	50%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Eubanks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.9	2.6	27.5	14.5	26.4	2.4	33.5	133.9
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.1	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +27.7%

LAC +4.5%

LAC +0.1%

LAC +15.0%

LAC +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	LAC	NBA	DET	LAC	NBA
this game	13.6	16.3	14.4	118.6	128.1	113.1
season	14.1	14.9		114.0	113.6
opponent	14.3	14.5		108.7	112.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	14.0	13.7	13.6	13.0	13.6
LAC	14.2	15.8	16.4	18.9	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Simone Fontecchio	31	30	0.13	-0.63	0.75	-0.11	8	-16	24	12.5	14.1	-1.54	16.5	16.2	0.30
Dennis Schroder	56	55	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.11	8	-16	24	12.7	14.8	-2.05	17.3	14.8	2.54
Isaiah Stewart	45	44	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.24	7	-15	22	12.4	14.7	-2.32	17.2	15.5	1.74
Ronald Holland II	23	25	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.14	-1	-7	6	13.9	13.5	0.41	17.0	16.0	1.00
Cade Cunningham	79	78	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.14	-10	2	-12	13.7	13.1	0.60	16.0	17.2	-1.18
Jalen Duren	52	52	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.02	-15	7	-22	14.7	12.4	2.32	15.5	17.2	-1.74
Ausar Thompson	64	61	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.17	-11	3	-14	14.0	12.8	1.23	16.1	16.6	-0.53
Malik Beasley	66	67	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.10	-16	8	-24	14.1	12.6	1.45	15.9	17.2	-1.36
Tim Hardaway Jr.	69	68	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.29	-10	2	-12	13.7	13.3	0.39	15.9	17.2	-1.40

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kris Dunn	60	62	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.19	17	-9	26	15.4	17.7	-2.29	14.1	12.6	1.52
James Harden	77	79	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.30	13	-5	18	15.5	19.4	-3.94	13.6	13.5	0.12
Ivica Zubac	69	69	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.15	17	-9	26	16.0	17.0	-0.98	14.2	12.1	2.15
Bogdan Bogdanovic	79	78	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.15	17	-9	26	16.1	17.1	-1.04	14.1	11.5	2.64
Amir Coffey	53	53	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.35	-2	10	-12	17.5	14.7	2.79	12.7	14.6	-1.90
Nicolas Batum	49	50	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.15	10	-2	12	14.5	18.1	-3.57	14.5	12.6	1.90
Drew Eubanks	25	26	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.14	-10	18	-28	17.5	15.8	1.65	12.1	14.1	-2.03
Kobe Brown	34	34	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.09	-11	19	-30	18.2	15.2	3.06	12.4	14.2	-1.83
Jordan Miller	34	34	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.09	-11	19	-30	18.2	15.2	3.06	12.4	14.2	-1.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.65,0.58,0.65,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.69,0.63,0.65,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.5,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.62,0.68,0.62,0.63,0.48,0.44,0.58,0.57,0.7,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.81,0.9,0.8,0.93,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 86, POR 96	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.63,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.72,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.68,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.67,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.76,0.87,0.89,0.97,1,0.99,1	93.0%
IND 97, UTA 106	0.5,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.56,0.63,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.74,0.75,0.65,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.66,0.57,0.47,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.81,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.98,1,1	92.7%
PHI 108, LAC 117	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.67,0.53,0.63,0.64,0.76,0.83,0.83,0.83,0.96,1,1	92.5%