NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	122		Excitement	8.8 [193]		MVP	Johnny Juzang (UTA): +35.6%
Washington Wizards	125		Comeback	1.5 [908]		LVP	Brice Sensabaugh (UTA): -11.9%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Johnny Juzang	0.36	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.36	0.22	0.16	0.02	15	82%	0.38	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Kyle Filipowski	0.11	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.11	0.11	0.01	0.02	17	62%	0.13	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Cody Williams	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	9	60%	0.09	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Oscar Tshiebwe	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Svi Mykhailiuk	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.02	-0.01	15	37%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Micah Potter	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Collier	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	14	51%	0.04	4	-0.09	9	56%	-0.03
KJ Martin	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.00	-0.06	0.01	6	42%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brice Sensabaugh	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12	-0.06	-0.04	0.02	15	45%	-0.00	4	-0.12	3	100%	0.02

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alex Sarr	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.14	0.12	0.02	12	75%	0.26	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Marcus Smart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.08	0.13	-0.00	9	65%	0.21	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Justin Champagnie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.14	0.06	0.00	9	81%	0.22	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Kyshawn George	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15	0.15	0.06	0.06	-0.03	17	59%	0.22	3	-0.07	5	80%	0.00
Bilal Coulibaly	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.02	0.09	-0.01	10	55%	0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bub Carrington	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.06	-0.01	10	48%	-0.04	1	-0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Corey Kispert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	6	35%	-0.05	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.03
Khris Middleton	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.03	-0.06	0.02	12	52%	-0.03	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Tristan Vukcevic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	10	36%	-0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	1.7	24.8	14.4	29.5	2.4	40.4	139.6
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +22.0%

WAS +8.3%

UTA -10.2%

WAS +21.2%

WAS +8.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	WAS	NBA	UTA	WAS	NBA
this game	14.5	13.0	14.4	117.3	117.9	113.0
season	14.8	14.0		109.6	105.3
opponent	14.1	13.7		117.6	119.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	14.5	14.8	14.2	14.4	14.5
WAS	13.2	13.4	11.5	13.8	13.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Svi Mykhailiuk	39	40	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.13	8	-11	19	14.2	14.6	-0.49	14.7	11.9	2.84
Micah Potter	45	44	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.17	3	-6	9	14.0	14.8	-0.74	14.8	11.7	3.10
Oscar Tshiebwe	39	40	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.17	-1	-2	1	14.4	14.5	-0.16	14.4	12.1	2.32
Kyle Filipowski	65	66	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.25	-2	-1	-1	14.5	14.4	0.16	12.1	14.4	-2.32
KJ Martin	62	62	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.17	-5	2	-7	14.4	14.6	-0.26	12.3	14.0	-1.70
Cody Williams	69	71	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.39	2	-5	7	14.1	15.2	-1.11	13.1	12.7	0.44
Johnny Juzang	65	67	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.42	1	-4	5	14.6	14.2	0.45	13.0	13.0	-0.07
Brice Sensabaugh	67	69	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.05	-12	9	-21	15.0	13.4	1.64	12.2	14.4	-2.15
Isaiah Collier	69	71	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.31	-9	6	-15	14.7	14.1	0.57	12.1	14.8	-2.72

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyshawn George	81	78	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.26	9	-6	15	12.0	16.2	-4.16	14.1	15.4	-1.28
Alex Sarr	66	65	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.20	8	-5	13	12.3	14.1	-1.88	14.5	14.5	0.00
Bilal Coulibaly	77	72	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.49	-2	5	-7	12.7	13.8	-1.07	15.2	12.9	2.29
Khris Middleton	59	57	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.24	6	-3	9	11.5	14.9	-3.40	14.9	14.0	0.92
Bub Carrington	79	77	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.25	4	-1	5	12.4	14.7	-2.31	14.3	15.0	-0.73
Corey Kispert	48	49	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.14	-1	4	-5	14.8	11.5	3.31	14.1	14.8	-0.72
Justin Champagnie	47	47	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.13	-1	4	-5	13.9	12.2	1.68	14.9	14.1	0.75
Tristan Vukcevic	36	37	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.15	-3	6	-9	15.4	11.8	3.60	14.3	14.5	-0.21
Marcus Smart	37	38	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.20	-5	8	-13	14.8	12.0	2.81	13.7	14.9	-1.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.5,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.69,0.72,0.8,0.87,0.84,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.81,0.6,0.74,0.62,0.53,0.67,0.68,0.83,0.7,0.78,0.76,0.96,0.97,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 81, CHI 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.85,0.79,0.77,0.68,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.66,0.57,0.57,0.52,0.63,0.79,0.65,0.78,0.83,0.97,1,1,1	93.3%
PHI 75, BOS 85	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.73,0.77,0.74,0.73,0.81,0.76,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.76,0.71,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.75,0.89,1,1,1	92.6%
HOU 82, UTA 86	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.82,0.82,0.89,0.81,0.79,0.72,0.72,0.76,0.8,0.71,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.75,0.77,0.83,0.91,0.87,0.89,0.89,0.99,1,1	92.4%