NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	115		Excitement	9.0 [182]		MVP	Coby White (CHI): +35.6%
Chicago Bulls	125		Comeback	141.9 [20]		LVP	Scottie Barnes (TOR): -10.7%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Immanuel Quickley	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	16	57%	0.11	2	-0.05	8	87%	0.02
Gradey Dick	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.02	11	50%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Ochai Agbaji	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	1	150%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jakob Poeltl	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.01	7	71%	0.08	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Shead	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	8	31%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ja'Kobe Walter	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	7	47%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Orlando Robinson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.00	11	46%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
RJ Barrett	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	0.01	19	46%	0.02	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Jonathan Mogbo	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Barnes	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11	0.07	-0.17	0.01	19	60%	0.01	2	-0.12	2	100%	0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Coby White	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.47,0.47,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36	0.36	0.06	0.30	0.01	19	55%	0.39	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.10
Tre Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	6	71%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Huerter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.11	-0.00	0.02	10	65%	0.09	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Ayo Dosunmu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	9	55%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Julian Phillips	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Collins	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.01	0.04	10	58%	0.05	1	-0.03	6	83%	-0.02
Jalen Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.03	-0.02	7	29%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Josh Giddey	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,0,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.02	17	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Lonzo Ball	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.03	13	54%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dalen Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matas Buzelis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	8	56%	0.04	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	21.2	2.7	28.2	15.3	28.5	1.5	40.2	2.4	12.6	152.6
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	2.3	15.6	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +12.0%

CHI +37.9%

TOR -11.4%

CHI +16.0%

TOR -4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	CHI	NBA	TOR	CHI	NBA
this game	14.3	13.9	14.4	100.0	112.6	113.1
season	13.9	13.2		109.0	112.4
opponent	14.5	14.6		114.2	113.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
TOR	13.0	13.3	13.8	18.3	12.4	14.3
CHI	14.2	15.5	13.3	14.2	10.7	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jakob Poeltl	51	48	0.32	-0.82	1.14	-0.03	12	-22	34	12.2	15.9	-3.76	15.2	12.9	2.29
Ja'Kobe Walter	44	41	0.24	-0.74	0.98	0.18	2	-12	14	15.5	13.5	1.92	15.4	12.9	2.50
Ochai Agbaji	3	2	0.03	-0.53	0.55	0.03	0	-10	10	15.0	14.2	0.75	14.0	13.9	0.14
Immanuel Quickley	70	68	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.29	9	-19	28	13.7	15.1	-1.38	14.9	12.2	2.66
Orlando Robinson	49	48	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.17	-16	6	-22	15.7	13.2	2.55	13.9	13.8	0.05
Scottie Barnes	81	76	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.38	0	-10	10	13.8	15.4	-1.54	13.6	14.3	-0.70
Jonathan Mogbo	59	58	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.28	-4	-6	2	15.4	13.1	2.30	14.0	13.7	0.32
Jamal Shead	51	49	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.07	-17	7	-24	14.9	13.8	1.07	12.6	14.9	-2.28
Gradey Dick	79	77	-0.69	0.19	-0.89	-0.34	-12	2	-14	13.8	15.3	-1.51	13.0	15.9	-2.87
RJ Barrett	88	88	-0.86	0.36	-1.23	-0.16	-24	14	-38	14.2	14.4	-0.18	13.2	16.5	-3.35

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zach Collins	85	88	0.92	-0.42	1.35	0.10	28	-18	46	13.0	16.6	-3.59	14.8	12.7	2.09
Josh Giddey	87	89	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.26	16	-6	22	13.1	16.6	-3.47	14.4	13.9	0.50
Lonzo Ball	73	77	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.30	12	-2	14	13.4	14.7	-1.29	14.1	14.6	-0.50
Coby White	78	80	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.33	11	-1	12	14.0	13.6	0.41	13.9	15.0	-1.09
Ayo Dosunmu	48	48	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.21	9	1	8	13.4	14.2	-0.75	14.4	14.2	0.15
Kevin Huerter	54	58	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.19	13	-3	16	14.5	13.2	1.31	15.5	13.0	2.52
Julian Phillips	16	15	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.02	-3	13	-16	17.1	13.3	3.74	12.8	14.5	-1.69
Tre Jones	26	27	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.12	0	10	-10	12.9	14.2	-1.28	15.2	14.0	1.20
Dalen Terry	8	8	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.07	-7	17	-24	15.5	13.7	1.76	12.5	14.4	-1.90
Matas Buzelis	54	58	-0.37	0.87	-1.23	-0.04	-11	21	-32	14.5	13.3	1.20	13.7	14.9	-1.24
Jalen Smith	26	27	-0.42	0.92	-1.35	0.10	-18	28	-46	16.6	13.0	3.59	12.7	14.8	-2.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.43,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.26,0.35,0.29,0.26,0.23,0.26,0.22,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.38,0.25,0.22,0.33,0.24,0.23,0.12,0.13,0.18,0.22,0.14,0.15,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.38,0.22,0.1,0.08,0.46,0.55,0.72,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 99, CLE 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.53,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.33,0.37,0.29,0.23,0.33,0.27,0.24,0.18,0.22,0.25,0.28,0.16,0.21,0.13,0.07,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.54,0.61,0.79,0.91,0.99,1	93.8%
LAC 95, TOR 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.42,0.33,0.26,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.2,0.22,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.15,0.19,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.17,0.23,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.17,0.03,0,0,0.54,0.69,0.94,0.99,0.99,1	91.2%
MEM 129, NYK 133	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.43,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.25,0.38,0.31,0.25,0.33,0.27,0.18,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.22,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.46,0.47,0.71,0.76,0.83,1	90.0%