inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 121 Excitement6.6 [536] MVPStephen Curry (GSW): +67.0%
Orlando Magic 115 Comeback10.0 [276] LVPBrandin Podziemski (GSW): -12.1%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Stephen Curry0.670,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.22,0.25,0.38,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.63,0.670.460.240.042590%0.774-0.1012100%0.07
Quinten Post0.200,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.170.03-0.00990%0.2000.002100%0.01
Moses Moody0.130,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.060.080.00559%0.1300.007100%0.04
Gary Payton II0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.03-0.000.01362%0.0200.00250%-0.00
Draymond Green0.010,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.040.03-0.02852%0.094-0.08771%0.01
Gui Santos0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.000.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Kevon Looney0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kevin Knox II-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.00333%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Buddy Hield-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.010.01530%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Jimmy Butler III-0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.100.030.00728%-0.022-0.05475%-0.02
Brandin Podziemski-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12-0.06-0.050.011233%-0.091-0.0300%0.00

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Paolo Banchero0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.19,0.190.190.190.040.042766%0.315-0.12862%0.01
Franz Wagner0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.080.080.040.03-0.012255%0.153-0.07580%-0.02
Goga Bitadze0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.060.020.003100%0.111-0.041100%0.01
Jonathan Isaac0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.03-0.00-0.00570%0.051-0.0200%0.00
Tristan da Silva0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Jett Howard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.01-0.02-0.01475%0.032-0.0300%0.00
Wendell Carter Jr.0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,00.00-0.050.02-0.03856%0.094-0.0900%0.00
Cole Anthony0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01-0.010.03-0.020.03669%0.042-0.054100%0.02
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04-0.04-0.050.00-0.0130%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Anthony Black0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.07-0.04-0.011025%-0.1000.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.02.627.913.830.02.740.3141.2
league avg25.92.328.214.928.62.332.2135.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
GSW +27.2%
GSW +12.2%
GSW +0.6%
GSW +6.5%
GSW +3.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWORLNBAGSWORLNBA
this game14.715.214.4126.0118.6113.1
season14.515.4112.9108.3
opponent14.414.5109.1110.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW15.913.014.415.414.7
ORL14.816.415.614.015.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Quinten Post48460.84-0.341.190.2022-163814.414.9-0.4416.414.12.33
Stephen Curry69700.60-0.100.700.1615-92414.215.8-1.5615.015.6-0.62
Draymond Green67660.490.010.470.3160613.916.5-2.6214.616.4-1.81
Buddy Hield34360.280.220.06-0.1013-72014.914.50.4015.215.10.10
Gary Payton II37380.220.28-0.070.1333012.216.2-4.0114.015.9-1.91
Jimmy Butler III65650.140.36-0.210.35-713-2015.213.41.8314.816.0-1.17
Gui Santos13120.050.45-0.400.11-28-1016.314.41.9117.114.92.17
Kevin Knox II890.020.48-0.45-0.0942213.914.7-0.8520.214.75.55
Brandin Podziemski62620.020.48-0.470.31-1016-2615.912.43.5215.315.00.25
Moses Moody5052-0.010.51-0.520.20-713-2015.314.01.3415.414.90.47
Kevon Looney2729-0.150.65-0.800.06-713-2015.114.50.6814.315.5-1.20

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tristan da Silva550.14-0.640.79-0.067-132013.215.3-2.0917.414.52.89
Anthony Black40400.02-0.520.55-0.156-121815.614.90.6615.414.11.23
Jonathan Isaac2525-0.11-0.390.28-0.141-7815.715.00.6716.614.02.63
Franz Wagner7877-0.18-0.320.14-0.304-101415.314.60.7515.013.31.74
Goga Bitadze4443-0.20-0.300.10-0.200-6615.515.00.4914.514.8-0.22
Wendell Carter Jr.5353-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.12-60-615.015.5-0.4914.814.50.22
Cole Anthony5654-0.34-0.16-0.17-0.13-71-815.015.5-0.5213.516.1-2.64
Jett Howard4141-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.12-93-1215.215.20.0214.614.7-0.08
Paolo Banchero7373-0.580.08-0.66-0.23-126-1815.015.8-0.8614.515.3-0.85
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope7069-0.580.08-0.67-0.17-148-2215.215.3-0.1014.116.1-1.97


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.68,0.72,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.83,0.83,0.82,0.75,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.82,0.7,0.55,0.55,0.46,0.29,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.32,0.3,0.22,0.12,0.07,0.12,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.15,0.08,0
GameSimilarity Score
BOS 114, PHI 1030.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.66,0.63,0.66,0.76,0.8,0.88,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.89,0.85,0.82,0.75,0.71,0.8,0.67,0.64,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.28,0.23,0.4,0.32,0.26,0.3,0.25,0.14,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,092.5%
MIL 120, MIA 1030.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.42,0.23,0.16,0.21,0.16,0.21,0.26,0.2,0.12,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,091.8%
GSW 124, PHX 1090.5,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.57,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.47,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.71,0.69,0.8,0.8,0.73,0.78,0.69,0.77,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.61,0.52,0.29,0.22,0.18,0.2,0.25,0.15,0.07,0.1,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,091.4%