NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	129		Excitement	6.3 [583]		MVP	Chet Holmgren (OKC): +31.2%
Brooklyn Nets	121		Comeback	8.4 [595]		LVP	Trendon Watford (BKN): -18.9%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chet Holmgren	0.31	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.16	0.13	-0.02	12	71%	0.31	0	0.00	7	86%	0.02
Cason Wallace	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.01	0.10	-0.06	10	65%	0.21	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Hartenstein	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.01	-0.01	9	65%	0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Aaron Wiggins	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.11	0.02	0.03	19	63%	0.11	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.16	0.01	0.08	11	77%	0.15	3	-0.06	13	92%	0.02
Jalen Williams	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.05	0.03	16	56%	0.12	2	-0.05	7	71%	0.01
Alex Caruso	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	3	83%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaylin Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Joe	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luguentz Dort	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	7	21%	-0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Day'Ron Sharpe	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.00	10	93%	0.33	2	-0.04	7	100%	0.05
Jalen Wilson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.03	0.06	-0.02	5	58%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Killian Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.00	0.00	13	73%	0.18	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Ziaire Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	15	56%	0.04	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Tosan Evbuomwan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	8	45%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Cameron Johnson	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0	-0.00	0.11	-0.03	0.09	13	63%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Tyrese Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	5	30%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Keon Johnson	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.06	-0.05	0.02	12	57%	-0.00	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Reece Beekman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.03	5	20%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Trendon Watford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.16	-0.07	-0.03	7	19%	-0.07	4	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.4	34.5	14.7	34.2	2.5	38.5	151.1
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +50.1%

BKN -9.1%

BKN -10.1%

OKC +13.2%

OKC +5.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	BKN	NBA	OKC	BKN	NBA
this game	13.4	15.2	14.4	127.7	119.8	113.0
season	13.8	15.3		117.4	107.6
opponent	14.4	14.7		114.9	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	15.4	14.0	13.3	11.0	13.4
BKN	13.4	15.3	16.7	15.3	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Wiggins	61	60	0.93	-0.43	1.37	0.17	26	-18	44	12.1	15.2	-3.14	15.8	14.2	1.54
Alex Caruso	40	42	0.90	-0.40	1.31	0.11	27	-19	46	12.1	14.2	-2.08	16.9	13.9	2.99
Cason Wallace	68	65	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.28	17	-9	26	12.6	14.9	-2.26	15.2	15.1	0.12
Jalen Williams	71	73	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.34	10	-2	12	12.5	15.3	-2.76	15.6	14.0	1.55
Chet Holmgren	69	70	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.21	14	-6	20	12.7	14.8	-2.13	15.3	14.9	0.32
Jaylin Williams	10	10	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.10	5	3	2	14.5	13.2	1.27	13.2	15.4	-2.17
Isaiah Joe	23	22	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.05	-3	11	-14	15.3	12.8	2.47	16.5	14.8	1.77
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	72	71	-0.36	0.86	-1.22	0.08	-15	23	-38	14.3	11.0	3.35	13.8	18.4	-4.61
Isaiah Hartenstein	50	49	-0.44	0.94	-1.38	0.20	-22	30	-52	15.1	11.6	3.53	14.3	16.0	-1.66
Luguentz Dort	41	43	-0.48	0.98	-1.47	0.07	-19	27	-46	15.0	12.2	2.77	14.6	15.6	-0.96

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Day'Ron Sharpe	65	65	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.50	20	-28	48	15.0	15.5	-0.57	14.2	11.8	2.45
Cameron Johnson	69	69	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.46	12	-20	32	15.1	15.2	-0.09	13.9	12.1	1.80
Killian Hayes	71	71	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.44	10	-18	28	15.2	15.1	0.04	13.8	12.3	1.46
Ziaire Williams	65	64	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.44	10	-18	28	13.6	17.9	-4.29	13.5	13.2	0.31
Keon Johnson	64	66	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.43	9	-17	26	13.8	17.5	-3.76	13.1	13.8	-0.64
Tosan Evbuomwan	32	31	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.29	-20	12	-32	15.5	15.0	0.50	12.4	13.8	-1.40
Tyrese Martin	37	35	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.17	-17	9	-26	17.5	13.8	3.76	13.8	13.1	0.64
Reece Beekman	30	30	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.18	-18	10	-28	15.1	15.2	-0.04	12.3	13.8	-1.46
Jalen Wilson	36	37	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	0.14	-22	14	-36	16.1	14.6	1.52	12.1	14.1	-2.06
Trendon Watford	36	37	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	0.18	-24	16	-40	17.1	14.1	2.95	12.7	13.7	-1.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.88,0.86,0.77,0.75,0.88,0.86,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.71,0.74,0.57,0.7,0.67,0.53,0.21,0.06,0.01,0.03,0,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 101, PHX 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.69,0.76,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.68,0.65,0.65,0.56,0.61,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.66,0.66,0.52,0.71,0.68,0.36,0.15,0.13,0.08,0.1,0.01,0.01,0	91.4%
LAC 112, NYK 110	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.7,0.72,0.68,0.75,0.77,0.72,0.78,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.79,0.73,0.8,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.84,0.89,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.81,0.85,0.74,0.7,0.53,0.53,0.32,0.17,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.04,0	90.7%
NYK 101, BOS 86	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.75,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.8,0.77,0.68,0.74,0.66,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.34,0.29,0.17,0.01,0,0,0,0	90.4%