NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	114		Excitement	8.3 [259]		MVP	Anfernee Simons (POR): +21.8%
Utah Jazz	112		Comeback	1.8 [879]		LVP	Svi Mykhailiuk (UTA): -18.9%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anfernee Simons	0.22	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.22	0.06	0.14	-0.02	23	55%	0.25	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.04
Jerami Grant	0.07	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07	0.10	0.01	0.04	15	59%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.02
Jabari Walker	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaedon Sharpe	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	13	46%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dalano Banton	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Murray	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deni Avdija	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.02	0.01	15	44%	0.03	1	-0.03	11	64%	-0.04
Donovan Clingan	-0.04	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	4	58%	0.02	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Scoot Henderson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	15	57%	0.13	6	-0.20	0	0%	0.00
Toumani Camara	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	11	36%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Filipowski	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17	0.17	0.10	0.06	-0.01	11	71%	0.21	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.00
Brice Sensabaugh	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.15	0.03	0.07	12	78%	0.15	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Micah Potter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.01	0.02	6	86%	0.11	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
KJ Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	8	53%	0.02	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Cody Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	9	44%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Juzang	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	7	36%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Collier	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.13	-0.02	-0.02	9	30%	-0.04	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Keyonte George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.16,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.21,-0.14,-0.17,-0.2,-0.22,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.06	0.01	22	43%	-0.03	4	-0.12	5	100%	0.03
Svi Mykhailiuk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.08	-0.12	-0.00	14	36%	-0.11	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	32.2	2.5	23.7	13.8	32.3	2.5	38.3	145.5
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +34.7%

UTA -8.3%

POR +14.5%

POR +6.0%

POR +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	UTA	NBA	POR	UTA	NBA
this game	13.7	14.1	14.4	110.7	107.7	113.0
season	14.3	14.8		110.3	109.6
opponent	13.7	14.5		119.0	113.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.1	11.5	14.3	14.9	13.7
UTA	13.6	16.2	13.9	12.8	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Deni Avdija	77	78	0.87	-0.37	1.23	0.34	18	-16	34	13.8	13.5	0.25	13.9	14.7	-0.79
Toumani Camara	80	81	0.86	-0.36	1.23	0.45	14	-12	26	13.8	13.4	0.33	13.1	17.7	-4.63
Scoot Henderson	66	67	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.51	2	0	2	13.7	13.7	0.02	13.1	15.9	-2.77
Jerami Grant	78	81	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.41	5	-3	8	13.7	13.6	0.07	14.7	12.2	2.52
Anfernee Simons	81	80	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.43	1	1	0	13.9	12.9	1.05	13.9	15.0	-1.12
Donovan Clingan	55	55	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.15	16	-14	30	13.2	14.2	-0.97	14.6	13.6	1.06
Kris Murray	7	7	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.02	-1	3	-4	11.0	13.9	-2.89	12.9	14.2	-1.37
Dalano Banton	5	6	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.01	-3	5	-8	13.6	13.7	-0.09	25.2	13.5	11.71
Jabari Walker	29	29	-0.39	0.89	-1.28	0.14	-18	20	-38	13.9	13.6	0.24	14.6	13.9	0.67
Shaedon Sharpe	37	36	-0.63	1.13	-1.77	0.07	-24	26	-50	13.9	13.6	0.36	15.3	13.5	1.75

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Micah Potter	55	55	0.20	-0.70	0.91	-0.24	15	-17	32	14.5	13.7	0.79	13.6	13.7	-0.11
Svi Mykhailiuk	48	47	0.18	-0.68	0.85	-0.32	17	-19	36	14.2	14.0	0.21	13.0	14.3	-1.31
Cody Williams	59	57	0.17	-0.67	0.85	-0.41	20	-22	42	14.0	14.3	-0.27	13.4	14.0	-0.56
Kyle Filipowski	78	78	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.25	11	-13	24	14.0	14.5	-0.49	13.6	13.8	-0.20
Keyonte George	73	73	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.42	0	-2	2	14.1	14.3	-0.22	13.7	13.7	-0.02
Johnny Juzang	38	38	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.01	-17	15	-32	13.9	14.3	-0.42	12.7	14.2	-1.51
Brice Sensabaugh	57	58	-0.69	0.19	-0.87	-0.42	-9	7	-16	13.5	14.9	-1.46	14.2	13.0	1.26
Isaiah Collier	52	51	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	0.05	-27	25	-52	14.5	13.8	0.73	14.1	13.3	0.77
KJ Martin	60	58	-0.76	0.26	-1.03	-0.18	-20	18	-38	14.5	13.6	0.94	14.4	12.8	1.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.52,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.49,0.43,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.25,0.3,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.1,0.22,0.28,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.46,0.42,0.26,0.24,0.12,0.08,0.02,0.01,0.03,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 94, PHI 86	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.46,0.42,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.25,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.21,0.3,0.26,0.4,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.52,0.42,0.31,0.16,0.17,0.1,0.02,0.01,0,0	92.8%
SAC 96, GSW 93	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.5,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.25,0.2,0.13,0.19,0.21,0.17,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.26,0.3,0.38,0.43,0.37,0.21,0.35,0.22,0.14,0.02,0.01,0.02,0	92.6%
MIA 123, WAS 107	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.36,0.48,0.46,0.36,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.31,0.22,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.16,0.21,0.29,0.18,0.22,0.34,0.43,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.24,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.04,0,0	92.2%