NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	130		Excitement	7.5 [393]		MVP	Nickeil Alexander-Walker (MIN): +29.7%
Minnesota Timberwolves	123		Comeback	2.8 [668]		LVP	Jaden McDaniels (MIN): -10.7%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	0.23	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.23,0.23	0.11	0.11	-0.01	24	63%	0.32	5	-0.09	11	73%	0.00
Aaron Wiggins	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.13	0.07	-0.02	6	94%	0.25	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Alex Caruso	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.06	0.15	-0.00	8	69%	0.23	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chet Holmgren	0.19	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.15	0.06	0.02	11	86%	0.19	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Hartenstein	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.03	0.01	8	75%	0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Cason Wallace	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.04	-0.01	5	55%	0.08	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Kenrich Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Joe	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	5	60%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Williams	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	14	56%	0.10	3	-0.09	4	75%	0.00
Luguentz Dort	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.18,0.33,0.33,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.13	0.16	-0.01	12	69%	0.30	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jaylen Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.14	0.04	0.01	7	100%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luka Garza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	2	117%	0.11	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	-0.01	-0.02	6	75%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Edwards	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.06,0.07,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.06	0.01	21	56%	0.22	5	-0.16	10	90%	0.03
Josh Minott	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Shannon Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.01	7	47%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Naz Reid	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.03	0.03	18	51%	0.02	2	-0.05	7	100%	0.03
Rob Dillingham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jaden McDaniels	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.08	0.01	15	47%	-0.00	2	-0.10	6	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.5	3.4	29.2	15.4	29.6	3.4	34.5	145.1
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +56.1%

MIN -14.5%

MIN -9.0%

OKC +13.4%

OKC +4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	MIN	NBA	OKC	MIN	NBA
this game	13.4	15.2	14.4	131.3	120.6	113.1
season	13.7	14.7		117.9	114.8
opponent	14.7	14.7		110.2	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	14.1	12.7	11.6	15.5	13.4
MIN	14.1	15.5	15.5	15.8	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alex Caruso	49	52	0.93	-0.43	1.37	0.41	18	-11	29	13.4	13.4	0.05	14.5	16.0	-1.52
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	79	82	0.93	-0.43	1.35	0.46	16	-9	25	13.2	14.3	-1.16	15.0	16.2	-1.30
Chet Holmgren	57	59	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.25	4	3	1	13.3	13.5	-0.21	15.4	15.0	0.44
Cason Wallace	42	44	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.31	1	6	-5	14.7	12.5	2.28	15.7	14.8	0.84
Luguentz Dort	68	69	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.23	-1	8	-9	13.0	14.3	-1.31	15.2	15.3	-0.14
Jalen Williams	75	75	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.16	-2	9	-11	13.6	12.8	0.78	15.6	14.1	1.54
Aaron Wiggins	40	43	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.14	8	-1	9	13.3	13.5	-0.21	14.6	15.7	-1.12
Kenrich Williams	7	7	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.01	2	5	-3	13.6	13.4	0.16	14.4	15.3	-0.83
Isaiah Hartenstein	56	57	-0.23	0.73	-0.95	-0.11	-4	11	-15	12.9	14.1	-1.18	15.2	15.2	0.05
Isaiah Joe	22	22	-0.29	0.79	-1.09	-0.09	-7	14	-21	14.0	13.2	0.80	16.7	14.8	1.88

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jaylen Clark	37	38	0.50	-1.00	1.50	-0.09	20	-27	47	15.5	15.0	0.44	13.5	13.4	0.17
Rob Dillingham	20	19	0.27	-0.77	1.03	0.09	6	-13	19	15.2	15.2	-0.01	15.1	13.0	2.08
Mike Conley	62	65	0.24	-0.74	0.99	0.04	7	-14	21	16.1	13.8	2.27	14.0	12.3	1.72
Naz Reid	82	81	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.22	6	-13	19	15.8	12.8	2.93	13.8	11.7	2.15
Josh Minott	2	2	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.03	-5	-2	-3	8.0	15.3	-7.35	14.0	13.4	0.59
Luka Garza	20	20	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.15	-4	-3	-1	13.3	15.7	-2.31	11.9	13.8	-1.85
Terrence Shannon Jr.	44	39	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.00	-22	15	-37	14.8	15.5	-0.76	13.4	13.4	0.02
Anthony Edwards	84	81	-0.74	0.24	-0.97	-0.41	-11	4	-15	14.9	16.8	-1.91	13.1	15.0	-1.93
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	73	68	-0.76	0.26	-1.03	-0.29	-16	9	-25	14.8	16.3	-1.50	13.5	13.4	0.10
Jaden McDaniels	86	82	-0.87	0.37	-1.24	-0.40	-16	9	-25	15.4	14.1	1.28	12.8	16.5	-3.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.35,0.3,0.27,0.3,0.26,0.28,0.24,0.18,0.12,0.15,0.21,0.19,0.29,0.36,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.63,0.6,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.71,0.62,0.56,0.43,0.56,0.36,0.22,0.26,0.25,0.53,0.73,0.47,0.39,0.17,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 131, PHX 127	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.45,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.08,0.11,0.17,0.24,0.31,0.42,0.44,0.3,0.32,0.51,0.67,0.73,0.81,0.76,0.65,0.57,0.52,0.37,0.22,0.42,0.26,0.29,0.47,0.58,0.41,0.29,0.46,0.14,0.04,0.01,0.02,0	89.9%
CHH 94, CHI 86	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.45,0.33,0.34,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.26,0.2,0.22,0.23,0.24,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.67,0.64,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.59,0.4,0.48,0.34,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.24,0.09,0.07,0.05,0,0,0	89.4%
MIN 94, ATL 84	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.4,0.39,0.35,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.24,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.68,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.36,0.19,0.22,0.29,0.38,0.32,0.22,0.15,0.22,0.04,0.07,0.02,0.05,0	89.3%