inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Minnesota Timberwolves 94 Excitement5.7 [660] MVPKevin Garnett (MIN): +9.7%
Atlanta Hawks 84 Comeback2.5 [572] LVPJason Terry (ATL): -14.9%


Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Garnett0.100,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.10.090.030.021574%0.173-0.074100%0.02
William Avery0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07-0.000.07-0.00480%0.133-0.072100%0.02
LaPhonso Ellis0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.010.00864%0.061-0.036100%0.05
Reggie Slater0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Wally Szczerbiak-0.010,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.050.02-0.011153%0.032-0.041090%0.04
Chauncey Billups-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.01-0.020.011161%0.032-0.056100%0.02
Todd Day-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.000.000100%0.011-0.032100%0.01
Dean Garrett-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Sam Mitchell-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Rasho Nesterovic-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.0010%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Anthony Peeler-0.140,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14-0.09-0.05-0.00950%-0.044-0.10475%-0.02

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Matt Maloney0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.040.04-0.00760%0.0800.001100%0.01
Alan Henderson0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.070.070.060.010.001368%0.152-0.07250%-0.01
Chris Crawford0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Jim Jackson0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.02-0.030.021266%0.063-0.088100%0.06
Dikembe Mutombo0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.060.010.01945%0.002-0.06450%-0.02
Larry Robinson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.06-0.03-0.03725%-0.0700.002100%0.01
DerMarr Johnson0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.03-0.030.02750%-0.012-0.0700%0.00
Hanno Mottola0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.05-0.03-0.010100%0.023-0.092100%0.02
Lorenzen Wright0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14-0.14-0.15-0.02-0.0386%-0.121-0.02250%-0.01
Jason Terry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15-0.15-0.07-0.08-0.01850%-0.023-0.13667%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.31.831.215.428.52.340.3142.8
league avg28.82.228.916.626.22.233.1139.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIN +16.7%
MIN +21.2%
ATL -3.3%
MIN +17.3%
ATL -1.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMINATLNBAMINATLNBA
this game14.516.915.5103.391.3100.9
season15.015.4102.996.0
opponent15.115.9101.6101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIN12.514.913.117.914.5
ATL19.413.918.216.416.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
LaPhonso Ellis49510.68-0.180.850.2116-62214.614.50.0516.517.4-0.86
Anthony Peeler69680.68-0.180.850.1518-82613.717.1-3.4117.914.23.72
Kevin Garnett77760.430.070.360.1791814.415.3-0.8717.115.81.33
Wally Szczerbiak75750.360.140.230.1091813.618.8-5.1717.215.61.63
William Avery35370.350.150.190.1473414.114.8-0.7516.317.3-0.98
Sam Mitchell16160.130.37-0.250.1019-818.813.65.1716.417.0-0.65
Chauncey Billups61620.030.47-0.440.06-111-1215.512.72.8117.515.71.80
Reggie Slater010.010.49-0.480.01010-100.014.5-14.553.017.1-14.07
Rasho Nesterovic2223-0.020.52-0.54-0.0828-613.015.1-2.1019.416.13.36
Todd Day1718-0.040.54-0.590.07-414-1815.514.31.2111.718.2-6.52
Dean Garrett3433-0.100.60-0.690.11-717-2415.913.82.0815.617.6-1.99

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Matt Maloney47470.15-0.650.80-0.036-162219.414.35.0515.613.52.12
Chris Crawford11110.00-0.500.50-0.062-121415.317.1-1.8614.114.6-0.52
Dikembe Mutombo5958-0.02-0.480.45-0.082-121418.514.04.5415.113.51.58
Hanno Mottola2322-0.08-0.420.34-0.080-101017.016.90.0617.613.64.07
DerMarr Johnson4443-0.10-0.400.300.10-7-3-419.414.64.7415.114.11.03
Larry Robinson5454-0.32-0.18-0.13-0.351-111215.419.0-3.6015.213.61.61
Alan Henderson6969-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.13-100-1016.917.0-0.0613.617.6-4.07
Lorenzen Wright3333-0.48-0.02-0.45-0.12-122-1414.018.5-4.5413.515.1-1.58
Jim Jackson7574-0.580.08-0.67-0.11-166-2216.817.5-0.7613.817.7-3.88
Jason Terry4544-0.650.15-0.80-0.18-166-2214.319.4-5.0513.515.6-2.12


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.4,0.39,0.35,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.24,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.68,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.36,0.19,0.22,0.29,0.38,0.32,0.22,0.15,0.22,0.04,0.07,0.02,0.05,0
GameSimilarity Score
NOH 118, LAL 1040.5,0.49,0.52,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.34,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.24,0.25,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.25,0.15,0.23,0.15,0.29,0.23,0.17,0.16,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,093.1%
MIL 98, POR 920.5,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.4,0.39,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.06,0.09,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.04,091.7%
DAL 95, GSW 870.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.24,0.21,0.29,0.37,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.64,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.63,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.31,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,091.6%