NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	103		Excitement	7.3 [423]		MVP	Kyrie Irving (DAL): +27.2%
Dallas Mavericks	111		Comeback	1.7 [766]		LVP	Spencer Dinwiddie (DAL): -19.6%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zion Williamson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07	0.13	-0.01	0.05	15	71%	0.15	3	-0.08	11	64%	-0.03
Karlo Matkovic	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	6	60%	0.08	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Trey Murphy III	0.02	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.01	0.02	19	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Bruce Brown	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	7	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jordan Hawkins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	7	31%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jose Alvarado	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	8	47%	0.00	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Antonio Reeves	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	6	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Yves Missi	-0.05	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	0.02	-0.01	8	37%	0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
CJ McCollum	-0.10	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	16	44%	-0.00	2	-0.10	4	50%	-0.03

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.25,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.21	0.12	0.05	22	67%	0.30	1	-0.02	8	100%	0.05
Naji Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.09	0.13	0.00	8	71%	0.24	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.02
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.03	0.06	-0.09	11	55%	0.20	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Max Christie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.12	0.07	0.02	7	100%	0.21	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
P.J. Washington	0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	-0.01	0.02	17	57%	0.06	1	-0.01	8	62%	-0.02
Kessler Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Olivier-Maxence Prosper	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	12%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Moses Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Dante Exum	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	7	25%	-0.07	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Spencer Dinwiddie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.15	-0.05	-0.01	7	0%	-0.13	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.0	30.1	14.4	31.2	2.4	30.2	134.6
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +47.2%

DAL +7.2%

NOP -10.2%

DAL +7.8%

NOP -2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	DAL	NBA	NOP	DAL	NBA
this game	12.6	15.3	14.4	99.0	107.8	113.1
season	14.4	14.3		109.3	113.3
opponent	14.4	14.3		114.4	118.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	13.7	10.8	11.0	15.1	12.6
DAL	14.6	15.9	15.6	14.9	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kelly Olynyk	50	51	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.25	11	-19	30	13.1	12.1	0.93	15.2	15.3	-0.13
Antonio Reeves	10	10	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.04	2	-10	12	11.6	12.7	-1.08	13.9	15.4	-1.51
Karlo Matkovic	49	48	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.06	1	-9	10	11.0	13.9	-2.90	14.1	16.2	-2.09
Zion Williamson	60	58	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.14	0	-8	8	12.8	12.3	0.49	15.6	14.9	0.66
Jose Alvarado	66	67	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.34	4	-12	16	12.4	12.8	-0.38	14.8	16.2	-1.43
Yves Missi	47	47	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.16	-3	-5	2	13.9	11.5	2.44	17.3	13.6	3.71
CJ McCollum	64	61	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.01	-11	3	-14	13.0	11.8	1.18	16.3	13.7	2.61
Jordan Hawkins	47	48	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.16	-11	3	-14	12.5	12.6	-0.12	14.4	16.0	-1.62
Trey Murphy III	77	77	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.13	-13	5	-18	12.2	13.6	-1.32	15.8	13.8	2.00
Bruce Brown	50	48	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.05	-20	12	-32	12.5	12.7	-0.19	13.8	16.5	-2.71

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Max Christie	69	69	0.89	-0.39	1.28	0.16	25	-17	42	14.9	16.1	-1.23	12.4	13.0	-0.59
Spencer Dinwiddie	52	55	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.01	18	-10	28	14.4	16.2	-1.77	13.3	11.8	1.48
Naji Marshall	54	53	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.24	5	3	2	14.6	16.0	-1.45	12.1	13.0	-0.91
P.J. Washington	78	78	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.08	8	0	8	15.4	14.9	0.45	13.1	11.1	1.95
Kyrie Irving	79	80	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.15	4	4	0	15.8	13.6	2.19	12.2	13.9	-1.74
Moses Brown	23	25	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.07	3	5	-2	14.5	15.5	-1.01	14.8	11.9	2.93
Olivier-Maxence Prosper	31	35	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.08	-1	9	-10	16.3	14.8	1.47	11.7	13.0	-1.30
Dante Exum	45	43	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.26	-8	16	-24	16.1	14.6	1.43	11.9	13.1	-1.22
Kessler Edwards	29	27	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.19	-6	14	-20	14.8	15.4	-0.60	11.3	13.0	-1.68
Klay Thompson	55	55	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.11	-8	16	-24	15.7	14.7	0.96	13.2	11.9	1.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.73,0.66,0.62,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.55,0.65,0.63,0.71,0.71,0.66,0.7,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.71,0.83,0.97,0.93,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 98, LAL 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.47,0.46,0.5,0.4,0.48,0.49,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.99,1,1,1	93.8%
OKC 119, NOP 123	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.57,0.62,0.71,0.64,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.79,0.87,0.85,0.92,0.89,0.88,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.96,1	93.2%
MIL 84, HOU 93	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.81,0.87,0.82,0.8,0.91,0.83,0.89,0.9,0.97,0.95,1,1,1	93.1%