NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	114		Excitement	7.4 [252]		MVP	Cole Anthony (ORL): +25.5%
Atlanta Hawks	108		Comeback	6.2 [188]		LVP	Dyson Daniels (ATL): -26.7%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cole Anthony	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0,0,0,0.08,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.04	0.20	-0.01	13	61%	0.32	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Paolo Banchero	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.06	0.01	25	55%	0.18	3	-0.10	16	69%	-0.02
Anthony Black	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.03	0.01	7	62%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Goga Bitadze	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	3	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tristan da Silva	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Isaac	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	2	33%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	5	46%	0.03	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02
Gary Harris	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Franz Wagner	-0.04	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.04	-0.03	0.05	18	53%	-0.01	1	-0.02	11	64%	-0.04
Wendell Carter Jr.	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.02	-0.04	0.02	8	50%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trae Young	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.15,0.22,0.15,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.05	0.03	28	58%	0.22	5	-0.11	10	80%	0.02
Dominick Barlow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	2	125%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caris LeVert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.05	-0.01	13	43%	0.07	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.07
Terance Mann	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	5	70%	0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Georges Niang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.00	6	57%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Zaccharie Risacher	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	-0.05	15	37%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Onyeka Okongwu	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	8	55%	0.07	2	-0.08	4	75%	0.00
Mouhamed Gueye	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	6	21%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dyson Daniels	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.27	-0.11	-0.15	0.01	15	28%	-0.27	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.3	1.8	32.3	14.5	31.0	1.8	37.3	148.0
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.2	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +50.9%

ATL -7.7%

ORL +1.4%

ATL -0.8%

ORL +6.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	ATL	NBA	ORL	ATL	NBA
this game	14.4	14.6	14.4	115.2	108.0	112.6
season	15.3	13.2		107.0	110.6
opponent	14.3	14.4		113.2	108.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	14.8	12.2	14.2	16.2	14.4
ATL	12.8	16.0	15.1	14.3	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paolo Banchero	76	78	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.32	10	-4	14	13.9	16.0	-2.12	14.7	14.3	0.38
Cole Anthony	65	68	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.24	10	-4	14	14.5	14.2	0.26	13.9	16.0	-2.06
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	65	65	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.28	6	0	6	13.8	15.4	-1.58	13.4	16.7	-3.30
Wendell Carter Jr.	68	68	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.38	0	6	-6	14.3	14.5	-0.25	14.0	15.8	-1.83
Franz Wagner	71	69	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.25	2	4	-2	14.5	13.9	0.62	14.0	15.8	-1.79
Gary Harris	31	33	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.16	1	5	-4	13.2	14.9	-1.77	15.6	14.1	1.50
Goga Bitadze	31	32	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.06	6	0	6	14.5	14.3	0.25	15.8	14.0	1.83
Tristan da Silva	34	35	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.04	0	6	-6	15.4	13.8	1.58	16.7	13.4	3.30
Anthony Black	31	30	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.01	-1	7	-8	15.0	14.1	0.91	16.2	13.9	2.38
Jonathan Isaac	23	22	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.00	-4	10	-14	16.0	13.9	2.12	14.3	14.7	-0.38

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zaccharie Risacher	51	48	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.20	7	-13	20	15.3	13.9	1.40	14.2	14.5	-0.24
Dominick Barlow	12	12	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.07	2	-8	10	16.5	14.3	2.19	19.7	13.6	6.02
Mouhamed Gueye	33	31	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.02	-4	-2	-2	14.0	14.9	-0.90	13.6	14.7	-1.06
Terance Mann	43	43	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.01	-6	0	-6	16.1	13.4	2.71	14.8	14.0	0.82
Clint Capela	37	35	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.01	-8	2	-10	16.1	13.7	2.44	14.7	14.2	0.44
Onyeka Okongwu	63	64	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.32	2	-8	10	13.7	16.1	-2.44	14.2	14.7	-0.44
Georges Niang	55	56	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.24	-4	-2	-2	14.5	14.6	-0.14	13.6	15.3	-1.68
Caris LeVert	58	59	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.19	-8	2	-10	13.9	15.5	-1.56	14.4	14.3	0.04
Trae Young	76	76	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.24	-7	1	-8	14.1	16.0	-1.94	14.5	13.9	0.66
Dyson Daniels	72	71	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.33	-4	-2	-2	14.2	15.6	-1.39	14.0	15.3	-1.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.43,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.75,0.8,0.82,0.74,0.79,0.85,0.82,0.84,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.76,0.69,0.61,0.59,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.25,0.33,0.36,0.35,0.25,0.21,0.22,0.29,0.15,0.16,0.25,0.21,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.22,0.39,0.37,0.06,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 95, NOP 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.68,0.72,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.74,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.23,0.29,0.18,0.19,0.22,0.3,0.2,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.13,0.03,0.03,0.02,0	91.7%
ATL 99, MEM 92	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.71,0.76,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.77,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.5,0.48,0.37,0.25,0.39,0.42,0.32,0.2,0.14,0.26,0.26,0.18,0.19,0.22,0.18,0.19,0.27,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.31,0.21,0.15,0.02,0	91.2%
LAC 110, CLE 108	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.78,0.74,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.36,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.38,0.27,0.21,0.19,0.25,0.15,0.13,0.19,0.2,0.12,0.17,0.06,0.17,0.25,0.11,0.09,0.04,0	90.9%