inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 101 Excitement5.2 [797] MVPNaz Reid (MIN): +29.5%
Minnesota Timberwolves 116 Comeback1.1 [322] LVPIsaiah Joe (OKC): -4.6%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Aaron Wiggins0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.060.02-0.00862%0.0800.0000%0.00
Luguentz Dort0.080,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.100.000.011070%0.0800.0000%0.00
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander0.040,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.000.03-0.012145%0.061-0.0311100%0.06
Isaiah Hartenstein0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.000.010.00683%0.094-0.0800%0.00
Alex Ducas0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Adam Flagler0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01333%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dillon Jones0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kenrich Williams-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.01-0.00950%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Jaylin Williams-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Chet Holmgren-0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.00-0.000.02755%-0.002-0.02667%-0.01
Jalen Williams-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.03-0.040.031751%-0.001-0.03580%-0.00
Isaiah Joe-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.08-0.00-0.0358%-0.0500.00250%-0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Naz Reid0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.30.300.210.06-0.031871%0.3000.002100%0.01
Jaden McDaniels0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.080.020.011854%0.0900.00367%-0.01
Nickeil Alexander-Walker0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.040.030.001164%0.122-0.0500%0.00
Terrence Shannon Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.020.02-0.011054%0.081-0.034100%0.02
Luka Garza0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.02-0.01757%0.061-0.0200%0.00
Rob Dillingham0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.00-0.01-0.02743%0.0100.0000%0.00
Tristen Newton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Leonard Miller00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Joe Ingles0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Josh Minott0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.05-0.00-0.0420%-0.0210.0000%0.00
Jaylen Clark0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.04-0.00-0.02629%-0.0200.002100%0.01
Anthony Edwards0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.02-0.020.031849%0.022-0.051191%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game33.43.326.615.631.22.628.0140.8
league avg25.92.328.214.928.62.332.2135.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIN +29.6%
MIN +3.9%
MIN +12.8%
MIN +3.5%
MIN +0.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCMINNBAOKCMINNBA
this game13.515.714.4103.1117.2113.0
season13.814.7117.4114.8
opponent14.714.7110.2105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
OKC14.211.812.915.313.5
MIN13.017.015.917.415.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Alex Ducas66-0.00-0.500.50-0.062-171915.713.42.3119.315.53.84
Adam Flagler66-0.00-0.500.50-0.062-171915.713.42.3119.315.53.84
Isaiah Hartenstein5858-0.12-0.380.26-0.120-151513.413.7-0.3015.615.9-0.30
Chet Holmgren6462-0.13-0.370.24-0.04-3-12912.515.4-2.9316.015.20.86
Kenrich Williams3737-0.14-0.360.22-0.08-2-131113.613.40.2417.414.72.72
Jalen Williams7172-0.16-0.340.18-0.04-4-11713.314.1-0.8415.915.20.69
Luguentz Dort6767-0.18-0.320.14-0.09-3-12912.715.3-2.6715.915.40.47
Jaylin Williams1618-0.18-0.320.140.02-7-8115.913.02.8413.316.3-2.93
Dillon Jones1516-0.18-0.320.140.02-7-8114.913.31.6114.416.0-1.54
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander7173-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.02-12-3-913.214.4-1.2515.017.8-2.82
Isaiah Joe4242-0.38-0.12-0.270.06-150-1514.312.91.3716.115.50.64
Aaron Wiggins3738-0.660.16-0.810.11-2611-3714.812.72.0214.716.4-1.74

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Terrence Shannon Jr.60580.62-0.120.75-0.0523-83114.917.0-2.1014.112.71.35
Rob Dillingham41400.55-0.050.600.0218-32115.915.60.3414.712.62.11
Luka Garza28280.370.130.240.05114715.615.8-0.2215.212.82.45
Anthony Edwards77760.280.220.06-0.01105515.117.9-2.8113.414.0-0.59
Jaden McDaniels80780.260.240.01-0.10123914.819.5-4.7013.613.10.50
Naz Reid80790.250.25-0.00-0.04105515.715.8-0.1413.115.1-1.93
Nickeil Alexander-Walker64640.230.27-0.040.0569-316.015.30.7313.214.1-0.90
Tristen Newton330.000.50-0.500.12-419-2324.315.58.8710.313.6-3.27
Leonard Miller330.000.50-0.500.12-419-2324.315.58.8710.313.6-3.27
Jaylen Clark4950-0.000.50-0.50-0.00015-1516.814.72.1612.914.2-1.31
Joe Ingles34-0.010.51-0.520.02-116-1722.715.57.1613.013.5-0.52
Josh Minott77-0.050.55-0.590.13-621-2719.415.43.989.713.8-4.08


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.72,0.78,0.77,0.81,0.73,0.73,0.69,0.66,0.58,0.55,0.76,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.83,0.92,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 84, HOU 1030.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.76,0.75,0.8,0.83,0.89,0.86,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.83,0.74,0.77,0.7,0.7,0.63,0.63,0.55,0.63,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.83,0.86,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.8%
PHX 92, DEN 1090.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.81,0.78,0.71,0.67,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.69,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.7,0.65,0.69,0.59,0.52,0.67,0.65,0.71,0.76,0.79,0.84,0.88,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.6%
WAS 107, TOR 1250.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.43,0.49,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.71,0.74,0.81,0.76,0.66,0.77,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.69,0.75,0.8,0.73,0.65,0.55,0.45,0.58,0.72,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.85,0.83,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.89,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,194.6%