NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	131		Excitement	7.2 [405]		MVP	Stephon Castle (SAS): +20.9%
Washington Wizards	121		Comeback	1.6 [967]		LVP	Jordan Poole (WAS): -18.9%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephon Castle	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.13	0.08	-0.00	9	89%	0.24	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Victor Wembanyama	0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.21	0.17	0.03	0.00	21	67%	0.22	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.04
De'Aaron Fox	0.19	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.19	0.15	0.06	0.02	14	65%	0.23	1	-0.04	18	83%	0.02
Jeremy Sochan	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.10	0.07	0.00	7	93%	0.22	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Julian Champagnie	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.04	0.00	3	86%	0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Harrison Barnes	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	-0.00	9	60%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Sandro Mamukelashvili	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	0.03	6	57%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Devin Vassell	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	9	37%	-0.02	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Keldon Johnson	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.12	-0.03	-0.01	8	25%	-0.07	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tristan Vukcevic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.13	0.04	0.01	10	82%	0.17	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.02
Justin Champagnie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.14	0.02	0.00	6	100%	0.16	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Richaun Holmes	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.12	0.00	0.01	9	85%	0.14	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Corey Kispert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	-0.01	-0.02	11	61%	0.12	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Bilal Coulibaly	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	0.00	0.02	-0.02	0.00	9	56%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bub Carrington	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	10	50%	0.07	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Malcolm Brogdon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	0.02	10	52%	0.01	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Kyshawn George	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	10	44%	-0.04	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.00
Jordan Poole	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.10	-0.08	0.01	18	38%	-0.12	3	-0.07	6	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	2.0	29.2	14.6	29.4	2.3	35.3	137.6
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.1	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +45.6%

SAS +5.1%

WAS -5.6%

SAS +6.1%

WAS -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	WAS	NBA	SAS	WAS	NBA
this game	13.8	14.3	14.4	128.4	117.5	113.1
season	14.2	14.0		113.0	105.3
opponent	14.1	14.5		117.6	115.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	12.5	14.1	13.8	14.9	13.8
WAS	14.2	14.2	13.9	15.1	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
De'Aaron Fox	77	79	0.72	-0.22	0.94	-0.01	25	-15	40	12.9	16.4	-3.42	15.0	12.1	2.86
Harrison Barnes	56	56	0.48	0.02	0.47	-0.07	19	-9	28	13.7	13.8	-0.13	15.1	13.4	1.69
Chris Paul	67	69	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.04	12	-2	14	14.7	12.1	2.61	14.7	13.6	1.09
Julian Champagnie	36	36	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.09	7	3	4	11.7	14.9	-3.13	13.7	14.7	-0.96
Jeremy Sochan	46	46	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.33	-2	12	-14	13.6	13.9	-0.26	13.7	14.9	-1.21
Victor Wembanyama	80	82	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.08	6	4	2	14.2	12.3	1.86	14.3	14.3	0.04
Devin Vassell	64	64	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.17	1	9	-8	15.3	11.2	4.13	14.3	14.4	-0.10
Sandro Mamukelashvili	14	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	9	-8	13.1	13.9	-0.73	15.6	14.1	1.45
Keldon Johnson	27	26	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.20	-7	17	-24	13.6	13.8	-0.20	11.7	15.2	-3.52
Stephon Castle	43	43	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.30	-12	22	-34	13.1	14.3	-1.22	14.0	14.6	-0.59

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Justin Champagnie	37	38	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.38	17	-27	44	13.6	14.7	-1.05	15.6	12.7	2.92
Corey Kispert	52	51	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.24	8	-18	26	13.4	15.2	-1.77	13.7	13.8	-0.10
Malcolm Brogdon	43	43	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.29	9	-19	28	12.4	15.7	-3.26	14.4	13.3	1.11
Tristan Vukcevic	43	45	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.43	13	-23	36	13.2	15.1	-1.87	14.0	13.6	0.48
Bub Carrington	60	62	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.04	-6	-4	-2	14.1	14.6	-0.53	14.2	13.1	1.07
Richaun Holmes	56	54	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.18	-21	11	-32	15.8	12.6	3.17	13.9	13.7	0.20
Kyshawn George	79	77	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	0.01	-19	9	-28	14.7	13.1	1.61	13.2	15.6	-2.42
Jordan Poole	67	65	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	0.11	-24	14	-38	15.2	12.7	2.54	13.4	14.5	-1.16
Bilal Coulibaly	78	75	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	0.04	-27	17	-44	14.9	12.6	2.22	12.9	16.2	-3.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.48,0.37,0.31,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.44,0.47,0.5,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.54,0.43,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.45,0.48,0.31,0.26,0.21,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.25,0.19,0.17,0.12,0.07,0.19,0.05,0.01,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 110, NJN 97	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.34,0.3,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.28,0.3,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.19,0.26,0.33,0.24,0.32,0.2,0.09,0.03,0.02,0.03,0,0,0	92.1%
IND 97, SAC 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.34,0.43,0.44,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.43,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.26,0.29,0.3,0.21,0.29,0.24,0.12,0.26,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.05,0	91.7%
BOS 109, BKN 102	0.5,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.31,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.31,0.36,0.35,0.39,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.41,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.45,0.34,0.3,0.16,0.1,0.15,0.18,0.34,0.28,0.23,0.11,0.05,0.02,0.19,0.07,0.05,0.02,0	91.7%