NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	125		Excitement	5.1 [513]		MVP	Georges Niang (ATL): +19.9%
Washington Wizards	111		Comeback	1.8 [545]		LVP	Jordan Poole (WAS): -12.2%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Georges Niang	0.20	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.12	0.05	-0.04	10	80%	0.22	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Vit Krejci	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.10	0.03	-0.04	8	75%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trae Young	0.11	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,0.02,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	-0.01	-0.03	26	62%	0.24	6	-0.13	4	100%	0.02
Zaccharie Risacher	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.14	0.00	0.04	12	75%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Nance Jr.	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.02	11	61%	0.06	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01
Caris LeVert	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.01	6	56%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Onyeka Okongwu	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	6	43%	0.00	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Terance Mann	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	0.02	5	33%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Dyson Daniels	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	0.02	13	37%	-0.08	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bub Carrington	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.17	-0.01	0.10	13	88%	0.13	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Richaun Holmes	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.01	0.01	6	71%	0.06	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Tristan Vukcevic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	6	57%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
AJ Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Kispert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	13	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bilal Coulibaly	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.01	-0.03	20	39%	0.01	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Justin Champagnie	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	8	56%	0.07	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Malcolm Brogdon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	6	37%	-0.01	2	-0.05	7	100%	0.02
Jordan Poole	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.03	-0.04	0.05	17	55%	-0.03	5	-0.09	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.4	28.8	15.7	27.3	1.7	26.2	127.5
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.2	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +45.1%

WAS -8.6%

WAS -6.3%

ATL +20.3%

WAS -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	WAS	NBA	ATL	WAS	NBA
this game	13.1	13.9	14.4	117.9	103.7	112.6
season	13.2	13.9		110.6	105.2
opponent	14.1	14.3		118.2	113.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	11.8	12.3	12.7	16.1	13.1
WAS	13.0	14.3	14.0	14.5	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trae Young	78	81	0.77	-0.27	1.04	-0.29	36	-22	58	12.6	14.6	-2.09	14.3	12.8	1.54
Georges Niang	56	58	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.02	18	-4	22	12.7	13.5	-0.75	14.9	12.8	2.18
Onyeka Okongwu	57	57	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.01	15	-1	16	12.9	13.3	-0.41	14.3	13.5	0.74
Vit Krejci	70	70	0.39	0.12	0.27	0.03	12	2	10	13.0	13.3	-0.31	14.0	13.9	0.07
Dyson Daniels	76	76	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.23	3	11	-8	13.3	12.6	0.75	14.3	13.0	1.32
Zaccharie Risacher	53	53	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.22	1	13	-12	14.4	11.8	2.66	13.7	14.2	-0.54
Larry Nance Jr.	49	50	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.10	-1	15	-16	13.3	12.9	0.41	13.5	14.3	-0.74
Terance Mann	55	55	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.17	-7	21	-28	13.4	12.7	0.69	13.1	14.9	-1.81
Caris LeVert	36	35	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	0.01	-7	21	-28	12.1	13.6	-1.46	12.3	14.7	-2.37

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jaylen Martin	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-14	14	18.0	13.9	4.14	22.5	12.9	9.58
Tristan Vukcevic	30	32	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.03	0	-14	14	13.3	14.2	-0.93	13.1	13.1	0.03
AJ Johnson	15	15	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.07	-4	-10	6	13.3	14.0	-0.78	13.0	13.1	-0.12
Corey Kispert	79	78	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.12	-1	-13	12	13.4	15.3	-1.88	13.1	13.2	-0.20
Jordan Poole	68	69	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.26	1	-15	16	14.4	13.1	1.31	13.3	12.8	0.53
Malcolm Brogdon	54	52	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.07	-11	-3	-8	13.2	14.7	-1.51	12.8	13.4	-0.54
Justin Champagnie	56	55	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.23	-21	7	-28	14.1	13.7	0.40	12.7	13.6	-0.90
Bilal Coulibaly	79	79	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.15	-8	-6	-2	14.2	13.2	1.02	12.8	13.9	-1.10
Richaun Holmes	66	64	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.25	-6	-8	2	14.5	13.1	1.40	13.5	12.5	0.96
Bub Carrington	86	84	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	0.01	-20	6	-26	14.0	13.9	0.10	13.2	12.7	0.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.51,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.46,0.37,0.29,0.23,0.2,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.13,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 114, UTA 97	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.54,0.65,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.48,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.3,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%
NYK 114, CHI 91	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.44,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.49,0.39,0.37,0.29,0.26,0.27,0.19,0.14,0.17,0.1,0.09,0.2,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.4%
UTA 103, MIA 95	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.37,0.23,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0,0	94.3%