NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	111		Excitement	9.0 [173]		MVP	Anthony Black (ORL): +34.1%
Orlando Magic	112		Comeback	12.8 [121]		LVP	De'Aaron Fox (SAS): -35.1%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Vassell	0.33	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.33	0.23	0.10	-0.00	14	89%	0.33	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	0.26	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.12,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.22	0.08	0.04	11	95%	0.26	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keldon Johnson	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	6	77%	0.12	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Stephon Castle	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.05	0.00	12	48%	0.08	0	0.00	7	71%	0.00
Jeremy Sochan	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.04	-0.00	5	70%	0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Julian Champagnie	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Victor Wembanyama	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,0.07,-0.23	-0.00	-0.21	0.02	11	60%	-0.09	4	-0.14	8	87%	0.01
De'Aaron Fox	-0.35	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.21,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.00	11	35%	-0.11	5	-0.24	4	75%	-0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Black	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.26,0.26,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34	0.34	0.20	0.15	0.02	9	105%	0.36	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Jonathan Isaac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.14	0.13	0.00	7	100%	0.27	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paolo Banchero	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.15,-0.2,-0.18,0.04	0.04	-0.11	0.15	0.00	17	45%	0.21	5	-0.17	4	75%	-0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	37%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cole Anthony	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.02	11	52%	-0.01	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Tristan da Silva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	2	75%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Goga Bitadze	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	2	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.05
Wendell Carter Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	7	39%	-0.03	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Franz Wagner	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.15,0.2,0.15,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.26	-0.26	0.03	-0.30	-0.00	28	53%	-0.08	3	-0.19	6	50%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.7	1.0	23.2	14.6	32.2	1.8	31.2	130.8
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.1	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +15.6%

SAS -14.4%

ORL +44.7%

SAS -5.9%

ORL +10.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	ORL	NBA	SAS	ORL	NBA
this game	14.0	15.7	14.4	114.4	115.5	113.1
season	14.2	15.4		113.0	108.6
opponent	14.4	14.5		108.7	115.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	13.4	14.6	13.0	15.3	14.0
ORL	15.4	16.7	15.2	15.4	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeremy Sochan	36	39	0.30	-0.80	1.11	0.07	8	-9	17	13.1	14.6	-1.55	15.8	15.6	0.23
Julian Champagnie	25	25	0.26	-0.76	1.01	0.05	7	-8	15	13.1	14.3	-1.23	16.0	15.5	0.46
Keldon Johnson	35	34	0.14	-0.64	0.79	-0.06	7	-8	15	14.7	13.7	0.98	16.3	15.3	0.93
Stephon Castle	59	58	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.16	-4	3	-7	14.6	13.1	1.48	16.2	14.8	1.40
Chris Paul	53	54	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.41	2	-3	5	13.8	14.3	-0.44	16.6	14.5	2.10
Devin Vassell	71	69	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.34	-4	3	-7	14.2	13.7	0.46	15.2	16.7	-1.43
Harrison Barnes	73	75	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.48	-4	3	-7	13.8	14.6	-0.79	15.2	17.1	-1.85
De'Aaron Fox	69	70	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.51	-3	2	-5	13.7	14.9	-1.16	15.0	17.3	-2.27
Victor Wembanyama	64	61	-0.92	0.42	-1.33	-0.50	-14	13	-27	14.7	12.8	1.88	15.4	16.0	-0.59

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonathan Isaac	37	36	1.06	-0.56	1.62	0.62	15	-14	29	15.3	15.9	-0.59	15.5	13.2	2.34
Anthony Black	52	53	1.01	-0.51	1.52	0.36	22	-21	43	15.5	15.9	-0.43	15.3	12.5	2.84
Franz Wagner	77	78	0.97	-0.47	1.44	0.36	21	-20	41	15.2	17.3	-2.13	14.6	11.7	2.92
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	62	62	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.62	-4	5	-9	15.2	16.5	-1.29	13.6	14.8	-1.20
Paolo Banchero	69	69	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.56	-7	8	-15	15.2	16.8	-1.63	13.5	15.4	-1.91
Tristan da Silva	35	35	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.15	5	-4	9	16.5	15.2	1.29	14.8	13.6	1.20
Wendell Carter Jr.	21	22	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	-0.07	-1	2	-3	17.3	15.2	2.08	14.3	13.9	0.37
Goga Bitadze	54	54	-0.36	0.86	-1.22	-0.04	-11	12	-23	15.7	15.6	0.18	13.3	15.0	-1.74
Gary Harris	34	32	-0.38	0.88	-1.26	0.03	-14	15	-29	16.5	15.2	1.29	13.3	14.4	-1.12
Cole Anthony	44	44	-0.56	1.06	-1.63	0.05	-21	22	-43	16.2	15.2	0.96	12.5	15.3	-2.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.34,0.32,0.33,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.39,0.46,0.35,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.26,0.25,0.11,0.16,0.15,0.22,0.26,0.29,0.21,0.23,0.31,0.35,0.61,0.26,0.21,0.31,0.26,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 94, DEN 95	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.51,0.46,0.39,0.5,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.31,0.41,0.23,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.33,0.42,0.36,0.24,0.33,0.45,0.29,0.23,0.26,1	90.2%
MIA 102, NOP 104	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.27,0.26,0.18,0.15,0.26,0.33,0.25,0.19,0.3,0.34,0.46,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.41,1	90.0%
MEM 98, GSW 101	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.31,0.42,0.35,0.33,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.31,0.42,0.33,0.32,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.41,0.26,0.22,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.31,0.29,0.39,0.38,0.45,0.22,0.27,1	89.8%