NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	119		Excitement	8.0 [289]		MVP	Pascal Siakam (IND): +35.1%
LA Clippers	112		Comeback	8.9 [65]		LVP	Norman Powell (LAC): -18.0%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pascal Siakam	0.35	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.3,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35	0.28	0.08	0.01	19	82%	0.35	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bennedict Mathurin	0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.04	0.04	13	66%	0.16	0	0.00	12	67%	-0.08
Tyrese Haliburton	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.18,0.15,0.15	0.01	0.15	0.01	13	50%	0.19	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Ben Sheppard	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.11	0.02	0.03	7	86%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thomas Bryant	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.03	-0.03	10	55%	0.12	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Obi Toppin	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.00	0.05	-0.00	9	50%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Myles Turner	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	4	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Nesmith	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	3	40%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Andrew Nembhard	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.03	-0.05	9	22%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.1,-0.14,-0.19,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	8	31%	-0.02	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	-0.03	0.16	-0.03	16	56%	0.27	5	-0.11	2	100%	0.03
James Harden	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.04	0.01	14	67%	0.20	4	-0.11	5	80%	0.01
Amir Coffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	-0.00	0.02	7	87%	0.14	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Drew Eubanks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	3	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Jones Jr.	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.03,0.01,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.02	0.00	10	60%	0.08	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Ivica Zubac	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.09	-0.07	-0.00	11	75%	0.16	2	-0.15	2	100%	0.01
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Dunn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.06	-0.01	5	8%	-0.11	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Norman Powell	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	0.01	-0.15	0.04	20	49%	-0.12	2	-0.06	5	40%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	2.4	25.7	14.8	28.5	1.8	34.2	133.8
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.1	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +32.8%

LAC -13.4%

LAC -6.4%

IND +33.1%

IND +3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	LAC	NBA	IND	LAC	NBA
this game	13.7	14.4	14.4	114.4	110.9	113.1
season	13.8	14.9		115.1	113.6
opponent	14.3	14.7		108.7	112.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	16.0	13.4	13.5	11.9	13.7
LAC	11.7	14.9	15.9	15.3	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bennedict Mathurin	62	59	0.78	-0.28	1.07	0.40	13	-6	19	13.2	14.4	-1.21	15.0	13.6	1.38
Pascal Siakam	75	73	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.32	15	-8	23	13.1	15.1	-1.97	15.1	12.7	2.32
Andrew Nembhard	71	69	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.52	6	1	5	12.8	15.5	-2.68	14.6	14.1	0.53
Tyrese Haliburton	75	75	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.46	7	0	7	13.3	14.7	-1.44	14.6	13.8	0.78
Thomas Bryant	61	59	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.34	2	5	-3	14.2	12.9	1.28	13.7	15.4	-1.72
Obi Toppin	75	73	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	-0.08	-2	9	-11	13.7	13.8	-0.11	14.5	14.1	0.39
Myles Turner	12	12	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.09	-8	15	-23	17.3	13.2	4.13	12.2	14.7	-2.56
Ben Sheppard	31	28	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	-0.24	3	4	-1	14.9	13.2	1.74	13.7	14.7	-0.93
T.J. McConnell	30	29	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.18	0	7	-7	14.9	13.2	1.66	14.0	14.6	-0.65
Aaron Nesmith	43	43	-0.30	0.81	-1.11	-0.07	-8	15	-23	14.8	12.9	1.89	13.8	14.9	-1.15

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Drew Eubanks	26	27	0.16	-0.66	0.81	0.16	0	-7	7	15.4	14.1	1.29	14.1	13.5	0.58
Kris Dunn	47	48	0.14	-0.64	0.79	0.14	0	-7	7	14.0	14.8	-0.84	13.6	13.8	-0.18
Nicolas Batum	23	25	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.20	-7	0	-7	14.0	14.6	-0.61	14.0	13.6	0.47
Amir Coffey	50	51	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.24	-12	5	-17	13.8	15.1	-1.32	13.3	14.1	-0.84
James Harden	80	83	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.50	10	-17	27	13.9	16.6	-2.71	13.9	12.9	1.03
Norman Powell	78	79	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.50	0	-7	7	14.6	14.0	0.61	13.6	14.0	-0.47
Kawhi Leonard	66	68	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.32	-10	3	-13	16.0	11.4	4.59	14.4	12.4	1.94
Ivica Zubac	75	77	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.45	-7	0	-7	14.1	15.4	-1.29	13.5	14.1	-0.58
Derrick Jones Jr.	60	62	-0.72	0.22	-0.93	-0.45	-9	2	-11	14.3	14.6	-0.23	13.1	14.5	-1.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.83,0.83,0.87,0.8,0.79,0.75,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.79,0.72,0.51,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.17,0.27,0.29,0.32,0.27,0.31,0.37,0.56,0.66,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.66,0.72,0.76,0.71,0.15,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 93, UTA 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.69,0.72,0.59,0.54,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.25,0.34,0.48,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.53,0.42,0.41,0.53,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.43,0.28,0	87.0%
DET 92, TOR 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.75,0.84,0.78,0.71,0.65,0.61,0.7,0.68,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.53,0.69,0.71,0.53,0.53,0.64,0.32,0.09,0	86.9%
MIL 107, TOR 96	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.56,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.58,0.53,0.4,0.39,0.53,0.21,0.03,0,0	86.6%