NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	118		Excitement	9.7 [101]		MVP	Jalen Brunson (NYK): +45.5%
New York Knicks	124		Comeback	9.4 [300]		LVP	Jalen Green (HOU): -21.0%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron Holiday	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.10	0.15	0.00	10	75%	0.28	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Cam Whitmore	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.05	0.00	14	58%	0.15	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Jae'Sean Tate	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	7	57%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amen Thompson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.02	0.07	-0.07	-0.02	17	61%	0.19	3	-0.18	7	100%	0.05
Dillon Brooks	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	12	42%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.03
Reed Sheppard	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tari Eason	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.02	-0.07	0.01	11	52%	-0.02	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Steven Adams	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1	-0.02	-0.07	0.01	9	44%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Green	-0.21	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.13,-0.24,-0.17,-0.07,-0.19,-0.21	-0.11	-0.09	0.00	22	46%	0.03	6	-0.24	2	100%	0.05

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Brunson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.48,0.46	0.46	0.15	0.34	0.03	27	62%	0.65	4	-0.20	14	93%	0.07
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.03	0.12	-0.00	20	49%	0.17	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.01
Josh Hart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.08	0.00	12	70%	0.22	4	-0.09	3	100%	0.01
Precious Achiuwa	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.02	0.00	3	70%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Cameron Payne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	5	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mikal Bridges	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.02	0.01	18	55%	0.07	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Ariel Hukporti	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jericho Sims	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Landry Shamet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Miles McBride	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	7	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.5	2.3	27.5	14.8	28.0	2.5	46.4	148.9
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +48.9%

NYK +7.1%

HOU -41.3%

NYK +33.2%

NYK +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	NYK	NBA	HOU	NYK	NBA
this game	14.9	12.9	14.4	113.5	120.4	113.1
season	14.8	15.3		113.9	116.0
opponent	14.2	14.3		112.9	109.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	16.6	14.0	14.1	15.3	14.9
NYK	15.4	12.1	13.0	11.4	12.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reed Sheppard	14	12	0.48	-0.98	1.45	-0.08	19	-25	44	12.4	15.3	-2.94	14.2	12.7	1.42
Cam Whitmore	49	48	0.39	-0.89	1.28	0.12	9	-15	24	15.5	14.4	1.11	12.7	13.1	-0.38
Steven Adams	58	56	0.35	-0.85	1.20	-0.18	18	-24	42	14.2	15.8	-1.65	12.8	13.0	-0.20
Aaron Holiday	38	37	0.24	-0.74	0.97	0.12	4	-10	14	14.3	15.3	-0.97	12.1	13.4	-1.26
Amen Thompson	83	81	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.41	-4	-2	-2	14.8	15.5	-0.72	12.7	13.5	-0.80
Dillon Brooks	86	88	-0.72	0.22	-0.95	-0.34	-13	7	-20	14.7	15.9	-1.19	12.8	13.8	-1.04
Tari Eason	70	71	-0.84	0.34	-1.17	-0.34	-17	11	-28	15.2	14.2	1.04	13.3	12.0	1.28
Jae'Sean Tate	46	47	-0.85	0.35	-1.20	-0.15	-24	18	-42	15.8	14.2	1.65	13.0	12.8	0.20
Jalen Green	76	75	-1.02	0.52	-1.54	-0.37	-22	16	-38	15.4	13.6	1.77	13.2	12.1	1.16

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mikal Bridges	84	84	1.16	-0.66	1.81	0.31	29	-23	52	12.7	14.0	-1.33	15.5	12.2	3.35
Karl-Anthony Towns	83	83	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.28	16	-10	26	12.7	13.7	-0.98	15.4	13.1	2.27
Jalen Brunson	77	80	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.31	12	-6	18	13.5	11.3	2.15	14.6	15.7	-1.10
Miles McBride	57	56	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.42	-2	8	-10	12.4	13.6	-1.18	14.4	15.5	-1.15
Josh Hart	86	89	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.39	-2	8	-10	13.4	10.6	2.71	14.2	19.1	-4.86
Precious Achiuwa	75	75	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	2	2	12.6	13.7	-1.15	14.9	15.0	-0.18
Cameron Payne	26	24	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.07	-2	8	-10	11.3	13.5	-2.15	15.7	14.6	1.10
Landry Shamet	12	13	-0.24	0.74	-0.97	0.09	-11	17	-28	12.5	13.0	-0.47	14.7	14.9	-0.24
Ariel Hukporti	15	16	-0.42	0.92	-1.33	-0.01	-14	20	-34	16.7	12.3	4.39	15.3	14.8	0.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.47,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.38,0.36,0.27,0.27,0.35,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.24,0.3,0.27,0.37,0.26,0.28,0.33,0.47,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.37,0.32,0.1,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.23,0.14,0.24,0.26,0.39,0.46,0.45,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 103, ORL 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.26,0.24,0.31,0.26,0.31,0.41,0.39,0.3,0.29,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.36,0.19,0.3,0.33,0.29,0.19,0.26,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.29,0.24,0.73,1	90.1%
LAC 112, OKC 118	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.37,0.36,0.37,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.19,0.22,0.16,0.14,0.22,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.37,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.24,0.22,0.32,0.38,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.1,0.15,0.33,0.25,0.54,0.45,0.96,1	90.1%
HOU 108, NOP 110	0.5,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.31,0.26,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.28,0.39,0.5,0.46,0.34,0.25,0.3,0.33,0.48,0.59,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.4,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.24,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.4,0.39,0.72,0.67,0.85,1	89.9%