NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	132		Excitement	9.1 [111]		MVP	Trae Young (ATL): +62.9%
Detroit Pistons	130		Comeback	1.9 [280]		LVP	Keaton Wallace (ATL): -4.6%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trae Young	0.63	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.23,0.1,0.3,0.3,0.63	0.17	0.45	-0.00	16	74%	0.87	5	-0.24	14	86%	0.02
Zaccharie Risacher	0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.12	0.10	0.00	9	71%	0.22	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Larry Nance Jr.	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.09	0.09	-0.00	8	75%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Onyeka Okongwu	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.13,0.13	0.09	0.05	0.01	7	75%	0.16	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
De'Andre Hunter	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.13	-0.00	0.02	14	67%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Vit Krejci	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	-0.02	0.00	9	72%	0.10	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dyson Daniels	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.03	10	63%	0.13	4	-0.07	10	60%	-0.02
Garrison Mathews	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	5	23%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Dominick Barlow	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keaton Wallace	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.13	0.12	0.02	13	67%	0.23	0	0.00	7	86%	0.03
Malik Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.14	-0.00	0.00	11	82%	0.18	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Duren	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.02	0.01	10	82%	0.17	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Isaiah Stewart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.02	0.01	6	67%	0.08	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Ronald Holland II	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	3	86%	0.11	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Cade Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.1,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.06,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	23	51%	0.29	3	-0.25	13	100%	0.13
Simone Fontecchio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	7	44%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Ausar Thompson	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.01	6	72%	0.11	3	-0.13	6	83%	0.01
Marcus Sasser	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.02	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.6	33.6	14.0	33.2	1.7	37.0	147.5
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.2	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +59.4%

DET -10.3%

ATL +5.1%

ATL +6.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	DET	NBA	ATL	DET	NBA
this game	13.5	13.8	14.4	125.7	122.6	112.6
season	13.2	14.3		110.6	112.6
opponent	14.5	14.3		112.0	113.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	13.8	12.5	12.1	15.8	13.5
DET	13.8	13.7	14.5	13.0	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Larry Nance Jr.	41	42	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.11	12	-10	22	14.1	13.1	1.00	14.4	13.4	0.99
Vit Krejci	60	60	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.38	0	2	-2	13.8	13.2	0.59	14.0	13.5	0.46
Garrison Mathews	25	26	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.02	11	-9	20	13.6	13.5	0.06	13.7	13.8	-0.12
Keaton Wallace	28	26	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.05	13	-11	24	14.8	13.1	1.73	14.9	13.4	1.46
De'Andre Hunter	68	68	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.45	-4	6	-10	13.9	12.8	1.13	13.4	14.6	-1.20
Trae Young	77	80	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.49	-11	13	-24	13.1	14.8	-1.73	13.4	14.9	-1.46
Dominick Barlow	23	25	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.02	5	-3	8	13.9	13.4	0.45	13.8	13.8	0.07
Dyson Daniels	80	80	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.42	-9	11	-20	13.5	13.6	-0.06	13.8	13.7	0.12
Zaccharie Risacher	59	59	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.04	3	-1	4	12.7	14.6	-1.95	14.1	13.4	0.60
Onyeka Okongwu	64	64	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.34	-10	12	-22	13.1	14.1	-1.00	13.4	14.4	-0.99

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Hardaway Jr.	62	62	0.61	-1.11	1.71	0.23	13	-15	28	13.7	13.8	-0.10	12.9	14.4	-1.57
Jalen Duren	66	64	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.24	7	-9	16	13.6	14.0	-0.43	13.0	14.3	-1.28
Tobias Harris	78	77	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.39	12	-14	26	13.9	13.5	0.38	13.5	13.5	-0.03
Cade Cunningham	85	83	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.47	10	-12	22	13.8	13.7	0.15	13.4	13.9	-0.50
Ausar Thompson	55	55	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.33	2	-4	6	13.6	13.9	-0.30	13.3	13.8	-0.47
Marcus Sasser	21	22	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.02	-12	10	-22	13.7	13.8	-0.15	13.9	13.4	0.50
Ronald Holland II	34	33	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.08	-13	11	-24	13.6	13.9	-0.29	13.8	13.4	0.49
Simone Fontecchio	34	35	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.14	-11	9	-20	14.1	13.7	0.41	14.1	13.2	0.94
Isaiah Stewart	40	41	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.20	-9	7	-16	14.0	13.6	0.43	14.3	13.0	1.28
Malik Beasley	55	53	-0.88	0.38	-1.25	-0.61	-9	7	-16	13.8	13.8	-0.00	13.9	13.1	0.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.24,0.19,0.2,0.25,0.37,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.38,0.26,0.09,0.08,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.12,0.19,0.45,0.55,0.28,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 112, DET 109	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.36,0.22,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.57,0.62,0.52,0.39,0.34,0.37,0.25,0.3,0.19,0.2,0.11,0.15,0.1,0.24,0.09,0.15,0.22,0.31,0.17,0	91.8%
GSW 98, IND 96	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.27,0.33,0.37,0.45,0.36,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.33,0.25,0.38,0.3,0.21,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.1,0.28,0.43,0.42,0	91.6%
IND 95, WAS 91	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.49,0.37,0.3,0.27,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.28,0.17,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.28,0.55,0.42,0	90.6%