NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	124		Excitement	4.5 [925]		MVP	Corey Kispert (WAS): +18.6%
Charlotte Hornets	114		Comeback	1.6 [410]		LVP	KJ Simpson (CHA): -8.4%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Kispert	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.02	0.03	13	89%	0.24	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Malcolm Brogdon	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.04	0.07	-0.04	9	57%	0.19	2	-0.03	10	80%	0.02
Bilal Coulibaly	0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.19	0.00	0.07	16	70%	0.12	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Kyle Kuzma	0.08	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.01	0.01	-0.06	21	49%	0.11	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Kyshawn George	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	-0.00	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Champagnie	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	3	83%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Valanciunas	0.02	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	14	45%	0.03	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.00
Bub Carrington	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richaun Holmes	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Poole	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.12	-0.00	-0.05	11	27%	-0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mark Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.16	0.00	0.09	12	68%	0.08	0	0.00	10	90%	0.03
Nick Smith Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.13	-0.00	0.08	16	71%	0.08	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Miles Bridges	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	0.00	21	52%	0.08	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Vasilije Micic	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	-0.02	14	43%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Josh Green	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	-0.02	0.03	7	65%	0.03	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Moussa Diabate	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	62%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
DaQuan Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	4	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Wong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Seth Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
KJ Simpson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	0.05	10	39%	-0.06	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.7	1.8	29.5	13.8	28.3	2.4	30.3	132.9
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +39.3%

WAS +4.4%

WAS +2.8%

WAS +1.7%

WAS +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	CHA	NBA	WAS	CHA	NBA
this game	14.7	13.4	14.4	120.4	111.8	113.0
season	14.0	15.0		105.3	106.2
opponent	14.2	14.1		115.2	117.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	13.7	12.7	16.0	16.4	14.7
CHA	15.1	15.0	11.7	11.8	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corey Kispert	60	60	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.05	20	-10	30	14.1	15.6	-1.49	14.3	12.1	2.14
Justin Champagnie	28	28	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.26	26	-16	42	12.0	15.7	-3.69	14.3	13.1	1.27
Malcolm Brogdon	48	48	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.00	12	-2	14	14.4	15.0	-0.59	12.6	14.1	-1.51
Richaun Holmes	40	41	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.06	13	-3	16	13.5	15.4	-1.86	14.2	12.9	1.37
Bilal Coulibaly	81	79	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.35	-5	15	-20	15.0	13.5	1.57	13.1	14.5	-1.39
Jonas Valanciunas	61	59	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.29	-4	14	-18	15.6	13.4	2.13	13.0	14.0	-0.99
Jordan Poole	67	65	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.29	-4	14	-18	15.2	13.7	1.44	13.5	13.2	0.29
Kyle Kuzma	67	68	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.34	-7	17	-24	14.7	14.6	0.12	12.2	15.9	-3.68
Kyshawn George	38	39	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.07	1	9	-8	15.2	14.4	0.74	13.9	13.1	0.89
Bub Carrington	25	23	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.06	-2	12	-14	16.2	14.2	2.05	14.7	13.0	1.73

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Seth Curry	20	19	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.02	1	-11	12	13.9	13.3	0.62	13.3	15.0	-1.68
Miles Bridges	77	78	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.42	12	-22	34	12.7	15.7	-3.02	15.3	12.8	2.55
Josh Green	78	79	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.40	10	-20	30	13.1	14.3	-1.22	15.2	12.9	2.31
Isaiah Wong	14	13	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.06	-9	-1	-8	13.7	13.4	0.36	10.5	15.3	-4.75
KJ Simpson	48	50	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.08	-4	-6	2	13.3	13.5	-0.21	15.8	13.6	2.16
Moussa Diabate	36	36	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.13	-12	2	-14	13.9	13.1	0.75	13.8	15.2	-1.40
Mark Williams	67	69	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.32	2	-12	14	13.4	13.4	0.00	15.3	13.5	1.78
Vasilije Micic	62	62	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.04	-14	4	-18	13.9	12.7	1.15	14.1	15.5	-1.37
DaQuan Jeffries	26	26	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.24	-25	15	-40	14.7	12.9	1.78	12.1	15.6	-3.49
Nick Smith Jr.	82	83	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.19	-11	1	-12	13.3	13.9	-0.62	15.0	13.3	1.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.53,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.51,0.46,0.53,0.42,0.4,0.29,0.22,0.24,0.14,0.1,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.12,0.17,0.1,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.18,0.17,0.21,0.15,0.07,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 114, MEM 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.44,0.42,0.35,0.33,0.28,0.19,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.15,0.1,0.13,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.15,0.1,0.05,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%
IND 111, POR 87	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.45,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.24,0.28,0.21,0.18,0.13,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%
GSW 125, SAC 108	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.36,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.17,0.2,0.16,0.08,0.11,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.12,0.11,0.23,0.22,0.32,0.22,0.19,0.12,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.4%