NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	119		Excitement	6.1 [618]		MVP	Nikola Vucevic (CHI): +15.9%
Detroit Pistons	127		Comeback	1.8 [856]		LVP	Coby White (CHI): -11.3%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Vucevic	0.16	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.14	0.03	0.02	10	100%	0.23	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Lonzo Ball	0.08	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	8	65%	0.10	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Matas Buzelis	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.04	0.02	9	67%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh Giddey	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	-0.01	-0.02	17	53%	0.09	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Ayo Dosunmu	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	9	78%	0.08	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duarte	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jevon Carter	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	6	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julian Phillips	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dalen Terry	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Williams	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.05	0.02	8	58%	0.01	4	-0.10	3	67%	-0.00
Coby White	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.01	-0.04	0.06	17	51%	-0.02	4	-0.10	9	100%	0.04

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Duren	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.14	0.03	0.02	11	81%	0.18	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Simone Fontecchio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.05	-0.01	6	73%	0.14	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Ausar Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.05	0.00	9	67%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.01	0.00	13	70%	0.12	2	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Ronald Holland II	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.02	5	67%	0.07	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	10	57%	0.08	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Isaiah Stewart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cade Cunningham	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.03	-0.04	23	47%	0.07	3	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.07	-0.01	0.05	15	52%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Marcus Sasser	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.5	1.8	26.5	13.8	28.5	1.6	26.0	127.6
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +29.9%

CHI -7.8%

CHI -1.0%

DET +26.7%

DET +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	DET	NBA	CHI	DET	NBA
this game	12.7	14.3	14.4	111.2	118.7	113.0
season	13.2	14.1		112.4	113.7
opponent	14.5	14.5		111.9	114.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	11.4	13.8	14.6	11.1	12.7
DET	13.9	12.9	14.2	16.2	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Julian Phillips	17	18	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.13	5	-13	18	10.3	13.1	-2.81	14.9	14.1	0.82
Chris Duarte	3	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-12	16	6.3	12.8	-6.50	17.3	14.2	3.16
Josh Giddey	79	79	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.22	7	-15	22	12.5	13.2	-0.71	14.9	12.5	2.43
Lonzo Ball	64	63	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.00	-2	-6	4	12.5	12.8	-0.27	13.7	15.0	-1.25
Jevon Carter	25	27	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.24	1	-9	10	11.2	13.1	-1.90	16.0	13.7	2.32
Nikola Vucevic	80	80	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.23	0	-8	8	13.1	11.4	1.62	14.5	13.7	0.80
Dalen Terry	18	18	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.11	-14	6	-20	14.2	12.3	1.82	12.2	14.7	-2.45
Matas Buzelis	58	59	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.23	-3	-5	2	11.5	14.1	-2.60	14.6	13.8	0.78
Ayo Dosunmu	70	69	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.03	-11	3	-14	13.8	10.5	3.31	13.8	15.1	-1.27
Patrick Williams	46	45	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.13	-9	1	-10	12.2	13.0	-0.84	13.9	14.5	-0.64
Coby White	75	74	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.10	-18	10	-28	13.6	10.5	3.03	13.7	15.4	-1.68

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronald Holland II	35	34	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.10	11	-3	14	13.5	14.6	-1.11	12.1	12.9	-0.79
Cade Cunningham	73	72	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.05	12	-4	16	14.4	14.0	0.43	13.7	10.4	3.35
Malik Beasley	62	62	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.26	2	6	-4	15.4	12.7	2.64	11.7	14.0	-2.36
Jalen Duren	66	66	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.13	6	2	4	13.8	15.0	-1.16	13.4	11.4	2.05
Tim Hardaway Jr.	60	60	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.12	4	4	0	14.2	14.4	-0.18	13.6	11.4	2.19
Ausar Thompson	47	48	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.01	7	1	6	13.1	15.2	-2.14	14.3	11.3	2.93
Isaiah Stewart	41	41	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.14	2	6	-4	15.0	13.8	1.16	11.4	13.4	-2.05
Simone Fontecchio	43	41	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.28	-3	11	-14	15.0	13.7	1.31	10.5	14.0	-3.43
Tobias Harris	74	76	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.04	3	5	-2	14.1	14.7	-0.67	13.1	11.6	1.42
Marcus Sasser	34	35	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.22	-4	12	-16	14.0	14.4	-0.43	10.4	13.7	-3.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.78,0.74,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.73,0.86,0.9,0.85,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.91,0.94,0.88,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 84, PHI 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.8,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.84,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.96,0.98,0.98,1	94.6%
SAC 99, BKN 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.67,0.72,0.8,0.84,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.79,0.9,0.86,0.83,0.91,0.89,0.94,0.93,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.92,0.91,0.83,0.95,0.99,0.98,1,1	94.2%
IND 79, NJN 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.8,0.79,0.76,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.78,0.8,0.78,0.82,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.2%