NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	127		Excitement	8.4 [167]		MVP	Pascal Siakam (IND): +31.1%
Indiana Pacers	132		Comeback	2.1 [465]		LVP	Larry Nance Jr. (ATL): -7.8%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zaccharie Risacher	0.28	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.16,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.10	0.17	-0.01	11	65%	0.28	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Trae Young	0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.17,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,0.22,0.16,0.21,0.14,0.19	0.06	0.13	0.00	26	58%	0.42	5	-0.23	7	100%	0.06
Onyeka Okongwu	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1	0.08	0.03	0.01	7	75%	0.10	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.08
Garrison Mathews	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.02	5	87%	0.11	2	-0.04	6	83%	-0.00
Dominick Barlow	0.04	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	-0.00	9	53%	0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Dyson Daniels	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.02	0.01	15	64%	0.15	3	-0.12	6	83%	0.01
Vit Krejci	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.01	3	62%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Keaton Wallace	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
De'Andre Hunter	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	5	29%	-0.05	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Larry Nance Jr.	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	5	40%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pascal Siakam	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.25,0.24,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.03	0.23	-0.05	16	57%	0.36	3	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Andrew Nembhard	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.09	0.11	0.00	11	73%	0.26	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.05
Aaron Nesmith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.16,0.16,0.19	0.19	0.10	0.10	0.00	8	68%	0.19	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Bennedict Mathurin	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.16,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.12	0.08	0.02	10	68%	0.17	0	0.00	5	100%	0.04
Obi Toppin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.08,0.12,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.11	0.07	0.01	11	75%	0.20	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Thomas Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.07	-0.01	4	62%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrese Haliburton	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.01	12	59%	0.07	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.02
Ben Sheppard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.01	3	75%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Myles Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.05	0.01	12	60%	0.09	2	-0.11	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.4	32.8	14.6	27.8	1.8	42.5	147.4
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.2	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +15.6%

IND +30.5%

ATL -14.7%

IND +19.0%

ATL -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	IND	NBA	ATL	IND	NBA
this game	13.9	13.8	14.4	123.3	125.7	112.6
season	13.2	13.9		110.6	114.2
opponent	14.6	14.3		114.0	113.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	13.7	14.2	15.2	12.8	13.9
IND	12.9	13.0	13.7	15.5	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dominick Barlow	27	25	0.17	-0.67	0.84	0.05	4	-9	13	14.6	13.7	0.93	15.5	13.2	2.32
Garrison Mathews	43	45	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.19	9	-14	23	13.8	14.0	-0.26	12.1	15.0	-2.83
Onyeka Okongwu	61	62	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.31	5	-10	15	13.2	15.0	-1.79	14.9	12.1	2.85
Zaccharie Risacher	63	63	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.31	2	-7	9	13.7	14.4	-0.71	14.7	12.3	2.48
Vit Krejci	35	37	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.04	-10	5	-15	14.3	13.8	0.48	11.3	15.1	-3.79
Keaton Wallace	28	30	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.11	-13	8	-21	14.0	13.9	0.13	14.0	13.6	0.39
Trae Young	80	81	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.39	2	-7	9	13.7	14.9	-1.25	13.6	14.4	-0.86
Larry Nance Jr.	42	43	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.04	-10	5	-15	15.0	13.2	1.79	12.1	14.9	-2.85
Dyson Daniels	74	74	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.38	1	-6	7	14.1	13.6	0.54	14.9	11.0	3.95
De'Andre Hunter	62	65	-0.80	0.30	-1.09	-0.36	-15	10	-25	14.0	13.9	0.11	13.4	14.3	-0.88

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Nesmith	52	51	0.96	-0.46	1.43	0.26	24	-19	43	12.2	15.2	-2.98	14.5	13.4	1.05
Tyrese Haliburton	73	73	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.28	5	0	5	14.8	11.3	3.55	14.2	13.4	0.72
Andrew Nembhard	65	64	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.47	-2	7	-9	14.1	13.2	0.85	14.0	13.9	0.07
Myles Turner	72	72	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.30	3	2	1	14.5	12.2	2.33	13.9	14.0	-0.13
Pascal Siakam	69	69	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.31	-1	6	-7	14.7	12.0	2.62	13.6	14.6	-1.05
Obi Toppin	36	34	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.04	6	-1	7	12.0	14.7	-2.62	14.6	13.6	1.05
Thomas Bryant	33	31	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.06	2	3	-1	12.2	14.5	-2.33	14.0	13.9	0.13
Ben Sheppard	46	44	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.12	7	-2	9	12.5	14.8	-2.31	14.0	13.9	0.06
T.J. McConnell	26	25	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.07	0	5	-5	12.2	14.3	-2.07	13.2	14.2	-0.98
Bennedict Mathurin	53	52	-0.46	0.96	-1.43	0.09	-19	24	-43	15.2	12.2	2.98	13.4	14.5	-1.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.55,0.59,0.69,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.85,0.82,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.71,0.79,0.67,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.56,0.68,0.66,0.54,0.67,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.47,0.61,0.45,0.79,0.85,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 92, POR 103	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.57,0.61,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.88,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.76,0.72,0.7,0.63,0.66,0.58,0.39,0.55,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.81,0.72,0.55,0.89,0.94,0.99,1	90.8%
DAL 102, SAC 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.57,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.59,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.72,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.52,0.45,0.57,0.55,0.41,0.4,0.48,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.79,0.78,0.77,1	89.9%
DEN 88, UTA 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.69,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.67,0.73,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.35,0.35,0.44,0.48,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.62,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.6,0.54,0.69,0.79,0.95,0.99,1	89.8%