inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 88 Excitement7.3 [402] MVPTrevor Booker (UTA): +26.0%
Utah Jazz 97 Comeback2.5 [617] LVPKenneth Faried (DEN): -14.7%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jameer Nelson0.070,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.010.00875%0.192-0.124100%0.02
Danilo Gallinari0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.050.010.04-0.001046%0.0500.004100%0.02
Will Barton0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05-0.010.04-0.021350%0.132-0.09683%0.01
Darrell Arthur0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.000.02-0.00743%0.0200.0000%0.00
Kostas Papanikolaou-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.060.01-0.00125%-0.002-0.04250%-0.01
Randy Foye-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.02-0.0010%-0.011-0.0400%0.00
Joffrey Lauvergne-0.050,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.050.03-0.060.021250%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Nikola Jokic-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.04-0.020.00544%-0.022-0.04683%0.00
Gary Harris-0.080,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.02-0.060.001152%0.003-0.081100%0.00
Kenneth Faried-0.150,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.07-0.08-0.001133%-0.062-0.0920%-0.04

Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Trevor Booker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.26,0.26,0.260.260.070.18-0.02675%0.261-0.00475%-0.00
Gordon Hayward0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.230.230.100.140.011763%0.272-0.04786%0.03
Trey Burke0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.030.01-0.01965%0.123-0.072100%0.01
Rodney Hood0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.020.011050%0.0400.00475%0.01
Alec Burks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.000.00-0.02750%0.061-0.04250%-0.01
Raul Neto0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.05-0.020.01573%0.071-0.051100%0.01
Elijah Millsap0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Trey Lyles0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.020.00650%0.001-0.0400%0.00
Joe Ingles0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.03-0.00550%0.021-0.0600%0.00
Derrick Favors0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.00833%-0.041-0.02560%-0.01
Jeff Withey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.020.0000%0.002-0.0600%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.62.630.014.727.32.732.0131.9
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.5136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
UTA +53.9%
UTA +1.0%
DEN -16.3%
UTA +9.3%
UTA +2.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENUTANBADENUTANBA
this game15.516.514.998.9106.6105.1
season14.916.3104.3104.6
opponent15.014.9102.8107.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN16.014.115.316.815.5
UTA17.515.914.718.316.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kostas Papanikolaou22210.05-0.550.590.050-9915.015.6-0.5816.016.7-0.72
Randy Foye28290.04-0.540.58-0.084-131713.916.2-2.3216.916.30.62
Darrell Arthur3435-0.05-0.450.40-0.081-101113.716.6-2.8316.916.20.71
Will Barton4646-0.16-0.340.18-0.13-1-8714.316.8-2.5315.917.1-1.15
Nikola Jokic4042-0.19-0.310.11-0.05-5-4-114.216.5-2.2916.516.5-0.05
Joffrey Lauvergne4949-0.31-0.19-0.11-0.19-4-5116.514.22.2916.516.50.05
Gary Harris5155-0.35-0.15-0.21-0.09-90-915.914.91.0717.215.51.66
Kenneth Faried5152-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.21-7-2-516.913.63.3216.616.30.30
Jameer Nelson6162-0.540.04-0.58-0.16-134-1716.213.92.3216.316.9-0.62
Danilo Gallinari6364-0.570.07-0.64-0.25-112-1316.014.31.6116.217.3-1.07

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Gordon Hayward68650.86-0.361.220.2720-113116.217.4-1.1916.014.11.86
Trevor Booker52500.56-0.060.610.4154115.418.0-2.6614.516.8-2.33
Derrick Favors64620.370.130.250.1772516.815.71.0916.513.03.51
Alec Burks40350.340.160.180.0890914.917.8-2.8613.316.9-3.67
Joe Ingles29300.330.170.160.2145-118.615.53.1016.315.11.28
Trey Burke48460.250.25-0.010.1345-116.117.0-0.8913.717.4-3.65
Jeff Withey20190.240.26-0.020.0472516.316.6-0.2612.616.3-3.69
Rodney Hood56590.210.29-0.070.0754117.415.12.2116.713.03.70
Elijah Millsap76-0.030.53-0.560.06-312-1515.916.6-0.7012.315.7-3.38
Trey Lyles4646-0.170.67-0.85-0.09-312-1517.415.61.8816.514.42.01
Raul Neto2527-0.450.95-1.41-0.16-1019-2916.516.50.0217.014.82.23


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.69,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.67,0.73,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.35,0.35,0.44,0.48,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.62,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.6,0.54,0.69,0.79,0.95,0.99,1
GameSimilarity Score
NJN 92, IND 990.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.7,0.74,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.44,0.52,0.48,0.37,0.44,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.81,0.79,0.96,0.99,192.7%
NYK 86, HOU 910.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.6,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.66,0.73,0.8,0.63,0.57,0.49,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.6,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.53,0.47,0.61,0.85,0.94,1,191.5%
CLE 98, TOR 1050.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.59,0.67,0.7,0.69,0.66,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.68,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.59,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.64,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.69,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.9,0.97,0.98,191.3%