NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	118		Excitement	10.0 [69]		MVP	Jaylen Brown (BOS): +43.5%
New Orleans Pelicans	116		Comeback	1.6 [796]		LVP	Yves Missi (NOP): -15.8%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jaylen Brown	0.44	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.44	0.19	0.26	0.01	18	70%	0.47	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.02
Jayson Tatum	0.33	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.33	0.02	0.32	0.01	21	57%	0.46	5	-0.13	5	60%	-0.03
Luke Kornet	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.12	0.10	0.00	4	100%	0.22	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Derrick White	0.21	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.10	0.11	-0.01	9	73%	0.23	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Sam Hauser	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	6	75%	0.08	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.03	0.00	5	33%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jaden Springer	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Payton Pritchard	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	4	37%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kristaps Porzingis	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.04	-0.01	12	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	8	50%	-0.25
Jrue Holiday	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	5	40%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trey Murphy III	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.28,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.53,0.46,0.35,0.48,0.36	0.36	0.34	0.04	0.02	20	93%	0.59	4	-0.23	3	67%	-0.08
CJ McCollum	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.21	0.21	-0.03	0.24	-0.01	19	44%	0.26	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.02
Jose Alvarado	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.08	0.09	-0.01	14	59%	0.20	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.00
Jamal Cain	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	150%	0.08	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	2	75%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Karlo Matkovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	58%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Boston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	11	45%	0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Javonte Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	4	40%	-0.04	0	0.00	7	86%	-0.02
Dejounte Murray	0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Yves Missi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.09	-0.07	0.00	7	37%	-0.07	3	-0.09	2	0%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.8	22.1	15.5	27.3	2.3	38.2	131.5
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.1	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +26.2%

BOS +3.7%

NOP -34.1%

BOS +49.9%

BOS +4.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	NOP	NBA	BOS	NOP	NBA
this game	13.9	13.9	14.4	114.6	111.5	113.1
season	15.2	14.4		118.8	109.3
opponent	14.3	14.4		118.3	109.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	13.5	12.2	13.3	17.1	13.9
NOP	14.2	14.5	12.9	14.2	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jayson Tatum	81	83	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.40	4	-2	6	13.8	14.3	-0.45	14.2	12.9	1.31
Derrick White	73	72	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.39	2	0	2	14.2	13.4	0.78	14.1	13.4	0.72
Jrue Holiday	63	62	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.40	1	1	0	14.1	13.6	0.57	14.4	13.2	1.12
Jaylen Brown	74	76	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.31	2	0	2	13.6	14.7	-1.02	14.2	13.1	1.14
Al Horford	55	55	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.39	-4	6	-10	14.4	13.3	1.10	13.2	14.7	-1.57
Kristaps Porzingis	65	63	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.10	3	-1	4	14.1	13.6	0.50	14.5	13.0	1.57
Luke Kornet	34	35	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.11	2	0	2	13.7	14.0	-0.28	13.9	13.9	0.02
Sam Hauser	31	32	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.06	0	2	-2	13.9	13.9	-0.07	13.0	14.3	-1.35
Payton Pritchard	38	40	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.03	0	2	-2	13.4	14.2	-0.84	13.1	14.4	-1.31
Jaden Springer	1	2	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	2	-2	0.0	14.1	-14.06	1.0	14.2	-13.16

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Karlo Matkovic	41	40	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-2	2	13.3	14.3	-0.93	14.0	13.9	0.17
Dejounte Murray	18	19	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.00	-1	-1	0	14.8	13.7	1.12	12.8	14.2	-1.32
Jamal Cain	10	10	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.07	1	-3	4	14.5	13.8	0.66	16.1	13.7	2.41
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl	31	29	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.06	-4	2	-6	13.6	14.0	-0.46	13.3	14.1	-0.80
Javonte Green	61	63	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.30	1	-3	4	14.4	13.2	1.18	14.1	13.7	0.36
Brandon Boston	65	64	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.15	-7	5	-12	13.8	14.2	-0.40	13.7	14.3	-0.54
Trey Murphy III	83	83	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.46	3	-5	8	13.6	15.1	-1.55	14.2	12.9	1.27
Jose Alvarado	74	71	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.41	1	-3	4	13.6	14.6	-0.93	13.9	14.1	-0.20
CJ McCollum	74	73	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.34	-2	0	-2	14.1	13.5	0.61	14.0	13.8	0.17
Yves Missi	63	63	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.39	-2	0	-2	14.3	13.3	0.93	13.9	14.0	-0.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.3,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.25,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.38,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.21,0.16,0.22,0.24,0.28,0.22,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 98, MIA 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.29,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.52,0.4,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.29,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.34,0.45,0.45,0.23,0.41,0	91.7%
MIL 109, NYK 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.58,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.25,0.28,0.19,0.21,0.24,0.27,0.19,0.28,0.16,0.42,0	91.3%
DAL 101, PHI 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.25,0.3,0.29,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.48,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.48,0.33,0.26,0.24,0.33,0.32,0.37,0.09,0.18,0	91.0%