NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	138		Excitement	3.8 [1044]		MVP	Anthony Edwards (MIN): +21.7%
Utah Jazz	113		Comeback	3.0 [678]		LVP	Isaiah Collier (UTA): -8.0%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Edwards	0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.26	0.09	0.14	18	84%	0.29	3	-0.07	7	86%	-0.00
Naz Reid	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.00	0.00	5	120%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luka Garza	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.15	0.01	0.06	8	89%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	0.08	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.02	0.03	8	73%	0.08	1	0.00	6	67%	0.00
Julius Randle	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.00	-0.03	7	43%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rob Dillingham	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.09	0.00	0.07	11	83%	0.04	4	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.07	0.00	0.07	12	62%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Leonard Miller	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	60%	0.00	1	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Josh Minott	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Ingles	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Clark	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.05	3	75%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jaden McDaniels	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	40%	-0.00	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keyonte George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.24	0.01	0.14	7	105%	0.13	1	-0.02	8	87%	-0.00
Collin Sexton	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.03	0.03	9	73%	0.13	3	-0.06	8	87%	-0.00
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	13	59%	0.07	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Kyle Filipowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Eubanks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	0.00	0.05	4	75%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lauri Markkanen	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	13	52%	-0.02	1	-0.00	3	67%	0.00
John Collins	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.01	12	55%	0.06	3	-0.09	5	80%	-0.00
Walker Kessler	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.04	6	17%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brice Sensabaugh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	5	30%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Collier	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	0.07	7	79%	0.02	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.6	28.8	12.8	28.9	2.4	32.2	131.2
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +40.5%

UTA -2.2%

MIN +2.0%

MIN +13.7%

UTA -3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	UTA	NBA	MIN	UTA	NBA
this game	14.5	15.5	14.4	145.3	116.5	113.0
season	14.7	14.8		114.8	109.6
opponent	13.7	14.7		119.0	110.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.3	13.0	14.1	15.7	14.5
UTA	14.1	17.8	15.9	14.3	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jaylen Clark	31	33	0.59	-0.09	0.69	-0.40	34	-9	43	14.1	14.7	-0.57	17.5	14.4	3.14
Naz Reid	55	57	0.57	-0.07	0.65	-0.45	35	-10	45	14.6	14.4	0.24	15.5	15.4	0.04
Rob Dillingham	42	45	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.23	23	2	21	14.8	14.3	0.44	16.4	14.6	1.81
Anthony Edwards	72	71	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.38	25	0	25	14.6	14.2	0.39	15.1	16.5	-1.40
Jaden McDaniels	64	63	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.06	13	12	1	13.7	16.3	-2.63	15.3	15.7	-0.36
Rudy Gobert	69	69	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.01	7	18	-11	14.4	14.7	-0.30	15.4	15.7	-0.39
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	65	66	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.01	6	19	-13	14.3	15.1	-0.81	15.3	15.7	-0.39
Luka Garza	26	27	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.13	7	18	-11	14.3	14.6	-0.34	15.5	15.5	0.06
Josh Minott	15	16	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	32	-39	15.7	14.3	1.37	15.4	15.5	-0.12
Leonard Miller	8	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	27	-29	15.4	14.4	0.94	13.3	15.7	-2.36
Joe Ingles	7	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	27	-29	15.9	14.4	1.45	13.4	15.7	-2.29
Julius Randle	21	21	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	0.17	-14	39	-53	16.4	14.0	2.39	14.2	15.8	-1.58

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Collin Sexton	62	61	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.03	-1	-24	23	14.5	17.3	-2.79	14.5	14.6	-0.16
Lauri Markkanen	65	64	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.04	-1	-24	23	14.7	17.1	-2.37	14.4	14.8	-0.48
Kyle Filipowski	27	27	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.12	-7	-18	11	16.0	15.3	0.68	15.7	14.1	1.61
Drew Eubanks	24	24	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.16	-11	-14	3	16.0	15.3	0.75	16.2	13.9	2.32
Keyonte George	53	52	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.43	-22	-3	-19	15.7	15.2	0.49	14.2	15.0	-0.80
John Collins	59	58	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.08	-12	-13	1	14.7	16.7	-1.99	14.2	15.1	-0.88
Brice Sensabaugh	28	28	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.11	-14	-11	-3	17.5	14.7	2.80	14.6	14.5	0.13
Walker Kessler	55	55	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.04	-10	-15	5	16.1	14.7	1.38	13.4	16.0	-2.56
Isaiah Collier	63	59	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.04	-16	-9	-7	15.0	16.4	-1.40	14.9	13.9	1.05
Jordan Clarkson	49	47	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	0.34	-31	6	-37	16.8	14.2	2.59	14.8	14.2	0.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.69,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.49,0.38,0.39,0.28,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.46,0.32,0.26,0.15,0.17,0.21,0.11,0.11,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 116, CHI 98	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.32,0.29,0.36,0.44,0.42,0.3,0.42,0.31,0.26,0.28,0.22,0.27,0.21,0.22,0.1,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%
CHA 126, ATL 109	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.69,0.62,0.66,0.56,0.49,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.42,0.21,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.12,0.16,0.17,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.3%
CHA 123, MEM 99	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.69,0.69,0.65,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.46,0.4,0.47,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.17,0.12,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.3%