inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Charlotte Hornets 126 Excitement4.4 [1008] MVPClint Capela (ATL): +14.2%
Atlanta Hawks 109 Comeback2.9 [105] LVPAaron Holiday (ATL): -5.6%


Charlotte Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nick Richards0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.200.010.07995%0.1300.00367%-0.01
P.J. Washington0.120,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.040.06-0.03867%0.142-0.022100%0.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.0.080,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.090.030.032056%0.091-0.003100%0.00
Jalen McDaniels0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.030.00-0.02664%0.071-0.022100%0.00
Dennis Smith Jr.0.050,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.030.00-0.021655%0.092-0.041100%0.00
JT Thor0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.010.01-0.03462%0.061-0.0100%0.00
Theo Maledon0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.020.010.00180%0.0400.00367%0.00
James Bouknight0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.030.000.00950%0.0200.002100%0.01
Kai Jones0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mark Williams0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Bryce McGowens0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mason Plumlee-0.010,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.03-0.00-0.02447%0.012-0.02944%-0.05
Gordon Hayward-0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.060.00-0.041048%0.054-0.07560%0.01

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Clint Capela0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.110.040.01878%0.161-0.022100%0.01
Onyeka Okongwu0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.00-0.02662%0.052-0.02450%0.01
Dejounte Murray0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.01-0.011558%0.114-0.083100%0.01
Trae Young0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.030.010.022547%0.051-0.03989%0.02
AJ Griffin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.080.000.074100%0.0100.0000%0.00
Jalen Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.02250%0.0010.00250%-0.01
Trent Forrest00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Vit Krejci00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tyrese Martin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Justin Holiday0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.02721%-0.0400.0000%0.00
De'Andre Hunter0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.02-0.001142%-0.031-0.01250%-0.01
John Collins0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.06-0.01-0.031236%-0.031-0.014100%0.02
Aaron Holiday0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.01420%-0.051-0.012100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.32.429.314.635.42.426.2138.6
league avg25.82.328.215.028.22.332.4135.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHA +57.0%
ATL -12.0%
CHA +5.3%
CHA +0.4%
ATL -0.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHAATLNBACHAATLNBA
this game14.513.914.4123.5107.9113.4
season14.013.8107.8115.1
opponent14.414.3114.9114.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHA15.613.812.316.414.5
ATL13.814.414.912.413.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nick Richards41430.53-0.030.56-0.2025-83312.915.5-2.5915.212.92.28
Kelly Oubre Jr.68680.490.010.490.14125715.013.41.6014.213.40.78
Dennis Smith Jr.70690.410.090.330.1598115.013.31.6613.914.0-0.12
James Bouknight37370.400.100.29-0.1920-32313.315.1-1.8514.313.70.64
Jalen McDaniels43430.260.240.01-0.13134913.715.0-1.3015.013.11.92
JT Thor35340.250.25-0.01-0.11125713.714.9-1.1713.514.1-0.68
P.J. Washington46480.160.34-0.190.16017-1714.714.20.4913.614.2-0.56
Gordon Hayward67640.100.40-0.310.10017-1715.312.82.5113.514.7-1.19
Theo Maledon32320.090.41-0.33-0.1589-113.315.0-1.6614.013.90.12
Kai Jones330.000.50-0.500.03-118-1917.014.42.6311.714.0-2.32
Mark Williams330.000.50-0.500.03-118-1917.014.42.6311.714.0-2.32
Mason Plumlee5855-0.030.53-0.560.17-724-3115.413.22.2313.015.0-1.98
Bryce McGowens76-0.150.65-0.790.00-522-2712.914.6-1.7111.314.1-2.75

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
AJ Griffin14140.00-0.500.50-0.176-232913.414.0-0.6514.414.5-0.03
Trent Forrest440.00-0.500.50-0.031-181911.214.0-2.7813.714.5-0.73
Vit Krejci440.00-0.500.50-0.031-181911.214.0-2.7813.714.5-0.73
Tyrese Martin440.00-0.500.50-0.031-181911.214.0-2.7813.714.5-0.73
Jalen Johnson2120-0.08-0.420.330.09-6-11513.314.1-0.8013.214.8-1.56
De'Andre Hunter6567-0.15-0.350.20-0.09-2-151313.614.6-0.9915.412.72.69
Onyeka Okongwu4748-0.17-0.330.16-0.201-181914.813.11.6615.113.91.16
Trae Young6870-0.23-0.270.04-0.06-6-11513.415.1-1.7415.312.62.75
Justin Holiday3736-0.32-0.18-0.140.21-181-1915.013.31.7012.515.5-3.06
Clint Capela5050-0.33-0.17-0.160.23-192-2113.314.5-1.2313.915.0-1.04
Aaron Holiday3029-0.38-0.12-0.260.26-225-2715.013.51.4912.715.1-2.41
John Collins8082-0.42-0.08-0.33-0.09-11-6-514.113.30.8014.813.21.56
Dejounte Murray8182-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.10-11-6-514.212.91.2114.514.20.31


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.69,0.62,0.66,0.56,0.49,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.42,0.21,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.12,0.16,0.17,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIA 107, POR 980.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.36,0.41,0.44,0.36,0.27,0.24,0.16,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.06,0.15,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,094.3%
CHI 151, MIL 1350.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.62,0.67,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,094.1%
UTA 110, GSW 910.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.49,0.4,0.44,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.41,0.42,0.33,0.25,0.33,0.26,0.19,0.13,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,093.9%