NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	137		Excitement	7.4 [389]		MVP	Trey Murphy III (NOP): +29.0%
New Orleans Pelicans	136		Comeback	2.6 [494]		LVP	Yves Missi (NOP): -7.6%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Daniel Gafford	0.29	0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.19	0.12	0.02	9	100%	0.32	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
P.J. Washington	0.22	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.04	0.17	-0.01	20	61%	0.35	5	-0.13	1	100%	0.01
Quentin Grimes	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.19	0.13	0.05	-0.01	8	94%	0.26	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Klay Thompson	0.14	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.1,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.14	0.09	0.08	0.03	15	67%	0.17	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Dinwiddie	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.04	-0.00	8	58%	0.13	2	-0.07	3	67%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.01	0.01	21	56%	0.10	2	-0.06	3	67%	0.00
Jaden Hardy	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Naji Marshall	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kessler Edwards	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Olivier-Maxence Prosper	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trey Murphy III	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.27,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.32	0.07	0.10	17	91%	0.29	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Zion Williamson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.13	0.10	-0.00	18	64%	0.29	2	-0.07	9	78%	0.03
Jose Alvarado	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.05	-0.00	5	110%	0.18	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dejounte Murray	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07	0.07	0.11	0.03	0.07	17	67%	0.16	3	-0.08	6	100%	0.01
Brandon Boston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	11	50%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
CJ McCollum	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.04	0.04	21	52%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Javonte Green	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Theis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	3	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Yves Missi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.6	25.3	15.3	24.4	2.5	40.8	134.3
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.2	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +42.2%

DAL +5.6%

DAL +30.4%

NOP -27.5%

NOP -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	NOP	NBA	DAL	NOP	NBA
this game	13.5	14.0	14.4	129.2	132.0	113.0
season	14.3	14.4		113.3	109.3
opponent	14.3	14.4		118.3	114.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	12.2	14.1	12.9	14.8	13.5
NOP	16.6	11.6	14.9	13.4	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Daniel Gafford	74	73	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.40	8	-7	15	13.4	13.8	-0.35	14.6	12.6	1.97
Quentin Grimes	47	44	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.33	5	-4	9	12.2	14.6	-2.42	13.4	14.5	-1.12
Klay Thompson	61	63	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.26	7	-6	13	14.4	12.4	1.98	14.0	14.0	-0.03
Kyrie Irving	86	84	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.41	2	-1	3	13.8	12.6	1.16	14.2	13.1	1.13
P.J. Washington	83	81	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.48	-3	4	-7	13.6	13.3	0.24	14.0	14.3	-0.31
Kessler Edwards	34	29	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.19	7	-6	13	12.3	14.1	-1.83	14.8	13.7	1.02
Naji Marshall	34	30	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.18	5	-4	9	14.0	13.3	0.68	14.2	13.9	0.29
Jaden Hardy	15	15	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.02	2	-1	3	14.9	13.3	1.63	11.6	14.4	-2.84
Olivier-Maxence Prosper	33	33	-0.28	0.78	-1.07	0.10	-13	14	-27	13.5	13.6	-0.08	13.3	14.4	-1.07
Spencer Dinwiddie	63	63	-0.41	0.91	-1.32	0.03	-15	16	-31	13.6	13.4	0.16	14.2	13.8	0.33

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Yves Missi	61	62	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.29	13	-14	27	14.2	13.7	0.49	14.4	12.4	1.97
CJ McCollum	76	78	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.43	11	-12	23	13.9	14.3	-0.41	13.9	12.4	1.51
Zion Williamson	63	64	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.39	7	-8	15	13.7	14.6	-0.97	13.8	13.2	0.58
Dejounte Murray	71	74	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.37	6	-7	13	14.0	14.2	-0.23	13.3	14.1	-0.75
Javonte Green	40	42	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.05	-9	8	-17	14.6	13.7	0.97	13.2	13.8	-0.58
Jose Alvarado	33	33	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.19	-5	4	-9	14.1	14.0	0.09	13.6	13.5	0.14
Trey Murphy III	85	85	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.41	0	-1	1	14.2	13.1	1.11	13.5	13.8	-0.34
Brandon Boston	45	49	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.12	-12	11	-23	13.8	14.2	-0.33	13.0	14.0	-0.96
Daniel Theis	41	43	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.10	-16	15	-31	13.8	14.2	-0.37	12.7	14.1	-1.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.42,0.47,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.31,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.67,0.69,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.63,0.68,0.72,0.66,0.6,0.48,0.34,0.3,0.52,0.42,0.19,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.08,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 82, MEM 72	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.35,0.27,0.31,0.36,0.42,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.45,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.52,0.54,0.34,0.38,0.24,0.23,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.01,0	91.7%
DEN 107, LAL 91	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.36,0.34,0.43,0.43,0.28,0.15,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.11,0,0,0	91.7%
PHI 113, MIL 104	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.56,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.62,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.39,0.27,0.21,0.12,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0	91.3%