inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 107 Excitement5.8 [645] MVPShaquille O'Neal (LAL): +26.1%
Los Angeles Lakers 91 Comeback2.1 [73] LVPKobe Bryant (LAL): -11.8%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Voshon Lenard0.210,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.210.180.100.071188%0.231-0.021173%0.00
James Posey0.120,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.000.001377%0.182-0.06475%-0.01
Nick Van Exel0.080,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.020.05-0.021361%0.173-0.092100%0.01
Chris Andersen0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.010.00283%0.051-0.03250%-0.01
Kenny Satterfield0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Raef LaFrentz-0.010,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.01-0.00944%0.021-0.0300%0.00
Zendon Hamilton-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.020.001157%-0.002-0.04862%-0.02
Calbert Cheaney-0.050,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.01475%0.094-0.1400%0.00
Ryan Bowen-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.02-0.0230%-0.0800.0020%-0.03
Avery Johnson-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.10-0.02-0.01325%-0.063-0.0620%-0.03

Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shaquille O'Neal0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.260.260.220.03-0.012275%0.291-0.03967%0.03
Robert Horry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.020.030.00367%0.0500.0000%0.00
Brian Shaw0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.000.01350%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mitch Richmond0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.00220%-0.0300.001100%0.01
Samaki Walker0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.00560%0.033-0.0800%0.00
Rick Fox0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.00935%-0.051-0.02250%-0.02
Derek Fisher0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.08-0.02-0.021233%-0.042-0.0400%0.00
Mark Madsen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.08-0.03-0.00436%-0.101-0.01650%-0.07
Lindsey Hunter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.08-0.03-0.0040%-0.081-0.0300%0.00
Devean George0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.07-0.040.00425%-0.042-0.0700%0.00
Kobe Bryant0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.10-0.02-0.001448%-0.015-0.113100%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.62.528.716.724.22.731.5132.8
league avg46.42.228.514.624.52.330.0149.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +63.4%
DEN +5.9%
LAL -6.8%
LAL -8.1%
LAL -4.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENLALNBADENLALNBA
this game16.014.515.6113.895.8102.3
season16.115.399.7106.9
opponent15.415.299.8105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN15.315.717.815.416.0
LAL14.114.314.914.614.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Voshon Lenard50500.60-0.100.700.0120-42415.816.3-0.5214.914.00.96
Ryan Bowen62610.58-0.080.66-0.0421-52615.417.2-1.8614.913.71.23
James Posey70710.54-0.040.570.101511415.716.9-1.1514.115.5-1.39
Raef LaFrentz59600.470.030.450.2488015.217.4-2.2014.913.81.10
Nick Van Exel74740.260.240.010.20214-1216.016.0-0.0414.215.4-1.18
Avery Johnson18200.240.26-0.01-0.08115616.515.90.5915.614.11.50
Chris Andersen20220.100.40-0.29-0.04511-618.215.42.7714.614.40.23
Kenny Satterfield210.000.50-0.50-0.09313-1012.016.1-4.1110.014.5-4.51
Calbert Cheaney5456-0.130.63-0.76-0.07-218-2017.314.32.9114.214.8-0.52
Zendon Hamilton6160-0.160.66-0.82-0.07-319-2216.215.70.4513.815.6-1.85

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Derek Fisher61620.12-0.620.750.043-192213.216.6-3.4016.115.80.36
Rick Fox65640.07-0.570.650.10-1-151413.416.8-3.3716.016.2-0.21
Brian Shaw1313-0.03-0.470.440.12-5-11611.814.9-3.1214.516.3-1.72
Mitch Richmond910-0.06-0.440.390.03-3-131015.014.40.5915.816.0-0.25
Samaki Walker3838-0.09-0.410.330.00-3-131013.615.1-1.4716.215.90.23
Shaquille O'Neal7676-0.19-0.310.13-0.01-6-10414.315.1-0.7416.414.51.88
Robert Horry3031-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.12-8-8015.713.91.7615.916.1-0.18
Mark Madsen4138-0.38-0.12-0.25-0.05-11-5-615.113.91.2015.616.3-0.70
Kobe Bryant7876-0.41-0.09-0.33-0.06-12-4-814.613.80.7816.115.60.58
Devean George3030-0.570.07-0.65-0.13-15-1-1416.813.43.3716.216.00.21
Lindsey Hunter3432-0.620.12-0.75-0.07-193-2216.613.23.4015.816.1-0.36


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.36,0.34,0.43,0.43,0.28,0.15,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.11,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
LAC 92, CHA 870.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.34,0.34,0.18,0.29,0.23,0.17,0.19,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.02,092.9%
PHI 123, PHX 1100.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.44,0.51,0.55,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.52,0.59,0.4,0.36,0.26,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.1,0.02,0.01,0,092.8%
LAL 102, DAL 920.5,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.4,0.39,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.48,0.29,0.24,0.19,0.13,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.01,092.7%