NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	119		Excitement	5.8 [664]		MVP	Pascal Siakam (IND): +28.5%
Indiana Pacers	133		Comeback	1.0 [1104]		LVP	Paul Reed (DET): -6.2%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Malik Beasley	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.18	0.00	0.02	11	80%	0.16	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Ausar Thompson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.04	0.00	6	62%	0.08	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Cade Cunningham	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.01	0.00	22	62%	0.17	4	-0.09	8	87%	0.02
Simone Fontecchio	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	5	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Bobi Klintman	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wendell Moore Jr.	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Stewart	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tim Hardaway Jr.	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	43%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Jalen Duren	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.07	-0.03	0.05	8	70%	0.04	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Marcus Sasser	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	60%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Holland II	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.00	0.03	7	43%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	19	47%	0.02	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Paul Reed	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	3	33%	-0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pascal Siakam	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.27	0.07	0.06	21	80%	0.30	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.01
Ben Sheppard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.11	0.04	-0.02	6	100%	0.19	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyrese Haliburton	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.17	0.04	0.04	17	70%	0.19	1	-0.02	9	67%	-0.01
Myles Turner	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.15	0.03	0.03	10	75%	0.21	3	-0.06	12	83%	0.03
Thomas Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.04	-0.03	5	64%	0.10	1	-0.02	4	50%	0.02
Obi Toppin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Johnny Furphy	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
RayJ Dennis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarace Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	13	54%	0.05	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Nesmith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.7	1.7	33.7	15.7	29.3	2.5	31.4	141.9
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +47.5%

IND +9.3%

DET -17.1%

IND +9.2%

IND +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	IND	NBA	DET	IND	NBA
this game	14.0	14.4	14.4	117.8	130.4	113.0
season	14.1	13.9		113.7	114.9
opponent	14.7	14.5		112.8	111.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	15.2	13.0	14.8	13.1	14.0
IND	12.5	13.6	15.8	15.7	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobi Klintman	2	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-18	22	12.0	14.1	-2.06	22.0	14.1	7.88
Wendell Moore Jr.	2	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-18	22	12.0	14.1	-2.06	22.0	14.1	7.88
Marcus Sasser	24	26	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.22	6	-20	26	14.7	13.8	0.96	13.1	14.8	-1.66
Isaiah Stewart	17	19	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.09	1	-15	16	13.6	14.1	-0.45	12.9	14.7	-1.73
Ausar Thompson	42	38	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.28	-12	-2	-10	14.5	13.6	0.90	14.5	14.3	0.23
Tim Hardaway Jr.	59	60	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.05	-2	-12	10	13.7	14.5	-0.86	15.3	12.9	2.42
Tobias Harris	76	77	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.04	-5	-9	4	14.4	12.9	1.51	14.1	15.2	-1.18
Paul Reed	17	18	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.24	4	-18	22	13.1	14.2	-1.08	15.4	14.1	1.26
Simone Fontecchio	38	38	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.17	-5	-9	4	13.4	14.4	-1.00	12.9	15.2	-2.24
Jalen Duren	67	65	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.24	-19	5	-24	14.3	13.4	0.96	14.5	14.1	0.34
Ronald Holland II	18	19	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.09	-10	-4	-6	14.6	13.9	0.65	15.1	14.2	0.86
Malik Beasley	63	65	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.06	-14	0	-14	14.0	14.0	-0.01	13.7	15.5	-1.86
Cade Cunningham	80	79	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.15	-22	8	-30	13.7	15.2	-1.48	14.7	13.2	1.52

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pascal Siakam	65	66	0.64	-0.14	0.78	-0.33	33	-19	52	14.8	13.5	1.27	15.0	12.2	2.83
Aaron Nesmith	69	68	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.13	20	-6	26	14.1	14.8	-0.73	14.8	12.5	2.28
Thomas Bryant	38	36	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.16	8	6	2	13.5	14.8	-1.32	13.9	14.1	-0.20
T.J. McConnell	46	44	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.20	6	8	-2	13.9	14.7	-0.80	13.4	14.5	-1.08
Tyrese Haliburton	68	70	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.12	15	-1	16	14.3	14.5	-0.18	14.3	13.4	0.91
Ben Sheppard	69	69	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.16	13	1	12	13.8	15.5	-1.67	14.1	13.9	0.12
Jarace Walker	43	44	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.23	-2	16	-18	15.0	13.9	1.08	13.5	14.4	-0.92
Myles Turner	61	63	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.19	10	4	6	14.5	14.1	0.35	14.2	13.8	0.37
James Johnson	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	18	-22	22.0	14.1	7.88	12.0	14.1	-2.06
RayJ Dennis	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	18	-22	22.0	14.1	7.88	12.0	14.1	-2.06
Johnny Furphy	8	6	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.13	-6	20	-26	17.9	14.1	3.82	10.8	14.2	-3.39
Obi Toppin	37	35	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.42	-19	33	-52	13.5	14.8	-1.27	12.2	15.0	-2.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.7,0.75,0.73,0.75,0.7,0.73,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.81,0.75,0.85,0.89,0.86,0.8,0.83,0.7,0.7,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.62,0.77,0.74,0.79,0.74,0.82,0.92,0.91,0.88,0.83,0.85,0.97,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 112, BOS 131	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.69,0.68,0.74,0.72,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.71,0.75,0.8,0.8,0.86,0.85,0.76,0.73,0.79,0.75,0.79,0.74,0.85,0.81,0.73,0.79,0.8,0.65,0.59,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.84,0.88,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.97,1,1,1,1	94.1%
CHA 114, TOR 124	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.65,0.72,0.69,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.8,0.84,0.73,0.78,0.86,0.81,0.81,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.83,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.78,0.82,0.85,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.85,0.89,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.97,1	93.8%
BOS 93, CLE 115	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.7,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.79,0.78,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.72,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.71,0.62,0.63,0.74,0.75,0.9,0.84,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.8%