NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	114		Excitement	5.3 [834]		MVP	Pascal Siakam (TOR): +27.6%
Toronto Raptors	124		Comeback	1.0 [1238]		LVP	Jalen McDaniels (CHA): -12.6%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mason Plumlee	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12	0.11	0.04	0.04	6	89%	0.17	2	-0.05	6	67%	0.03
Cody Martin	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.03	-0.00	4	82%	0.11	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Terry Rozier	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09	0.05	0.02	-0.02	16	62%	0.17	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Nick Richards	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	3	70%	0.06	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
JT Thor	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	1	150%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bryce McGowens	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Smith Jr.	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	45%	0.01	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
LaMelo Ball	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.05,-0.05	0.10	-0.08	0.06	19	68%	0.07	5	-0.12	9	67%	-0.02
P.J. Washington	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	12	46%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jalen McDaniels	-0.13	0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.12	-0.02	-0.01	11	42%	-0.02	5	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pascal Siakam	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.26	0.05	0.04	13	92%	0.36	4	-0.08	12	83%	0.03
Scottie Barnes	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.03	0.03	14	62%	0.10	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Juancho Hernangomez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.09	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Precious Achiuwa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.01	7	59%	0.08	2	-0.04	3	33%	-0.04
Fred VanVleet	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.01	0.02	8	61%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Chris Boucher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	56%	0.02	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Gary Trent Jr.	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	19	44%	0.01	0	0.00	5	100%	0.00
Christian Koloko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Malachi Flynn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
O.G. Anunoby	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	-0.01	15	50%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	2.0	29.2	14.5	30.5	2.4	35.5	138.8
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +9.8%

TOR +5.7%

CHA -0.1%

TOR +30.0%

TOR +4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	TOR	NBA	CHA	TOR	NBA
this game	13.9	15.2	14.4	114.0	126.5	113.4
season	14.0	14.7		107.8	114.0
opponent	14.5	14.3		112.2	114.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	16.5	14.2	13.5	11.4	13.9
TOR	11.8	14.0	18.6	17.0	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JT Thor	19	19	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.09	4	-14	18	14.7	13.7	1.07	15.6	15.2	0.43
Bryce McGowens	1	0	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-10	10	7.0	13.9	-6.94	0.0	15.2	-15.23
Nick Richards	29	29	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.13	0	-10	10	12.9	14.3	-1.32	14.5	15.5	-1.02
Dennis Smith Jr.	40	39	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.24	2	-12	14	13.0	14.4	-1.37	16.2	14.6	1.53
Terry Rozier	76	75	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.23	-3	-7	4	14.4	12.1	2.30	15.4	14.6	0.82
P.J. Washington	73	74	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.11	-8	-2	-6	13.8	14.1	-0.38	14.7	16.8	-2.06
LaMelo Ball	83	83	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.16	-7	-3	-4	13.8	14.2	-0.37	15.4	14.3	1.14
Mason Plumlee	71	69	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.08	-10	0	-10	14.3	12.9	1.32	15.5	14.5	1.02
Cody Martin	50	47	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.03	-12	2	-14	13.0	14.7	-1.66	14.3	16.1	-1.76
Jalen McDaniels	58	55	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.03	-16	6	-22	14.5	13.0	1.46	15.4	15.0	0.38

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scottie Barnes	70	72	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.02	15	-5	20	14.8	16.4	-1.62	14.5	12.3	2.20
Pascal Siakam	75	77	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.16	6	4	2	15.2	15.3	-0.09	14.2	12.7	1.53
O.G. Anunoby	75	77	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.16	6	4	2	15.2	15.3	-0.09	14.2	12.7	1.53
Gary Trent Jr.	73	74	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.16	6	4	2	15.4	14.6	0.80	14.1	13.2	0.86
Fred VanVleet	68	70	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.16	5	5	0	15.3	15.2	0.10	14.2	13.2	1.00
Malachi Flynn	30	30	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.04	5	5	0	15.2	15.3	-0.10	13.2	14.2	-1.00
Precious Achiuwa	36	37	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.20	-1	11	-12	16.9	14.3	2.66	12.7	14.6	-1.90
Juancho Hernangomez	25	26	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.05	4	6	-2	14.6	15.4	-0.80	13.2	14.1	-0.86
Chris Boucher	23	23	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.04	4	6	-2	15.3	15.2	0.09	12.7	14.2	-1.53
Christian Koloko	15	14	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	10	-10	13.5	15.6	-2.09	11.9	14.2	-2.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.65,0.72,0.69,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.8,0.84,0.73,0.78,0.86,0.81,0.81,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.83,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.78,0.82,0.85,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.85,0.89,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.97,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 102, HOU 112	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.74,0.77,0.81,0.76,0.8,0.86,0.85,0.84,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.82,0.87,0.85,0.88,0.77,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.79,0.95,0.87,0.85,0.91,0.88,0.92,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.1%
MEM 72, ORL 89	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.8,0.77,0.75,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.78,0.8,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.79,0.75,0.64,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.94,0.93,0.98,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.9%
CHA 81, DAL 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.8,0.77,0.79,0.83,0.89,0.86,0.84,0.82,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.82,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.84,0.79,0.89,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.86,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1	94.8%