NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	114		Excitement	9.7 [99]		MVP	Amen Thompson (HOU): +65.8%
Boston Celtics	112		Comeback	15.7 [55]		LVP	Jrue Holiday (BOS): -16.2%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amen Thompson	0.66	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.17,0.32,0.66	0.20	0.47	0.01	19	72%	0.68	1	-0.02	8	75%	-0.02
Dillon Brooks	0.42	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.22,0.47,0.42	0.29	0.17	0.04	23	77%	0.53	1	-0.11	1	0%	-0.02
Alperen Sengun	0.12	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.09,-0.09,0.12	-0.02	0.15	0.00	10	46%	0.16	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.02
Aaron Holiday	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	62%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Fred VanVleet	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	9	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.02
Jae'Sean Tate	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tari Eason	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	10	30%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Green	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	13	36%	-0.09	1	-0.03	7	71%	0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jayson Tatum	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.41	0.41	0.02	0.38	-0.01	14	53%	0.48	3	-0.07	8	100%	0.07
Payton Pritchard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.24	0.24	0.17	0.06	-0.01	7	107%	0.24	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kristaps Porzingis	0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.15	0.07	0.02	8	94%	0.21	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Luke Kornet	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.10	0.07	0.01	9	90%	0.24	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Jaden Springer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	3	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Brown	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,0	-0.00	0.08	-0.05	0.03	23	54%	0.06	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.10
Neemias Queta	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	2	67%	0.05	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Jordan Walsh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Peterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Xavier Tillman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.14,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.04	-0.13	-0.00	9	44%	-0.07	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	1.8	28.3	14.7	31.3	2.3	35.5	138.7
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.1	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +43.0%

BOS -32.7%

HOU +14.5%

HOU +15.1%

HOU +10.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	BOS	NBA	HOU	BOS	NBA
this game	15.1	15.6	14.4	121.3	119.1	113.1
season	14.7	15.2		114.2	118.8
opponent	14.4	14.2		109.5	109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.1	14.8	14.7	15.7	15.1
BOS	15.5	15.8	14.1	17.0	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alperen Sengun	65	68	1.37	-0.87	2.23	0.87	17	-15	32	16.1	12.8	3.23	15.2	16.6	-1.44
Dillon Brooks	77	78	0.96	-0.46	1.43	0.49	16	-14	30	15.5	13.0	2.52	15.4	16.2	-0.81
Fred VanVleet	71	71	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.60	4	-2	6	15.5	13.8	1.70	15.1	16.9	-1.77
Amen Thompson	82	82	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.41	8	-6	14	15.1	14.7	0.36	15.5	16.0	-0.49
Jalen Green	60	61	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.49	0	2	-2	14.6	15.9	-1.28	15.7	15.3	0.46
Tari Eason	47	46	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	-0.08	-3	5	-8	14.8	15.3	-0.55	16.1	15.1	0.96
Aaron Holiday	30	29	-0.37	0.87	-1.23	-0.10	-9	11	-20	14.3	15.4	-1.17	16.0	15.4	0.62
Steven Adams	28	26	-0.44	0.94	-1.37	-0.11	-11	13	-24	13.1	15.9	-2.74	16.6	15.2	1.44
Jae'Sean Tate	10	9	-0.71	1.21	-1.92	-0.36	-12	14	-26	13.6	15.2	-1.64	15.8	15.6	0.22

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jaden Springer	14	14	0.38	-0.88	1.26	0.06	11	-13	24	16.9	15.3	1.51	14.1	15.2	-1.17
Neemias Queta	35	36	0.21	-0.71	0.92	0.21	0	-2	2	16.3	15.1	1.22	14.9	15.2	-0.28
Drew Peterson	6	5	0.19	-0.69	0.88	0.04	5	-7	12	15.2	15.6	-0.44	17.0	15.0	2.04
Jordan Walsh	9	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-2	2	18.7	15.2	3.42	10.3	15.6	-5.23
Kristaps Porzingis	52	51	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.26	3	-5	8	14.9	16.4	-1.54	15.5	14.5	0.97
Jayson Tatum	82	82	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.50	11	-13	24	15.6	15.3	0.28	15.1	14.8	0.26
Payton Pritchard	57	57	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.02	-7	5	-12	17.1	13.2	3.89	14.4	16.0	-1.59
Xavier Tillman	11	12	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.04	-8	6	-14	17.1	15.4	1.72	12.2	15.5	-3.23
Luke Kornet	67	67	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.63	-1	-1	0	15.0	17.0	-1.95	15.2	14.7	0.45
Jaylen Brown	75	75	-0.89	0.39	-1.28	-0.54	-12	10	-22	15.3	16.6	-1.26	15.7	12.5	3.18
Jrue Holiday	62	62	-1.00	0.50	-1.49	-0.64	-12	10	-22	14.2	18.2	-4.01	15.7	13.8	1.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.59,0.63,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.35,0.32,0.24,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.4,0.43,0.34,0.52,0.36,0.29,0.35,0.31,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.66,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.78,0.65,0.47,0.55,0.54,0.68,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 93, DEN 91	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.5,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.41,0.33,0.31,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.46,0.35,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.83,0.73,0.79,0.65,0.47,0.31,0.45,0.68,0.29,0	91.2%
NOH 87, HOU 82	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.34,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.34,0.52,0.56,0.7,0.78,0.71,0.83,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.75,0.72,0.76,0.42,0	89.7%
DET 88, MIA 82	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.37,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.27,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.29,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.73,0.79,0.71,0.66,0.45,0.45,0.68,0.27,0	89.2%