NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	106		Excitement	5.2 [787]		MVP	Zach LaVine (CHI): +15.8%
Golden State Warriors	131		Comeback	2.6 [649]		LVP	Buddy Hield (GSW): -9.7%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach LaVine	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.13	0.02	-0.00	13	63%	0.16	0	0.00	12	75%	-0.04
Ayo Dosunmu	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.11	-0.00	0.02	6	81%	0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Jalen Smith	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.00	-0.02	5	64%	0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Josh Giddey	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.01	-0.02	12	59%	0.12	3	-0.06	3	67%	0.00
Matas Buzelis	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.06	0.02	-0.07	6	23%	0.02	1	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jevon Carter	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	7	64%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Talen Horton-Tucker	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	3	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dalen Terry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julian Phillips	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.04	2	60%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	-0.06	0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	9	50%	-0.02	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Lonzo Ball	-0.06	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	10	45%	-0.00	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Williams	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	11	32%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gui Santos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.17	0.01	0.04	10	95%	0.18	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Moses Moody	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.14	0.02	0.02	10	80%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	-0.01	0.00	11	57%	0.09	1	-0.03	8	100%	0.05
Quinten Post	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.16	-0.01	0.11	12	80%	0.07	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Trayce Jackson-Davis	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.01	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.01	19	55%	0.12	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Brandin Podziemski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.00	0.02	6	83%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton II	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.03	-0.02	3	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevon Looney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.02	-0.05	7	29%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pat Spencer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lindy Waters III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	11	46%	-0.03	1	-0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Buddy Hield	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.03	-0.02	7	20%	-0.08	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	1.8	24.2	15.4	31.5	2.3	29.7	130.3
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +27.1%

GSW +6.2%

GSW +15.8%

CHI -1.2%

GSW +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	GSW	NBA	CHI	GSW	NBA
this game	13.6	15.5	14.4	108.2	131.0	113.0
season	13.2	14.5		112.4	112.9
opponent	14.5	14.5		110.5	114.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	12.5	14.1	14.8	13.0	13.6
GSW	14.6	15.9	15.2	16.3	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jevon Carter	11	12	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-26	27	13.4	13.6	-0.25	14.2	15.7	-1.41
Patrick Williams	59	58	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.10	1	-26	27	13.4	13.9	-0.52	14.9	16.3	-1.45
Dalen Terry	24	24	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.06	-6	-19	13	13.4	13.6	-0.22	14.3	15.9	-1.52
Talen Horton-Tucker	21	21	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.14	-9	-16	7	13.7	13.6	0.11	18.2	14.8	3.42
Josh Giddey	68	70	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.17	-12	-13	1	13.2	14.3	-1.08	16.0	14.4	1.56
Julian Phillips	27	28	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.29	-16	-9	-7	14.0	13.4	0.53	17.0	14.9	2.15
Jalen Smith	35	37	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.05	-10	-15	5	13.8	13.5	0.34	14.4	16.2	-1.81
Matas Buzelis	21	24	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.01	-9	-16	7	13.8	13.5	0.23	14.1	15.9	-1.80
Nikola Vucevic	63	63	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.18	-15	-10	-5	13.5	13.8	-0.34	16.2	14.4	1.81
Lonzo Ball	49	50	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.09	-6	-19	13	13.4	13.8	-0.39	14.3	16.6	-2.30
Zach LaVine	68	69	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.23	-18	-7	-11	13.6	13.6	-0.07	16.0	14.4	1.55
Ayo Dosunmu	44	44	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	0.24	-26	1	-27	14.4	12.9	1.50	15.5	15.4	0.10

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Moses Moody	53	52	0.57	-0.07	0.64	-0.40	33	-8	41	15.0	16.0	-1.04	13.7	13.4	0.28
Brandin Podziemski	45	41	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.12	22	3	19	14.6	16.3	-1.70	14.8	12.7	2.15
Dennis Schroder	42	40	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.27	27	-2	29	15.1	15.7	-0.60	14.6	12.9	1.76
Gui Santos	55	53	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.44	31	-6	37	16.5	14.3	2.14	13.4	13.8	-0.32
Quinten Post	42	40	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.08	13	12	1	14.3	16.4	-2.08	13.5	13.6	-0.14
Kevon Looney	36	36	0.18	0.32	-0.15	-0.32	17	8	9	18.3	13.9	4.40	13.4	13.7	-0.30
Andrew Wiggins	60	60	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.03	7	18	-11	15.3	15.8	-0.52	13.7	13.3	0.39
Buddy Hield	38	40	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.08	-2	27	-29	16.7	14.8	1.88	13.0	14.0	-1.03
Trayce Jackson-Davis	22	22	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.16	-5	30	-35	13.2	16.1	-2.96	14.0	13.4	0.60
Pat Spencer	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	30	-35	16.7	15.4	1.25	14.0	13.6	0.44
Lindy Waters III	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	26	-27	14.2	15.7	-1.41	13.4	13.6	-0.25
Stephen Curry	65	66	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	-0.19	4	21	-17	15.8	14.9	0.84	12.8	15.2	-2.38
Gary Payton II	24	24	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.26	-16	41	-57	14.9	15.7	-0.75	12.5	13.9	-1.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.28,0.32,0.3,0.31,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.51,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.77,0.87,0.95,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 93, LAL 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.32,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.45,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.69,0.73,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.1%
PHX 83, BOS 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.5,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.46,0.36,0.41,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.7,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.76,0.9,0.91,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.99,1,1	94.0%
CLE 85, TOR 103	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.36,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.35,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.8,0.9,0.85,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.8%