NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	121		Excitement	1.9 [481]		MVP	Spencer Dinwiddie (DAL): +30.5%
Oklahoma City Thunder	115		Comeback	2.5 [123]		LVP	Brandon Williams (DAL): -4.9%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Spencer Dinwiddie	0.30	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.26,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.31,0.31,0.3	0.21	0.11	0.01	14	90%	0.37	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Kyrie Irving	0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18	0.09	0.09	-0.01	17	63%	0.21	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.07
Daniel Gafford	0.08	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.03	-0.01	6	86%	0.15	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.05
Kessler Edwards	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	3	87%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Olivier-Maxence Prosper	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.01	6	67%	0.09	1	-0.04	9	56%	-0.04
Maxi Kleber	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Grimes	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0	-0.01	0.05	0.04	5	64%	0.08	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00
Markieff Morris	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Washington	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	16	52%	0.08	5	-0.12	10	80%	0.01
Brandon Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.00	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Williams	0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15	0.15	0.15	0.07	0.07	19	69%	0.22	3	-0.07	10	70%	-0.02
Alex Caruso	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.01	5	73%	0.09	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02
Branden Carlson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luguentz Dort	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	0.03	0.06	25	55%	0.10	3	-0.08	6	100%	0.04
Jaylin Williams	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	-0.04	0.01	8	71%	0.06	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Dillon Jones	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenrich Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.03	0.00	4	60%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Cason Wallace	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	-0.02	-0.06	10	35%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Wiggins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	11	37%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.5	29.6	14.6	37.0	1.8	40.2	151.9
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +38.2%

DAL +13.8%

DAL +15.3%

OKC -16.5%

OKC -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	OKC	NBA	DAL	OKC	NBA
this game	14.8	13.5	14.4	118.6	112.7	113.0
season	14.3	13.8		113.3	117.4
opponent	14.7	14.4		105.6	114.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	14.9	15.7	13.8	14.6	14.8
OKC	13.3	12.6	14.4	13.6	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
P.J. Washington	88	90	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.20	15	-9	24	14.0	19.4	-5.39	13.2	15.7	-2.59
Kyrie Irving	79	81	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.09	16	-10	26	15.5	12.1	3.41	13.9	11.9	1.96
Quentin Grimes	57	58	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.37	4	2	2	14.3	15.4	-1.12	13.2	13.8	-0.63
Spencer Dinwiddie	74	74	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.13	10	-4	14	14.8	14.6	0.18	13.4	13.5	-0.10
Maxi Kleber	46	44	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.25	2	4	-2	14.2	15.2	-0.98	11.6	14.9	-3.29
Markieff Morris	9	10	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.04	5	1	4	13.1	14.9	-1.82	12.5	13.6	-1.07
Daniel Gafford	52	53	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.12	1	5	-4	15.3	14.2	1.09	15.0	11.8	3.20
Olivier-Maxence Prosper	47	43	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	14	-22	14.8	14.7	0.10	13.1	13.7	-0.60
Kessler Edwards	47	46	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.19	-8	14	-22	15.8	13.9	1.84	14.2	12.9	1.30
Brandon Williams	18	19	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.02	-4	10	-14	13.8	15.0	-1.14	12.9	13.6	-0.63

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dillon Jones	26	26	0.29	-0.79	1.08	-0.09	13	-19	32	13.2	13.6	-0.36	15.8	14.4	1.39
Branden Carlson	6	8	0.13	-0.63	0.77	-0.04	6	-12	18	13.3	13.5	-0.14	18.0	14.5	3.50
Alex Caruso	47	47	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.22	9	-15	24	12.1	14.6	-2.55	13.8	15.6	-1.75
Kenrich Williams	44	44	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.27	8	-14	22	13.0	13.8	-0.77	14.8	14.8	-0.00
Jaylin Williams	56	54	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.18	-3	-3	0	14.8	11.8	2.94	14.0	15.7	-1.72
Aaron Wiggins	60	59	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.29	-4	-2	-2	13.1	13.9	-0.75	14.4	15.2	-0.79
Luguentz Dort	46	47	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.11	-19	13	-32	13.3	13.6	-0.32	16.1	13.6	2.47
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	85	84	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.30	-7	1	-8	13.4	13.5	-0.08	14.8	14.7	0.13
Jalen Williams	87	86	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.31	-11	5	-16	13.3	14.1	-0.79	14.3	17.4	-3.08
Cason Wallace	53	55	-0.68	0.18	-0.87	-0.04	-22	16	-38	14.5	12.3	2.18	15.4	14.1	1.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.51,0.52,0.43,0.42,0.33,0.29,0.16,0.12,0.22,0.18,0.22,0.13,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.31,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.07,0.01,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 113, BKN 99	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.58,0.58,0.69,0.67,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.5,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.23,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.14,0.24,0.41,0.29,0.28,0.1,0.03,0,0,0	93.2%
POR 93, ATL 85	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.5,0.41,0.39,0.45,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.63,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.42,0.3,0.21,0.2,0.24,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.14,0.23,0.26,0.35,0.2,0.14,0.03,0.01,0,0	93.2%
PHI 97, CLE 87	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.61,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.3,0.24,0.29,0.23,0.14,0.11,0.2,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.22,0.3,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.16,0.07,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	93.1%