NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	105		Excitement	9.6 [103]		MVP	Daniel Gafford (DAL): +35.7%
Charlotte Hornets	110		Comeback	4.0 [226]		LVP	P.J. Washington (DAL): -17.7%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Daniel Gafford	0.36	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.36,0.36	0.27	0.10	0.01	15	84%	0.36	0	0.00	7	100%	0.03
Kyrie Irving	0.12	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0.09,0.36,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.32,0.25,0.25,0.12	0.07	0.04	-0.00	24	58%	0.32	4	-0.20	9	89%	0.05
Olivier-Maxence Prosper	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	4	60%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Maxi Kleber	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kessler Edwards	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Dinwiddie	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	11	30%	-0.05	1	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Klay Thompson	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13	-0.05	-0.09	-0.00	5	54%	-0.04	3	-0.09	3	67%	-0.01
Naji Marshall	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16	-0.09	-0.07	-0.00	10	36%	-0.07	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.02
P.J. Washington	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.08,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.08	-0.12	-0.02	15	41%	-0.11	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Miles Bridges	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.09	0.11	-0.01	15	68%	0.27	3	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Nick Smith Jr.	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.10	0.09	0.01	13	73%	0.27	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Moussa Diabate	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.02	0.00	6	71%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Seth Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cody Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	8	56%	0.05	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Josh Okogie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.02	-0.00	8	31%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mark Williams	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,-0.02,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	14	41%	0.05	3	-0.13	4	75%	0.02
Josh Green	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	6	29%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
LaMelo Ball	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.11	-0.11	0.02	-0.12	0.01	21	50%	-0.05	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.03
Vasilije Micic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	4	0%	-0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	2.5	30.8	14.7	22.4	2.5	40.5	140.7
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.1	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +39.8%

DAL -26.8%

CHA +26.1%

CHA +9.6%

CHA +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	CHA	NBA	DAL	CHA	NBA
this game	14.3	14.7	14.4	107.1	108.9	113.1
season	14.3	15.0		113.3	106.2
opponent	14.2	14.4		115.2	114.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	13.4	16.1	12.5	15.1	14.3
CHA	14.3	14.6	16.1	13.7	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maxi Kleber	31	29	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.09	-2	-3	1	14.2	14.3	-0.14	14.4	14.8	-0.38
Olivier-Maxence Prosper	36	37	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.07	-2	-3	1	14.5	14.1	0.34	16.5	13.6	2.85
Kessler Edwards	18	19	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.11	2	-7	9	13.8	14.4	-0.58	15.6	14.5	1.17
Naji Marshall	66	66	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.08	-2	-3	1	14.0	14.7	-0.69	15.0	14.1	0.91
Klay Thompson	66	66	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.23	-4	-1	-3	14.5	13.8	0.66	13.5	16.8	-3.28
Kyrie Irving	83	85	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.25	-5	0	-5	14.0	15.7	-1.67	14.8	13.9	0.96
P.J. Washington	62	66	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.38	-2	-3	1	13.8	15.1	-1.35	14.9	14.3	0.56
Daniel Gafford	67	72	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.47	-3	-2	-1	14.3	14.2	0.14	14.8	14.4	0.38
Spencer Dinwiddie	61	65	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.40	-7	2	-9	15.1	12.8	2.32	13.8	16.2	-2.43

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LaMelo Ball	79	77	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.33	4	1	3	14.5	15.3	-0.75	14.2	14.3	-0.04
Mark Williams	66	63	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.37	1	4	-3	13.8	16.3	-2.50	14.7	13.4	1.29
Miles Bridges	71	68	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.37	-1	6	-7	14.2	15.9	-1.73	13.9	15.1	-1.17
Cody Martin	40	42	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.02	11	-6	17	14.2	15.0	-0.76	14.6	14.0	0.68
Josh Green	59	56	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.39	-4	9	-13	14.5	14.9	-0.42	14.0	14.5	-0.51
Josh Okogie	37	38	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.01	8	-3	11	15.0	14.5	0.54	14.0	14.4	-0.42
Nick Smith Jr.	64	62	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.28	-2	7	-9	14.8	14.5	0.35	14.5	13.7	0.80
Seth Curry	33	30	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.04	6	-1	7	15.6	14.2	1.33	14.0	14.4	-0.32
Vasilije Micic	22	21	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.03	1	4	-3	15.3	14.5	0.75	14.3	14.2	0.04
Moussa Diabate	34	33	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.03	1	4	-3	16.8	13.6	3.18	13.9	14.4	-0.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.27,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.5,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.33,0.29,0.46,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.58,0.3,0.24,0.4,0.69,0.72,0.91,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 116, MIN 119	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.41,0.53,0.66,0.63,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.41,0.29,0.33,0.53,0.78,0.78,0.96,1	90.7%
CHI 91, MIL 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.33,0.34,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.36,0.33,0.41,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.61,0.71,0.77,0.84,1	90.5%
BOS 111, SAC 116	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.43,0.37,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.32,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.38,0.42,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.42,0.36,0.32,0.22,0.35,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.46,0.66,0.57,0.67,0.53,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.74,0.55,0.78,0.73,1	90.2%