NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	124		Excitement	5.2 [793]		MVP	Rudy Gobert (MIN): +17.4%
Minnesota Timberwolves	117		Comeback	2.3 [728]		LVP	Nickeil Alexander-Walker (MIN): -13.4%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ty Jerome	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.13	0.04	0.05	7	83%	0.16	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Donovan Mitchell	0.11	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.15,0.18,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.00	-0.01	27	57%	0.14	3	-0.03	9	89%	0.01
Georges Niang	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.15	0.01	0.05	7	94%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jarrett Allen	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.01	-0.02	9	70%	0.13	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Darius Garland	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.15	0.02	0.07	19	63%	0.10	1	-0.00	8	100%	0.00
Dean Wade	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	8	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Max Strus	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	7	36%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Merrill	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caris LeVert	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	6	17%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.14	0.04	0.01	7	85%	0.17	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Jaden McDaniels	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.04	0.02	9	72%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julius Randle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	12	65%	0.14	3	-0.07	7	71%	0.00
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	-0.00	7	64%	0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Naz Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01	0.01	0.11	-0.02	0.08	12	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Ingles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Edwards	0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.07	-0.04	0.10	22	56%	-0.04	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.01
Rob Dillingham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.04	-0.00	0.11	10	60%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.02	-0.01	10	10%	-0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.3	25.9	14.7	25.8	1.7	41.3	135.1
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +32.2%

CLE +3.7%

CLE +13.6%

MIN -1.0%

CLE +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	MIN	NBA	CLE	MIN	NBA
this game	14.5	15.3	14.4	129.2	120.6	113.0
season	13.7	14.7		120.5	114.8
opponent	14.7	14.9		110.2	110.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.7	12.5	14.4	16.6	14.5
MIN	15.3	16.3	17.5	12.2	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarrett Allen	70	72	0.77	-0.27	1.03	0.30	16	-9	25	14.2	15.5	-1.37	15.6	14.5	1.10
Ty Jerome	40	42	0.67	-0.17	0.83	-0.16	28	-21	49	15.4	13.9	1.43	16.1	14.7	1.40
Donovan Mitchell	68	70	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.29	10	-3	13	13.9	16.2	-2.36	15.4	15.0	0.36
Max Strus	57	57	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.30	6	1	5	15.5	13.1	2.42	13.7	17.6	-3.87
Georges Niang	57	57	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.10	9	-2	11	16.0	12.4	3.68	14.3	16.7	-2.34
Sam Merrill	14	15	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.00	1	6	-5	12.8	14.8	-2.06	16.5	15.1	1.46
Darius Garland	67	66	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.41	-14	21	-35	14.5	14.6	-0.01	15.1	15.6	-0.51
Caris LeVert	50	50	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.00	-5	12	-17	13.9	15.3	-1.42	16.7	13.9	2.81
Dean Wade	57	56	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.24	-16	23	-39	13.8	15.6	-1.85	15.5	15.1	0.39

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Conley	47	47	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.13	-5	-2	-3	16.7	14.0	2.64	12.8	16.2	-3.44
Jaden McDaniels	75	76	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.43	14	-21	35	15.1	15.9	-0.79	14.8	13.6	1.19
Rudy Gobert	64	61	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.11	1	-8	9	16.4	13.2	3.21	13.8	15.8	-1.98
Rob Dillingham	37	36	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.35	3	-10	13	13.6	16.3	-2.67	15.9	13.7	2.11
Anthony Edwards	83	83	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.26	-2	-5	3	15.2	16.1	-0.90	14.6	14.2	0.45
Julius Randle	76	77	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.33	0	-7	7	15.3	15.3	0.02	14.7	13.7	1.00
Joe Ingles	18	17	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.06	-16	9	-25	15.7	15.2	0.45	13.9	14.7	-0.73
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	31	29	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.04	-15	8	-23	15.8	15.1	0.70	15.3	14.2	1.05
Naz Reid	54	54	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.15	-15	8	-23	14.0	16.9	-2.93	15.1	13.9	1.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.66,0.63,0.58,0.54,0.57,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.29,0.45,0.54,0.44,0.3,0.4,0.25,0.13,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 109, NYK 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.36,0.33,0.44,0.49,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.33,0.25,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.07,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.7%
DAL 117, DET 106	0.5,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.55,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.48,0.41,0.29,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.06,0.01,0.02,0.03,0,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.02,0,0	93.6%
POR 128, BKN 109	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.33,0.39,0.45,0.38,0.28,0.19,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	93.3%