NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	114		Excitement	8.3 [264]		MVP	Jordan Poole (WAS): +36.1%
Golden State Warriors	122		Comeback	3.3 [883]		LVP	Bilal Coulibaly (WAS): -28.2%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Poole	0.36	0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.17,0.24,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.36	0.24	0.13	0.01	25	68%	0.42	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.04
Kyle Kuzma	0.26	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.26,0.26	0.10	0.17	0.01	12	73%	0.32	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.02
Carlton Carrington	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.11	0.05	0.04	8	81%	0.17	2	-0.04	5	60%	-0.02
Alexandre Sarr	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	-0.02	10	55%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Corey Kispert	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.02	-0.00	8	62%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kyshawn George	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.03	0.00	6	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jonas Valanciunas	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	9	25%	-0.13	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Bilal Coulibaly	-0.28	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.16	-0.13	-0.01	8	22%	-0.10	4	-0.18	2	0%	-0.04

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Moses Moody	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.11	0.13	-0.00	7	76%	0.24	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.15	0.05	0.02	22	62%	0.18	1	-0.00	6	50%	-0.02
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.02	-0.00	22	57%	0.16	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Kevon Looney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.07	-0.01	8	56%	0.14	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Gary Payton II	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.04	-0.00	7	67%	0.11	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.02	0.02	14	62%	0.13	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.04
Draymond Green	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gui Santos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Buddy Hield	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	7	37%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Lindy Waters III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trayce Jackson-Davis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	5	43%	-0.00	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	2.4	26.4	14.5	28.4	2.4	39.6	141.0
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS -11.3%

GSW +18.1%

GSW +25.1%

GSW +17.0%

GSW +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	GSW	NBA	WAS	GSW	NBA
this game	13.8	15.4	14.4	116.3	123.2	113.0
season	14.0	14.5		105.3	112.9
opponent	14.5	14.1		110.5	117.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	13.7	13.2	15.4	12.9	13.8
GSW	16.9	16.8	13.4	14.8	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyshawn George	61	62	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.18	4	-12	16	14.0	13.4	0.61	15.7	15.0	0.67
Corey Kispert	63	63	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.24	6	-14	20	14.0	13.4	0.60	15.7	15.1	0.61
Alexandre Sarr	62	62	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.17	-2	-6	4	13.1	15.0	-1.96	15.7	14.9	0.80
Jonas Valanciunas	36	37	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.09	-6	-2	-4	15.0	13.1	1.96	14.9	15.7	-0.80
Bilal Coulibaly	69	68	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.13	-5	-3	-2	13.4	14.6	-1.14	16.0	14.2	1.77
Jordan Poole	72	73	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.27	-6	-2	-4	13.6	14.4	-0.87	15.9	14.2	1.65
Carlton Carrington	63	63	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.07	-14	6	-20	13.8	13.7	0.11	14.7	16.7	-2.05
Kyle Kuzma	64	67	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.15	-17	9	-26	13.9	13.5	0.44	14.7	17.1	-2.39

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Moses Moody	62	60	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.30	12	-4	16	14.5	17.1	-2.66	13.6	14.1	-0.48
Kevon Looney	49	50	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.21	13	-5	18	14.9	16.0	-1.04	13.6	14.0	-0.34
Gary Payton II	38	39	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.26	11	-3	14	15.7	15.3	0.47	13.8	13.8	-0.03
Stephen Curry	67	68	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.24	7	1	6	16.3	13.7	2.50	14.4	12.4	1.95
Andrew Wiggins	74	71	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.22	1	7	-6	15.3	15.8	-0.48	13.3	15.1	-1.88
Dennis Schroder	69	65	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.01	6	2	4	15.0	16.5	-1.51	13.6	14.2	-0.60
Lindy Waters III	22	22	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.04	5	3	2	15.5	15.4	0.13	13.5	13.9	-0.31
Gui Santos	15	17	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.03	2	6	-4	16.3	15.3	0.97	16.1	13.3	2.75
Draymond Green	7	6	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	8	-8	18.3	15.2	3.06	13.8	13.8	0.05
Trayce Jackson-Davis	49	47	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.05	-5	13	-18	16.2	14.7	1.46	14.2	13.4	0.82
Buddy Hield	43	45	-0.34	0.84	-1.18	0.01	-12	20	-32	15.3	15.6	-0.33	13.2	14.2	-1.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.32,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.44,0.48,0.45,0.36,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.58,0.51,0.43,0.39,0.58,0.59,0.65,0.53,0.76,0.89,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 107, MIA 117	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.23,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.36,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.7,0.53,0.4,0.47,0.75,0.93,1,1,1	92.1%
IND 78, DET 88	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.34,0.28,0.33,0.3,0.31,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.26,0.23,0.24,0.3,0.33,0.48,0.5,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.36,0.59,0.48,0.76,0.84,0.97,1,1	92.0%
IND 97, PHX 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.43,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.38,0.33,0.42,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.38,0.48,0.35,0.45,0.35,0.3,0.44,0.51,0.42,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.98,1	92.0%