NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	116		Excitement	6.3 [539]		MVP	Naz Reid (MIN): +30.1%
New York Knicks	99		Comeback	1.2 [526]		LVP	Julius Randle (MIN): -10.9%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Naz Reid	0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.21	0.10	0.01	11	96%	0.34	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Anthony Edwards	0.24	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.13,0.08,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.19	0.08	0.03	21	78%	0.39	6	-0.15	4	100%	0.01
Rudy Gobert	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.06	0.08	0.01	6	79%	0.15	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Jaden McDaniels	0.04	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.04	0.01	11	45%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	6	43%	0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.01
Mike Conley	0.03	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.08	-0.02	0.02	9	72%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rob Dillingham	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.00	6	75%	0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Clark	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luka Garza	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Minott	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julius Randle	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.03	0.01	6	50%	-0.02	4	-0.09	4	100%	0.02

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cameron Payne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.14,0.17,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.15	0.01	-0.00	10	90%	0.20	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
OG Anunoby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.10	0.06	0.01	10	69%	0.17	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.02
Tyler Kolek	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ariel Hukporti	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pacome Dadiet	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Brunson	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.06	23	51%	0.00	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.03
Miles McBride	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	6	33%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jericho Sims	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Mikal Bridges	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	0.03	17	44%	-0.05	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Precious Achiuwa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	10	30%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Hart	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	12	40%	-0.05	3	-0.05	6	83%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.3	1.8	24.0	14.7	28.1	2.5	34.5	126.8
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.1	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +87.1%

NYK -2.1%

NYK -7.4%

NYK -23.8%

NYK -3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	NYK	NBA	MIN	NYK	NBA
this game	14.7	16.4	14.4	123.4	108.8	113.1
season	14.7	15.2		115.4	117.0
opponent	14.2	14.6		112.9	110.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	17.0	13.8	15.7	12.8	14.7
NYK	16.4	16.2	17.8	15.4	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Edwards	71	71	0.61	-0.11	0.71	-0.10	24	-7	31	15.0	13.8	1.20	17.0	14.5	2.47
Julius Randle	66	65	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.08	20	-3	23	14.9	14.4	0.54	17.1	14.8	2.27
Mike Conley	47	46	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.01	16	1	15	15.3	14.1	1.17	16.8	16.1	0.67
Rudy Gobert	66	65	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.08	9	8	1	15.6	12.6	2.98	16.3	16.7	-0.32
Jaden McDaniels	65	65	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.02	12	5	7	15.1	13.9	1.26	16.5	16.2	0.38
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	55	52	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.07	4	13	-9	14.3	15.4	-1.16	15.8	17.3	-1.54
Naz Reid	48	46	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.12	1	16	-15	14.2	15.3	-1.07	16.3	16.6	-0.25
Jaylen Clark	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	15	-13	9.2	15.0	-5.73	11.3	16.6	-5.27
Luka Garza	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	15	-13	9.2	15.0	-5.73	11.3	16.6	-5.27
Rob Dillingham	28	25	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.05	-2	19	-21	14.4	14.9	-0.54	15.3	16.9	-1.58
Josh Minott	16	14	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.00	-3	20	-23	12.4	15.2	-2.77	16.6	16.4	0.17

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyler Kolek	3	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-15	13	11.3	16.6	-5.27	9.2	15.0	-5.73
Ariel Hukporti	3	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-15	13	11.3	16.6	-5.27	9.2	15.0	-5.73
Pacome Dadiet	3	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-15	13	11.3	16.6	-5.27	9.2	15.0	-5.73
Cameron Payne	24	25	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.08	2	-19	21	16.3	16.5	-0.13	13.5	15.2	-1.71
Miles McBride	38	40	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.09	1	-18	19	15.9	16.8	-0.83	14.1	15.2	-1.02
Jericho Sims	33	34	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.07	0	-17	17	17.4	15.9	1.51	16.6	13.7	2.86
Precious Achiuwa	68	70	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.10	-3	-14	11	16.0	17.8	-1.81	14.4	15.7	-1.36
Jalen Brunson	67	68	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.01	-16	-1	-15	16.4	16.4	0.07	15.5	12.7	2.77
OG Anunoby	69	73	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.01	-18	1	-19	16.4	16.4	0.09	15.3	12.7	2.60
Mikal Bridges	72	73	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	0.08	-21	4	-25	17.0	14.3	2.74	14.9	14.0	0.95
Josh Hart	75	75	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	0.07	-24	7	-31	16.7	15.1	1.66	14.4	16.2	-1.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.27,0.33,0.38,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.3,0.4,0.38,0.26,0.25,0.14,0.27,0.1,0.07,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 100, MIA 91	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.4,0.34,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.34,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.35,0.35,0.22,0.3,0.33,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.18,0.16,0.19,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0	94.4%
OKC 116, PHX 98	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.37,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.33,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.28,0.34,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.2%
SEA 103, PHX 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.35,0.29,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.4,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.44,0.34,0.26,0.29,0.24,0.15,0.17,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.04,0.03,0,0	94.1%