NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	127		Excitement	9.9 [79]		MVP	Malik Monk (SAC): +38.5%
Sacramento Kings	132		Comeback	1.5 [711]		LVP	Cam Whitmore (HOU): -7.6%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tari Eason	0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.31	0.10	0.22	0.00	10	64%	0.31	0	0.00	5	60%	0.02
Alperen Sengun	0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2	0.09	0.09	-0.03	15	57%	0.20	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.02
Amen Thompson	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.07	0.10	0.00	12	71%	0.30	3	-0.13	4	100%	0.03
Jalen Green	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.16,-0.05,0.11	0.08	0.05	0.02	20	62%	0.30	4	-0.19	5	80%	-0.01
Steven Adams	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	2	83%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Jeff Green	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.09	-0.01	0.03	6	77%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Dillon Brooks	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.15,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.06	0.07	-0.00	14	43%	0.11	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Holiday	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.08	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Cam Whitmore	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	9	50%	0.03	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Malik Monk	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.06,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.31,0.31,0.39	0.39	0.09	0.29	-0.00	19	60%	0.41	2	-0.03	5	80%	0.04
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.18,0.15,0.36,0.48,0.28	0.28	0.14	0.16	0.03	23	62%	0.32	2	-0.04	7	100%	0.05
Keegan Murray	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.15	0.04	0.02	10	86%	0.21	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
De'Aaron Fox	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,0.16	0.16	-0.02	0.23	0.05	17	49%	0.27	3	-0.10	5	100%	0.12
Keon Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.00	-0.00	3	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Huerter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.03	0.00	4	62%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Domantas Sabonis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	-0.04	-0.01	13	67%	0.20	3	-0.14	4	75%	0.00
Devin Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Lyles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	8	31%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.7	25.2	0.2	26.5	3.3	44.3	124.6
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.1	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU -31.4%

SAC +36.0%

SAC +22.8%

SAC +22.6%

HOU -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	SAC	NBA	HOU	SAC	NBA
this game	13.7	14.0	14.4	121.0	128.2	113.1
season	14.7	14.3		114.2	115.1
opponent	14.6	14.2		114.9	109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	17.0	13.3	13.1	11.9	13.7
SAC	13.0	15.5	13.0	14.5	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steven Adams	30	32	0.40	-0.90	1.29	-0.07	16	-21	37	14.4	13.5	0.95	13.7	14.1	-0.41
Cam Whitmore	48	48	0.15	-0.65	0.80	0.03	4	-9	13	14.2	13.3	0.85	14.1	13.8	0.29
Jeff Green	49	50	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.08	-4	-1	-3	14.4	13.1	1.36	13.5	14.4	-0.84
Aaron Holiday	31	31	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.06	-6	1	-7	13.3	13.9	-0.66	13.9	14.0	-0.10
Tari Eason	54	52	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.43	1	-6	7	13.0	14.5	-1.45	14.3	13.6	0.76
Dillon Brooks	74	72	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.42	-2	-3	1	13.1	15.3	-2.27	14.6	12.5	2.08
Jalen Green	74	73	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.41	-3	-2	-1	13.8	13.6	0.16	13.4	15.4	-1.97
Amen Thompson	90	86	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.32	-10	5	-15	14.2	11.0	3.18	13.9	14.4	-0.46
Alperen Sengun	75	71	-0.90	0.40	-1.29	-0.28	-21	16	-37	13.5	14.4	-0.95	14.1	13.7	0.41

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Domantas Sabonis	79	81	0.82	-0.32	1.15	0.35	16	-11	27	14.4	12.4	2.03	13.9	13.2	0.67
DeMar DeRozan	81	85	0.77	-0.27	1.03	0.42	12	-7	19	14.2	13.0	1.29	13.3	15.3	-2.01
Malik Monk	81	85	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.37	8	-3	11	14.0	13.9	0.08	13.3	15.7	-2.44
De'Aaron Fox	84	86	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.31	1	4	-3	14.3	12.4	1.96	13.7	13.7	-0.02
Keegan Murray	83	87	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.39	-3	8	-11	14.0	14.0	-0.04	13.8	13.4	0.40
Keon Ellis	25	24	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.04	3	2	1	12.2	14.5	-2.34	15.2	13.3	1.98
Kevin Huerter	19	17	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.01	-1	6	-7	12.9	14.2	-1.32	16.3	13.2	3.07
Trey Lyles	44	43	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.03	-4	9	-13	13.1	14.6	-1.46	13.1	14.2	-1.07
Devin Carter	19	17	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	-0.07	-7	12	-19	14.5	13.8	0.68	13.8	13.7	0.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.52,0.53,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.79,0.8,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.79,0.86,0.92,0.91,0.87,0.77,0.71,0.64,0.7,0.48,0.43,0.62,0.42,0.53,0.6,0.72,0.95,0.84,0.9,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 87, LAL 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.54,0.65,0.71,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.8,0.83,0.93,0.92,0.9,0.82,0.7,0.7,0.6,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.53,0.64,0.66,0.78,0.8,0.89,0.98,0.98,1	92.1%
WAS 92, ORL 101	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.62,0.61,0.58,0.51,0.46,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.71,0.72,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.99,1,1	91.9%
MIN 109, DAL 112	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.38,0.36,0.43,0.45,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.76,0.84,0.78,0.81,0.9,0.81,0.68,0.58,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.76,0.79,0.84,0.84,1	91.8%