NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	118		Excitement	9.1 [164]		MVP	Jalen Green (HOU): +48.5%
Houston Rockets	120		Comeback	21.2 [100]		LVP	Ja Morant (MEM): -27.9%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jaylen Wells	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.19,0.19	0.12	0.10	0.02	8	78%	0.19	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Desmond Bane	0.18	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.17	0.06	0.05	13	86%	0.25	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.00	11	61%	0.11	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.02
Brandon Clarke	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,0.07	-0.01	0.08	-0.00	5	50%	0.10	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jake LaRavia	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.09	-0.04	0.00	7	86%	0.12	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Scotty Pippen Jr.	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Santi Aldama	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Luke Kennard	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zach Edey	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ja Morant	-0.28	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.28	-0.05	-0.22	0.01	24	54%	0.17	7	-0.45	6	50%	-0.06

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Green	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.41,0.41,0.38,0.29,0.29,0.48	0.48	0.34	0.18	0.04	18	89%	0.70	3	-0.22	11	100%	0.09
Amen Thompson	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.15,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.19	0.19	-0.03	0.20	-0.03	15	51%	0.30	4	-0.11	7	57%	-0.01
Cam Whitmore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.13	0.01	-0.00	9	89%	0.16	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Fred VanVleet	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13	0.13	0.01	0.13	0.01	5	64%	0.17	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Aaron Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.04	-0.00	4	75%	0.10	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	2	40%	0.02	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
Jae'Sean Tate	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dillon Brooks	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	11	37%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Alperen Sengun	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.12,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.14	-0.07	0.04	17	42%	0.04	6	-0.29	6	50%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.3	30.0	14.8	29.9	1.7	38.8	139.9
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +21.4%

HOU +27.3%

HOU +17.5%

MEM -10.4%

MEM -5.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	HOU	NBA	MEM	HOU	NBA
this game	12.8	15.5	14.4	112.4	121.2	113.1
season	13.3	14.8		115.6	113.9
opponent	14.3	14.3		109.7	112.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	13.2	12.3	12.7	13.1	12.8
HOU	16.2	14.4	15.6	15.9	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zach Edey	54	49	0.41	-0.91	1.32	0.09	11	-13	24	12.2	13.5	-1.32	15.9	15.1	0.82
Luke Kennard	24	22	0.27	-0.77	1.04	-0.02	10	-12	22	12.1	13.0	-0.91	14.4	15.8	-1.38
Santi Aldama	39	37	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.03	4	-6	10	14.3	11.9	2.39	14.4	16.1	-1.68
Ja Morant	81	77	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.33	11	-13	24	12.8	12.8	-0.01	15.5	15.6	-0.14
Scotty Pippen Jr.	25	23	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.02	-3	1	-4	12.6	12.9	-0.30	15.6	15.4	0.16
Jake LaRavia	47	42	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.06	-10	8	-18	13.3	12.4	0.93	14.9	15.9	-0.97
Jaylen Wells	65	63	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.42	-3	1	-4	12.7	13.0	-0.32	15.9	14.7	1.24
Jaren Jackson Jr.	66	63	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.50	-3	1	-4	11.9	14.3	-2.39	15.9	14.8	1.02
Desmond Bane	73	70	-0.84	0.34	-1.17	-0.51	-11	9	-20	12.9	12.6	0.29	15.7	14.9	0.88
Brandon Clarke	51	49	-0.91	0.41	-1.32	-0.44	-16	14	-30	13.5	12.2	1.32	15.4	15.6	-0.19

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jalen Green	82	87	0.75	-0.25	0.99	0.51	8	-6	14	15.5	15.2	0.30	13.0	12.1	0.93
Amen Thompson	84	91	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.53	3	-1	4	15.8	13.7	2.06	12.8	12.9	-0.03
Fred VanVleet	74	79	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.51	-2	4	-6	15.4	15.8	-0.48	13.2	11.7	1.56
Alperen Sengun	66	69	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.26	6	-4	10	15.3	15.8	-0.41	12.8	12.8	0.04
Cam Whitmore	46	46	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.03	12	-10	22	15.2	15.7	-0.50	13.4	12.4	0.96
Steven Adams	27	30	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.11	3	-1	4	15.4	15.5	-0.06	12.2	13.1	-0.93
Aaron Holiday	20	21	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.02	3	-1	4	14.9	15.6	-0.73	11.7	13.1	-1.39
Dillon Brooks	80	86	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.26	-11	13	-24	15.6	14.8	0.86	12.7	13.5	-0.85
Jae'Sean Tate	16	16	-0.35	0.85	-1.20	0.00	-12	14	-26	15.4	15.5	-0.06	12.0	13.0	-0.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.31,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.28,0.33,0.34,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.32,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.3,0.19,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.19,0.45,0.55,0.46,0.67,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 103, CHA 106	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.37,0.25,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.26,0.28,0.31,0.32,0.21,0.26,0.3,0.25,0.2,0.12,0.18,0.19,0.28,0.55,0.45,0.55,0.72,1	90.9%
MEM 100, PHX 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.52,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.27,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.46,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.42,0.26,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.3,0.25,0.34,0.26,0.24,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.29,0.28,0.39,0.45,0.44,0.42,1	90.8%
PHI 87, ATL 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.43,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.45,0.32,0.35,0.27,0.33,0.28,0.3,0.15,0.18,0.2,0.23,0.13,0.29,0.33,0.46,0.71,0.75,0.58,1	90.4%