NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	114		Excitement	8.1 [289]		MVP	Tim Hardaway Jr. (DET): +31.5%
Detroit Pistons	123		Comeback	1.3 [801]		LVP	RJ Barrett (TOR): -35.8%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Shead	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.12	0.06	0.00	3	111%	0.17	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Bruce Brown	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.09	0.07	0.00	9	78%	0.22	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chris Boucher	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.16	0.01	0.02	6	117%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Immanuel Quickley	0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.12	0.06	0.04	-0.03	20	53%	0.16	2	-0.03	7	100%	0.04
Scottie Barnes	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.03	-0.02	14	47%	0.08	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.02
Kelly Olynyk	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.06	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ja'Kobe Walter	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gradey Dick	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	-0.07	-0.02	11	57%	0.01	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Jakob Poeltl	-0.17	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.07	-0.08	0.02	10	33%	-0.14	1	-0.03	4	0%	-0.10
RJ Barrett	-0.36	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36	-0.23	-0.14	-0.01	16	26%	-0.24	5	-0.12	6	33%	-0.12

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.26	0.07	0.02	13	93%	0.34	1	-0.03	3	67%	0.00
Malik Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.19,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.10	0.08	-0.00	10	75%	0.23	2	-0.05	4	50%	0.00
Tobias Harris	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.02	0.01	12	63%	0.13	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Simone Fontecchio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.04	-0.01	8	56%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Sasser	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	4	62%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Duren	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	0.01	0.04	4	83%	0.06	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.00
Cade Cunningham	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.07	0.06	-0.03	17	56%	0.18	8	-0.16	5	80%	0.02
Isaiah Stewart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Holland II	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	5	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ausar Thompson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	5	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.4	25.9	14.8	27.2	1.8	38.0	134.6
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +53.0%

DET +7.2%

TOR -5.3%

TOR -3.7%

TOR -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	DET	NBA	TOR	DET	NBA
this game	14.6	14.1	14.4	112.9	123.0	113.1
season	13.9	14.1		109.0	113.7
opponent	14.5	14.6		111.9	113.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	15.6	12.6	16.0	14.4	14.6
DET	12.1	14.1	13.5	17.0	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamal Shead	35	32	0.27	-0.77	1.04	-0.20	16	-25	41	14.4	14.7	-0.28	15.6	13.4	2.24
Ja'Kobe Walter	8	9	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-8	7	12.9	14.7	-1.86	14.2	14.1	0.17
Chris Boucher	38	39	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.19	4	-13	17	16.1	13.7	2.48	15.5	13.1	2.41
Kelly Olynyk	27	28	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.12	1	-10	11	16.3	14.0	2.34	16.1	13.3	2.83
Bruce Brown	36	36	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.37	2	-11	13	16.3	13.6	2.67	16.4	12.7	3.67
Gradey Dick	66	64	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.07	-9	0	-9	13.8	16.0	-2.21	12.9	16.1	-3.23
Scottie Barnes	80	79	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.13	-8	-1	-7	14.4	15.1	-0.65	13.9	14.8	-0.88
Jakob Poeltl	74	72	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.12	-10	1	-11	14.0	16.3	-2.34	13.3	16.1	-2.83
RJ Barrett	73	72	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.04	-17	8	-25	14.0	16.0	-1.96	13.4	15.7	-2.23
Immanuel Quickley	68	69	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.05	-23	14	-37	14.6	14.6	0.01	13.2	15.9	-2.70

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cade Cunningham	82	83	0.88	-0.38	1.26	0.20	23	-14	37	13.3	17.7	-4.45	13.8	18.3	-4.49
Tim Hardaway Jr.	71	71	0.80	-0.30	1.11	0.16	22	-13	35	13.0	16.8	-3.79	13.8	16.5	-2.77
Tobias Harris	73	75	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.14	12	-3	15	13.7	15.0	-1.32	14.7	14.4	0.27
Malik Beasley	55	56	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.48	-1	10	-11	14.5	13.6	0.89	14.3	14.9	-0.59
Jalen Duren	62	65	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.01	12	-3	15	12.6	16.5	-3.92	13.8	15.9	-2.11
Isaiah Stewart	38	36	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.25	-3	12	-15	16.5	12.6	3.92	15.9	13.8	2.11
Ausar Thompson	42	44	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.19	10	-1	11	13.6	14.4	-0.82	14.5	14.6	-0.07
Ronald Holland II	29	27	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.04	-6	15	-21	16.4	13.1	3.35	16.0	14.1	1.98
Simone Fontecchio	29	29	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.10	-8	17	-25	15.7	13.4	2.28	16.1	14.0	2.08
Marcus Sasser	19	19	-0.47	0.97	-1.43	0.00	-16	25	-41	16.8	13.4	3.36	17.4	13.9	3.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.62,0.5,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.65,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.66,0.48,0.63,0.77,0.64,0.81,0.54,0.69,0.79,0.97,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 63, CLE 73	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.71,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.95,0.99,1	92.9%
MIN 91, LAL 104	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.71,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.57,0.66,0.53,0.68,0.69,0.81,0.61,0.75,0.88,0.97,1,1	92.8%
NOH 87, DET 89	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.62,0.59,0.69,0.63,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.71,0.88,0.87,0.76,0.6,0.74,0.78,0.94,0.91,1	92.4%