NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	109		Excitement	8.4 [130]		MVP	Paolo Banchero (ORL): +36.1%
Orlando Magic	106		Comeback	2.8 [335]		LVP	Cole Anthony (ORL): -14.0%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.22,0.26,0.19,0.2,0.2	0.12	0.07	-0.02	29	60%	0.31	3	-0.11	10	30%	-0.16
Damian Lillard	0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.1,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.11,0.18	0.05	0.14	0.01	21	57%	0.38	4	-0.20	9	89%	0.08
Bobby Portis	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.05	0.00	9	61%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0.10	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1	0.01	0.07	-0.02	5	57%	0.09	1	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Taurean Prince	0.06	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	2	150%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Khris Middleton	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	10	55%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent Jr.	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	3	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andre Jackson Jr.	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
AJ Green	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paolo Banchero	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.29,0.36	0.36	0.14	0.18	-0.04	21	65%	0.41	3	-0.05	10	70%	-0.13
Anthony Black	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.06	-0.00	11	62%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Trevelin Queen	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jett Howard	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caleb Houstan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Isaac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	10	45%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Goga Bitadze	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Tristan da Silva	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.08	-0.08	0.03	-0.09	0.02	13	57%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Wendell Carter Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	4	17%	-0.08	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Cole Anthony	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14	-0.14	-0.02	-0.11	0.01	15	47%	-0.04	2	-0.10	8	62%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.5	26.3	14.8	26.1	1.7	46.1	142.5
league avg	25.7	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.2	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +43.1%

MIL +15.1%

ORL -2.6%

ORL -8.7%

MIL +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	ORL	NBA	MIL	ORL	NBA
this game	12.9	16.6	14.4	112.4	108.2	112.3
season	14.4	15.3		113.2	106.8
opponent	14.4	14.3		108.0	110.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	12.7	13.2	14.1	11.8	12.9
ORL	16.6	16.1	18.6	15.4	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damian Lillard	79	82	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.51	4	-1	5	13.3	11.3	1.93	16.4	17.7	-1.36
Gary Trent Jr.	51	50	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.40	5	-2	7	12.3	13.6	-1.33	16.0	17.2	-1.21
Bobby Portis	50	51	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.08	12	-9	21	12.9	13.0	-0.10	17.0	16.2	0.85
Khris Middleton	49	47	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.20	6	-3	9	11.3	14.6	-3.32	16.1	17.1	-0.93
Brook Lopez	70	71	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.46	-3	6	-9	13.3	12.0	1.31	16.3	17.3	-1.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	74	74	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.28	-3	6	-9	12.6	13.9	-1.32	16.6	16.7	-0.07
AJ Green	38	37	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.04	7	-4	11	11.9	13.5	-1.62	17.8	15.9	1.93
Taurean Prince	49	51	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.15	-6	9	-15	14.4	11.3	3.12	17.1	16.1	0.93
Andre Jackson Jr.	25	27	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	-0.00	-7	10	-17	14.8	12.3	2.50	16.7	16.6	0.18

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	25	24	0.16	-0.66	0.81	-0.08	8	-11	19	14.8	17.2	-2.38	13.6	12.7	0.90
Goga Bitadze	43	43	0.10	-0.60	0.69	-0.08	6	-9	15	17.3	16.1	1.23	14.7	11.5	3.22
Jett Howard	13	15	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.02	-2	-1	-1	20.4	16.0	4.35	10.6	13.3	-2.73
Jonathan Isaac	42	42	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.06	-6	3	-9	16.8	16.5	0.30	12.5	13.2	-0.68
Trevelin Queen	3	3	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.10	-1	-2	1	15.3	16.7	-1.32	13.3	12.9	0.44
Paolo Banchero	57	56	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.33	6	-9	15	15.1	18.8	-3.69	13.1	12.7	0.43
Caleb Houstan	56	54	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.17	-3	0	-3	17.6	15.2	2.40	14.3	11.2	3.13
Cole Anthony	71	71	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.51	3	-6	9	16.3	17.4	-1.05	13.2	12.1	1.13
Tristan da Silva	80	79	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.36	-3	0	-3	17.2	14.1	3.06	12.9	12.9	-0.05
Anthony Black	45	44	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.14	-14	11	-25	16.6	16.7	-0.10	11.2	14.3	-3.03
Wendell Carter Jr.	55	54	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.33	-9	6	-15	16.1	17.3	-1.23	11.5	14.7	-3.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.55,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.19,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.14,0.26,0
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 109, ORL 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.43,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.59,0.63,0.56,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.19,0.1,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.02,0	93.0%
NYK 100, TOR 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.56,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.47,0.53,0.37,0.41,0.19,0.17,0.19,0.11,0.04,0.08,0	92.7%
NOH 111, SAC 110	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.62,0.56,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.46,0.54,0.61,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.53,0.47,0.37,0.31,0.19,0.13,0.14,0.08,0.23,0.42,0	92.5%