NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	97		Excitement	8.5 [225]		MVP	Bam Adebayo (MIA): +17.8%
Utah Jazz	92		Comeback	2.3 [679]		LVP	Duncan Robinson (MIA): -21.9%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bam Adebayo	0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.01	0.16	-0.01	13	50%	0.20	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Jaime Jaquez Jr.	0.16	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.16	0.10	0.06	-0.00	11	77%	0.26	3	-0.10	4	75%	-0.01
Tyler Herro	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.12	0.07	0.04	16	62%	0.18	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.01
Kel'el Ware	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.05	-0.00	5	80%	0.11	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Terry Rozier	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.06	0.07	-0.02	13	35%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	7	43%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Haywood Highsmith	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	7	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Jovic	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	14	37%	-0.12	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Duncan Robinson	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.14	-0.08	-0.00	5	0%	-0.12	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Drew Eubanks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.01	0.09	-0.01	4	60%	0.12	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.03
Walker Kessler	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	0.01	5	75%	0.12	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Isaiah Collier	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.02	0.07	-0.00	5	67%	0.13	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.05,0.11,0.11,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.07	0.08	-0.01	12	36%	0.12	2	-0.10	1	100%	0.00
Micah Potter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lauri Markkanen	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.02	24	46%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Johnny Juzang	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.01	-0.03	9	28%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Collin Sexton	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05	-0.05	0.05	-0.08	0.03	18	57%	-0.01	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Cody Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.01	-0.06	0.00	3	62%	-0.01	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Kyle Filipowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	3	50%	0.02	2	-0.11	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.3	26.3	14.7	20.5	2.4	39.2	131.6
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.1	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +29.3%

UTA -22.4%

MIA +16.9%

MIA +22.7%

MIA +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	UTA	NBA	MIA	UTA	NBA
this game	14.4	15.1	14.4	98.0	95.8	113.1
season	14.9	14.8		111.9	109.6
opponent	13.7	14.6		119.0	111.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	15.8	13.9	13.2	14.8	14.4
UTA	13.5	14.9	15.0	17.4	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jaime Jaquez Jr.	74	72	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.45	3	2	1	14.5	14.2	0.27	15.5	14.0	1.47
Tyler Herro	75	73	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.45	1	4	-3	14.8	13.2	1.58	15.4	14.2	1.22
Bam Adebayo	58	58	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.46	0	5	-5	13.9	15.0	-1.10	15.6	14.4	1.20
Terry Rozier	68	66	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.44	-1	6	-7	14.0	15.2	-1.20	15.5	14.4	1.13
Nikola Jovic	56	55	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.07	11	-6	17	14.4	14.4	-0.03	14.5	16.0	-1.49
Duncan Robinson	38	35	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.05	9	-4	13	14.4	14.4	-0.02	15.6	14.9	0.71
Kel'el Ware	41	38	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.11	5	0	5	15.0	13.9	1.10	14.4	15.6	-1.20
Alec Burks	39	39	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	1	3	13.7	14.9	-1.22	13.8	16.1	-2.23
Haywood Highsmith	46	44	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.07	-7	12	-19	14.9	14.0	0.87	15.1	15.2	-0.02

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Johnny Juzang	48	52	0.18	-0.68	0.87	-0.05	8	-13	21	14.6	15.6	-1.00	14.2	14.6	-0.32
Patty Mills	37	37	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.04	-3	-2	-1	14.9	15.3	-0.41	13.6	14.9	-1.29
Drew Eubanks	37	37	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.04	-3	-2	-1	14.9	15.3	-0.41	13.6	14.9	-1.29
Isaiah Collier	67	69	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.27	0	-5	5	15.1	15.3	-0.24	14.6	13.9	0.72
Collin Sexton	56	59	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.39	4	-9	13	15.1	15.2	-0.14	14.8	13.8	1.01
Micah Potter	24	24	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.05	-8	3	-11	16.2	14.8	1.42	13.2	14.8	-1.52
Walker Kessler	59	62	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.32	-2	-3	1	15.3	14.9	0.41	14.9	13.6	1.29
Lauri Markkanen	59	62	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.32	-2	-3	1	15.3	14.9	0.41	14.9	13.6	1.29
Cody Williams	50	48	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.12	-18	13	-31	14.7	15.6	-0.85	13.5	15.3	-1.75
Kyle Filipowski	43	45	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.42	-1	-4	3	15.8	14.6	1.13	15.3	13.7	1.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.62,0.7,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.46,0.51,0.37,0.34,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.59,0.56,0.48,0.58,0.57,0.48,0.29,0.58,0.59,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.45,0.15,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 94, LAC 88	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.31,0.22,0.33,0.32,0.43,0.38,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.54,0.48,0.29,0.33,0.42,0.59,0.46,0.4,0.31,0.28,0.06,0.04,0	91.7%
SAS 98, SEA 96	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.54,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.43,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.33,0.32,0.37,0.38,0.48,0.6,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.31,0.64,0.31,0.17,0	90.8%
ORL 104, LAL 97	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.46,0.27,0.21,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.57,0.57,0.43,0.42,0.51,0.59,0.54,0.47,0.36,0.09,0.01,0	90.5%