NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	103		Excitement	7.8 [348]		MVP	Corey Kispert (WAS): +30.8%
Philadelphia 76ers	109		Comeback	2.9 [634]		LVP	Jonas Valanciunas (WAS): -14.3%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Kispert	0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.17,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.17	0.13	-0.01	14	74%	0.33	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Justin Champagnie	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	3	83%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Butler	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.02	0.15	-0.12	0.01	19	65%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Richaun Holmes	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.01	0.05	2	60%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.02
Kyshawn George	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.01	-0.03	6	25%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Kuzma	-0.05	0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.06,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	19	42%	-0.01	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Carlton Carrington	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	10	40%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bilal Coulibaly	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	8	28%	-0.07	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.04
Jonas Valanciunas	-0.14	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.13,-0.18,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.03	-0.00	13	52%	0.05	8	-0.20	1	100%	0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Guerschon Yabusele	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2	0.20	0.16	0.04	0.00	11	81%	0.21	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.19,0.19,0.17	0.17	0.12	0.07	0.01	8	79%	0.19	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.03
Tyrese Maxey	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,0.04,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.08	0.03	27	48%	0.17	1	-0.08	6	67%	0.05
Ricky Council IV	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	7	53%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Adem Bona	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	14	54%	0.08	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	6	46%	0.01	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Jeff Dowtin Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	37%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Justin Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caleb Martin	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.03	-0.09	0.00	7	57%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.9	1.8	27.4	15.3	24.6	2.5	34.4	135.9
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +19.5%

PHI +15.8%

WAS -5.0%

PHI +19.0%

PHI +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	PHI	NBA	WAS	PHI	NBA
this game	15.6	15.7	14.4	112.0	118.5	113.1
season	14.0	15.0		105.3	110.4
opponent	14.2	14.1		116.8	117.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	16.6	14.8	16.6	14.8	15.6
PHI	14.7	13.4	19.4	15.9	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyshawn George	52	51	0.20	-0.70	0.89	-0.30	17	-23	40	15.2	16.2	-0.94	17.8	13.0	4.80
Richaun Holmes	52	52	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.32	16	-22	38	14.5	17.1	-2.67	16.0	15.3	0.69
Justin Champagnie	32	32	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.23	12	-18	30	14.3	16.4	-2.09	16.6	15.1	1.47
Corey Kispert	71	71	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.23	-3	-3	0	14.9	18.2	-3.36	14.7	18.9	-4.14
Bilal Coulibaly	55	58	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.24	-21	15	-36	17.2	13.3	3.92	15.4	16.1	-0.77
Jonas Valanciunas	39	39	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	0.08	-18	12	-30	17.5	14.2	3.29	15.6	15.7	-0.08
Jared Butler	41	38	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.71	7	-13	20	14.0	17.0	-3.00	16.3	15.2	1.07
Carlton Carrington	59	59	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.09	-18	12	-30	16.2	14.6	1.57	14.9	16.9	-1.99
Kyle Kuzma	59	60	-0.70	0.20	-0.91	-0.06	-22	16	-38	16.6	14.0	2.56	14.8	17.3	-2.48

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kelly Oubre Jr.	71	72	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.25	12	-6	18	15.8	15.2	0.61	16.1	14.0	2.10
Guerschon Yabusele	64	64	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.12	16	-10	26	15.2	16.8	-1.67	16.3	14.0	2.31
Tyrese Maxey	73	73	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.17	13	-7	20	15.8	15.2	0.64	15.7	15.5	0.14
Caleb Martin	69	68	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.24	9	-3	12	15.5	16.0	-0.51	15.6	15.8	-0.20
Eric Gordon	58	59	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.09	12	-6	18	15.7	15.6	0.07	16.2	14.6	1.66
Justin Edwards	25	24	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.12	0	6	-6	15.1	15.9	-0.75	13.9	16.3	-2.39
Reggie Jackson	18	18	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.12	-5	11	-16	13.8	16.1	-2.27	14.4	15.9	-1.49
Jeff Dowtin Jr.	19	19	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.16	-7	13	-20	15.2	15.8	-0.64	15.5	15.7	-0.14
Adem Bona	28	28	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.21	-10	16	-26	16.8	15.2	1.67	14.0	16.3	-2.31
Ricky Council IV	35	35	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.16	-10	16	-26	16.9	14.9	2.02	15.6	15.6	-0.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.7,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.86,0.8,0.77,0.74,0.72,0.81,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.81,0.66,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 80, IND 82	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.63,0.76,0.76,0.72,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.75,0.83,0.83,0.87,0.78,0.84,0.79,0.87,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.61,0.37,0.22,0.42,1	91.5%
TOR 105, GSW 106	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.73,0.78,0.68,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.8,0.75,0.79,0.78,0.85,0.96,0.92,0.96,0.89,0.88,0.74,0.76,0.61,0.62,0.36,0.32,0.58,1	90.9%
MIN 99, NYK 103	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.7,0.69,0.68,0.61,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.8,0.76,0.84,0.78,0.83,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.77,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.62,0.54,0.45,0.31,1	90.4%