NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	110		Excitement	7.5 [363]		MVP	Coby White (CHI): +30.8%
Chicago Bulls	114		Comeback	28.9 [35]		LVP	Devin Vassell (SAS): -31.9%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.2,0.3,0.3,0.11,0.11	0.08	-0.01	-0.03	13	64%	0.12	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Julian Champagnie	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08	0.08	-0.00	0.00	9	67%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Sochan	0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	7	79%	0.06	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Keldon Johnson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	10	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04
Harrison Barnes	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.02	-0.00	8	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Tre Jones	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Castle	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	9	50%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Charles Bassey	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Victor Wembanyama	-0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.14,-0.2	-0.05	-0.16	-0.02	22	50%	-0.13	5	-0.07	2	50%	-0.03
Devin Vassell	-0.32	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.32	-0.11	-0.22	-0.01	14	39%	-0.04	4	-0.28	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Coby White	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.09,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.31	0.31	0.08	0.26	0.03	18	61%	0.37	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.03
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.05	-0.02	22	52%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Zach LaVine	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.24,0.14,0.13	0.13	0.15	0.01	0.02	25	61%	0.17	2	-0.04	7	86%	0.03
Julian Phillips	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	11	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Lonzo Ball	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.00	4	62%	0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dalen Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Matas Buzelis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.05	-0.12	0.03	7	75%	-0.02	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Josh Giddey	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.03	-0.01	12	25%	-0.10	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.6	2.4	25.5	15.3	26.4	1.8	39.1	132.0
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.1	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +18.4%

CHI +16.8%

SAS -3.6%

CHI +22.1%

SAS -3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	CHI	NBA	SAS	CHI	NBA
this game	14.7	13.0	14.4	104.8	110.7	113.1
season	14.2	13.2		113.0	112.4
opponent	14.5	14.5		114.2	115.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	13.5	14.8	14.6	15.8	14.7
CHI	15.3	13.4	11.6	11.7	13.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles Bassey	28	30	0.25	-0.75	1.00	0.19	2	-6	8	14.6	14.8	-0.18	12.6	13.1	-0.57
Stephon Castle	39	39	0.19	-0.69	0.88	0.10	3	-7	10	15.3	14.3	1.00	13.7	12.5	1.24
Tre Jones	25	25	0.11	-0.61	0.72	0.05	2	-6	8	15.4	14.5	0.91	15.0	12.3	2.73
Julian Champagnie	35	33	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.03	0	-4	4	15.0	14.5	0.49	13.5	12.7	0.76
Keldon Johnson	45	47	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.01	-1	-3	2	14.9	14.5	0.40	12.8	13.1	-0.38
Jeremy Sochan	59	57	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.37	-2	-2	0	14.4	15.1	-0.72	13.4	12.5	0.89
Devin Vassell	76	74	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.46	-5	1	-6	14.5	15.3	-0.84	12.4	14.3	-1.91
Chris Paul	74	72	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.42	-7	3	-10	14.6	15.0	-0.42	12.4	14.3	-1.89
Harrison Barnes	67	65	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.46	-6	2	-8	14.4	15.2	-0.75	12.5	13.8	-1.30
Victor Wembanyama	77	73	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	-0.58	-6	2	-8	14.8	14.6	0.18	13.1	12.6	0.57

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lonzo Ball	52	54	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.58	7	-3	10	11.9	14.0	-2.12	15.0	14.4	0.65
Zach LaVine	87	88	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.33	13	-9	22	12.5	15.7	-3.29	14.4	16.5	-2.18
Coby White	75	78	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.40	7	-3	10	13.3	12.1	1.24	15.0	13.8	1.20
Patrick Williams	73	76	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.34	6	-2	8	12.9	13.1	-0.23	15.0	14.0	0.97
Nikola Vucevic	76	76	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.38	3	1	2	12.3	14.7	-2.40	14.1	16.2	-2.12
Jalen Smith	27	29	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.00	1	3	-2	14.7	12.3	2.40	16.2	14.1	2.12
Julian Phillips	17	17	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.11	-4	8	-12	16.6	12.3	4.33	15.4	14.6	0.77
Dalen Terry	10	10	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.09	-8	12	-20	16.5	12.6	3.91	16.0	14.6	1.43
Matas Buzelis	28	28	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.09	-3	7	-10	12.0	13.3	-1.28	14.3	14.8	-0.52
Josh Giddey	70	69	-0.27	0.77	-1.05	-0.22	-2	6	-8	13.1	12.7	0.36	14.1	15.9	-1.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.38,0.43,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.27,0.32,0.3,0.21,0.18,0.19,0.17,0.22,0.2,0.17,0.18,0.28,0.14,0.12,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.18,0.2,0.12,0.15,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.18,0.11,0.15,0.2,0.27,0.28,0.19,0.15,0.32,0.37,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 93, MIA 95	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.35,0.31,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.22,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.17,0.2,0.21,0.15,0.18,0.12,0.11,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.17,0.36,0.15,0.43,0.42,1	92.5%
ATL 107, SAC 108	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.28,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.16,0.21,0.24,0.16,0.15,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.18,0.14,0.27,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.47,0.08,0.32,0.42,1	92.4%
CHI 96, IND 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.31,0.4,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.28,0.25,0.16,0.17,0.2,0.19,0.22,0.24,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.16,0.18,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.27,1	92.4%