NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	96		Excitement	5.8 [663]		MVP	Jalen Duren (DET): +16.8%
Detroit Pistons	105		Comeback	1.0 [865]		LVP	Ausar Thompson (DET): -19.5%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jett Howard	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.06	0.07	-0.01	4	75%	0.14	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0.11	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.17	-0.03	0.03	11	91%	0.15	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Wendell Carter Jr.	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.01	0.03	-0.04	15	47%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jalen Suggs	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	20	55%	0.08	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Cory Joseph	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caleb Houstan	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Harris	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	40%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Goga Bitadze	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	8	40%	-0.02	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Jonathan Isaac	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	5	33%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Tristan da Silva	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	6	0%	-0.10	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Cole Anthony	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	12	30%	-0.09	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Duren	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.14	0.04	0.01	10	90%	0.18	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.13	0.03	0.03	9	85%	0.14	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Jaden Ivey	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	-0.01	0.00	11	92%	0.20	5	-0.10	2	50%	-0.02
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.01	0.08	-0.03	11	44%	0.11	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.03
Isaiah Stewart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	58%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Cade Cunningham	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	14	63%	0.13	5	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01
Marcus Sasser	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Holland II	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Malik Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.17	-0.00	-0.07	7	12%	-0.03	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Ausar Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.16	-0.07	-0.03	9	30%	-0.04	5	-0.15	2	0%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.0	26.1	14.7	28.2	2.7	38.2	137.0
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +54.2%

DET +1.0%

DET +21.0%

ORL -26.9%

DET +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	DET	NBA	ORL	DET	NBA
this game	15.1	14.3	14.4	98.0	107.1	113.0
season	15.4	14.1		108.3	113.7
opponent	14.5	14.4		111.9	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	15.5	17.4	14.1	13.3	15.1
DET	12.8	11.9	14.1	18.6	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Harris	33	33	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.10	6	-15	21	14.3	15.6	-1.25	13.5	14.6	-1.12
Jonathan Isaac	33	32	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.11	3	-12	15	14.2	15.6	-1.43	13.1	14.8	-1.68
Caleb Houstan	32	32	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.20	6	-15	21	14.9	15.3	-0.38	13.0	14.9	-1.86
Cole Anthony	27	26	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.07	1	-10	11	16.1	14.8	1.30	14.3	14.2	0.07
Cory Joseph	13	12	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.01	-3	-6	3	17.5	14.8	2.69	12.2	14.5	-2.28
Jett Howard	29	29	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.17	-1	-8	7	13.1	16.0	-2.88	17.5	12.9	4.63
Goga Bitadze	48	50	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.03	-6	-3	-3	15.4	14.9	0.52	13.2	15.4	-2.15
Jalen Suggs	69	71	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.24	-5	-4	-1	14.8	15.9	-1.04	14.5	13.5	1.02
Tristan da Silva	47	46	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.12	-18	9	-27	16.4	14.0	2.44	12.6	15.7	-3.06
Wendell Carter Jr.	68	67	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.11	-11	2	-13	15.7	13.9	1.78	14.7	13.2	1.55
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	69	69	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.10	-17	8	-25	15.4	14.4	1.07	14.3	14.1	0.22

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tobias Harris	74	74	0.73	-0.23	0.97	0.18	19	-10	29	13.5	16.5	-3.03	14.9	16.0	-1.09
Jalen Duren	53	53	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.22	13	-4	17	14.5	14.0	0.55	15.4	14.8	0.53
Tim Hardaway Jr.	66	65	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.08	16	-7	23	14.7	13.3	1.35	15.6	14.2	1.39
Ausar Thompson	52	52	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.22	3	6	-3	13.6	15.0	-1.40	14.0	16.4	-2.33
Jaden Ivey	54	54	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.04	9	0	9	13.1	15.7	-2.55	16.4	13.6	2.84
Marcus Sasser	10	11	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.10	4	5	-1	21.6	13.4	8.18	16.4	15.0	1.39
Malik Beasley	45	47	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.17	-4	13	-17	14.2	14.3	-0.14	14.0	16.2	-2.26
Cade Cunningham	72	70	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.11	-3	12	-15	14.5	13.6	0.92	15.0	15.5	-0.51
Ronald Holland II	19	19	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.13	-8	17	-25	16.1	13.8	2.23	16.7	14.8	1.92
Isaiah Stewart	45	45	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.01	-4	13	-17	14.0	14.5	-0.55	14.8	15.4	-0.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.73,0.7,0.72,0.78,0.77,0.73,0.67,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.92,0.86,0.8,0.8,0.71,0.85,0.81,0.75,0.8,0.77,0.69,0.65,0.82,0.93,0.99,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 89, NYK 91	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.7,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.88,0.88,0.86,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.89,0.89,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.75,0.79,0.79,0.74,0.75,0.82,0.93,0.93,0.99,0.99,1	94.2%
DEN 114, BOS 119	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.7,0.78,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.89,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.85,0.77,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.85,0.83,0.72,0.83,0.71,0.78,0.93,0.96,1,1,1	94.1%
GSW 95, IND 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.6,0.66,0.73,0.69,0.74,0.74,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.8,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.84,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.76,0.67,0.81,0.93,1,1,1	94.0%