NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	117		Excitement	8.6 [85]		MVP	Luke Kennard (MEM): +25.5%
Phoenix Suns	112		Comeback	1.0 [200]		LVP	Devin Booker (PHX): -17.1%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luke Kennard	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.25,0.25,0.26	0.15	0.13	0.03	8	85%	0.26	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Desmond Bane	0.15	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.07,0.06,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15	0.07	0.08	-0.00	25	58%	0.26	4	-0.11	3	33%	-0.02
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.22,0.27,0.22,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	-0.04	-0.03	24	58%	0.25	5	-0.17	17	59%	-0.08
Jay Huff	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.00	7	57%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Konchar	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	7	47%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Cam Spencer	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Colin Castleton	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	2	17%	-0.05	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Jaylen Wells	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.09	-0.05	12	39%	-0.07	3	-0.05	4	75%	0.02
Scotty Pippen Jr.	-0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.12	-0.03	-0.02	5	17%	-0.07	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.12	0.07	0.02	6	100%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monte Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.04	-0.00	8	63%	0.11	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Ryan Dunn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.01	7	57%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.05	0.05	0.11	-0.01	0.05	19	64%	0.16	3	-0.11	7	71%	-0.02
Josh Okogie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.03	0.01	7	60%	0.02	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Damion Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bradley Beal	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	5	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Tyus Jones	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.00	-0.07	0.01	15	58%	0.08	5	-0.16	6	83%	0.03
Oso Ighodaro	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Devin Booker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.25,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.13	-0.09	-0.05	20	35%	-0.07	3	-0.10	6	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.1	1.8	27.3	15.4	25.4	2.3	43.3	145.6
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.3	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +19.9%

PHX -7.4%

MEM +28.0%

MEM +6.7%

MEM +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	PHX	NBA	MEM	PHX	NBA
this game	13.0	13.9	14.3	107.3	106.7	112.0
season	13.1	14.8		116.2	112.8
opponent	14.3	14.0		114.6	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	12.0	12.0	14.4	13.6	13.0
PHX	14.8	15.2	12.8	13.1	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Kennard	64	60	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.30	9	-4	13	13.5	12.3	1.20	13.3	14.8	-1.50
Jaylen Wells	74	69	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.29	8	-3	11	12.8	13.5	-0.69	13.7	14.5	-0.81
Jaren Jackson Jr.	87	85	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.26	8	-3	11	13.0	12.8	0.27	13.6	15.3	-1.68
Desmond Bane	87	84	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.32	2	3	-1	12.4	15.2	-2.75	13.5	15.9	-2.39
John Konchar	82	80	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.30	0	5	-5	12.9	13.4	-0.50	12.8	17.6	-4.80
Cam Spencer	34	33	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.02	9	-4	13	14.6	12.3	2.28	15.9	13.1	2.82
Colin Castleton	27	24	0.04	0.47	-0.43	0.06	-1	6	-7	14.4	12.5	1.83	15.5	13.5	2.07
Jay Huff	40	39	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.15	-4	9	-13	12.8	13.1	-0.34	15.9	12.8	3.19
Scotty Pippen Jr.	50	51	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.10	-6	11	-17	12.1	13.7	-1.61	14.6	13.3	1.37

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Oso Ighodaro	37	40	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.02	2	-7	9	13.2	14.4	-1.21	12.9	13.1	-0.18
Monte Morris	43	44	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.13	5	-10	15	14.6	13.5	1.16	13.0	13.0	0.09
Damion Lee	4	4	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.00	-4	-1	-3	13.0	14.0	-0.98	12.0	13.0	-1.03
Josh Okogie	56	58	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.20	0	-5	5	14.7	13.1	1.65	14.3	11.5	2.82
Bradley Beal	26	28	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.09	-10	5	-15	14.8	13.7	1.10	12.0	13.3	-1.33
Ryan Dunn	77	78	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.38	4	-9	13	14.0	13.7	0.36	13.4	11.9	1.52
Devin Booker	69	71	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.27	-1	-4	3	13.3	15.1	-1.82	12.7	13.6	-0.90
Kevin Durant	85	89	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.32	-4	-1	-3	13.2	17.0	-3.78	12.9	13.5	-0.62
Tyus Jones	69	72	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.21	-10	5	-15	13.6	14.6	-1.02	12.2	14.5	-2.31
Mason Plumlee	59	61	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.34	-7	2	-9	14.9	12.7	2.30	13.2	12.7	0.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.33,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.38,0.42,0.32,0.38,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.34,0.28,0.23,0.22,0.14,0.19,0.26,0.31,0.36,0.3,0.35,0.32,0.19,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.22,0.34,0.37,0.24,0.36,0.34,0.22,0.25,0.28,0.1,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 115, MIN 113	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.4,0.3,0.31,0.34,0.28,0.33,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.29,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.3,0.36,0.3,0.34,0.43,0.29,0.32,0.21,0.35,0.33,0.31,0.22,0.04,0.01,0	94.0%
WAS 109, CHI 103	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.37,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.26,0.26,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.25,0.24,0.2,0.22,0.28,0.19,0.18,0.3,0.38,0.32,0.26,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.07,0.02,0	93.4%
CHH 90, IND 87	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.27,0.31,0.27,0.23,0.24,0.3,0.32,0.27,0.35,0.32,0.27,0.29,0.21,0.23,0.14,0.16,0.11,0.18,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.16,0.17,0.28,0.24,0.3,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.25,0.28,0.09,0.04,0	92.9%