NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	132		Excitement	6.9 [476]		MVP	Michael Porter Jr. (DEN): +14.6%
Utah Jazz	121		Comeback	2.0 [832]		LVP	Keyonte George (UTA): -15.1%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Porter Jr.	0.15	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.08	0.06	-0.01	18	54%	0.15	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Nikola Jokic	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.04	0.07	-0.04	33	50%	0.19	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Russell Westbrook	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.16	0.02	0.04	7	100%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Christian Braun	0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.15	0.03	0.04	12	77%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Peyton Watson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.02	9	72%	0.11	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Murray	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.00	0.04	-0.02	17	53%	0.10	3	-0.04	4	100%	0.04
DeAndre Jordan	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hunter Tyson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julian Strawther	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	5	33%	-0.05	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaiah Collier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.03	0.00	4	89%	0.11	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Cody Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.05	0.00	3	87%	0.13	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Kyle Filipowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	3	71%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.03,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.15,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07	0.07	0.07	-0.02	-0.02	15	65%	0.20	4	-0.12	7	100%	0.04
Johnny Juzang	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.10	-0.01	0.02	9	70%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Walker Kessler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	-0.02	0.02	6	100%	0.12	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Brice Sensabaugh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.04	-0.00	5	50%	0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Lauri Markkanen	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.03	0.00	13	55%	0.07	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.01
Collin Sexton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	-0.00	0.04	0.01	0.05	19	54%	0.04	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Keyonte George	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.08	-0.05	0.02	9	37%	-0.05	3	-0.10	1	0%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.5	28.5	14.3	24.6	2.4	30.2	126.0
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA -2.6%

UTA -4.9%

DEN +26.9%

DEN +32.6%

UTA -2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	UTA	NBA	DEN	UTA	NBA
this game	13.3	15.4	14.4	130.7	121.0	113.0
season	14.2	14.8		117.1	109.6
opponent	13.7	14.5		119.0	114.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	13.5	13.2	12.7	13.8	13.3
UTA	15.9	16.3	15.6	13.9	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Russell Westbrook	72	70	0.75	-0.25	1.01	0.08	23	-12	35	12.2	16.0	-3.80	15.7	14.7	1.06
Nikola Jokic	84	82	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.16	20	-9	29	12.4	17.4	-4.92	15.3	15.9	-0.65
Christian Braun	78	76	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.14	20	-9	29	12.2	16.7	-4.51	15.7	14.4	1.36
Michael Porter Jr.	73	71	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.08	13	-2	15	13.1	13.7	-0.68	16.1	13.8	2.33
Peyton Watson	56	56	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.22	-2	13	-15	14.2	12.1	2.07	14.2	16.9	-2.64
Julian Strawther	37	37	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.00	5	6	-1	14.3	12.7	1.64	14.6	15.9	-1.34
Jamal Murray	75	76	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.14	-9	20	-29	14.1	10.8	3.25	15.4	15.3	0.10
Hunter Tyson	13	14	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.05	-6	17	-23	14.8	13.0	1.74	15.4	15.4	-0.06
DeAndre Jordan	17	18	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	0.01	-9	20	-29	17.4	12.4	4.92	15.9	15.3	0.65

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Johnny Juzang	46	47	0.22	-0.72	0.95	-0.16	13	-24	37	14.9	15.8	-0.92	14.8	11.9	2.82
Kyle Filipowski	20	19	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.06	4	-15	19	16.2	15.2	1.05	16.4	12.5	3.83
Brice Sensabaugh	37	37	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.09	0	-11	11	15.7	15.2	0.46	14.0	12.8	1.17
Cody Williams	36	35	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.00	-7	-4	-3	15.3	15.5	-0.16	13.3	13.2	0.09
Isaiah Collier	36	37	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.12	-5	-6	1	14.4	16.0	-1.55	14.1	12.8	1.30
Jordan Clarkson	58	58	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.13	-7	-4	-3	15.1	15.9	-0.81	13.4	13.1	0.29
Collin Sexton	60	60	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.02	-12	1	-13	16.0	14.5	1.48	12.6	14.2	-1.62
Keyonte George	59	60	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.15	-8	-3	-5	15.8	14.9	0.86	12.7	14.0	-1.25
Walker Kessler	80	82	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.11	-15	4	-19	15.2	16.2	-1.05	12.5	16.4	-3.83
Lauri Markkanen	68	70	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.03	-18	7	-25	15.6	14.9	0.69	12.3	15.5	-3.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.53,0.52,0.65,0.61,0.66,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.52,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.35,0.45,0.31,0.33,0.25,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.24,0.32,0.26,0.11,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 101, MEM 94	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.58,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.2,0.27,0.21,0.31,0.22,0.03,0,0,0,0	93.0%
LAC 93, CHI 80	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.71,0.66,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.19,0.26,0.12,0.14,0.23,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0	93.0%
SAS 100, DET 89	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.3,0.26,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.33,0.21,0.31,0.35,0.13,0.1,0.04,0.06,0,0	92.8%