NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	115		Excitement	9.9 [74]		MVP	Mark Williams (CHA): +37.6%
Charlotte Hornets	108		Comeback	3.2 [503]		LVP	Vasilije Micic (CHA): -30.2%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Torrey Craig	0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.16	0.15	0.00	10	82%	0.31	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Jalen Smith	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.04	0.07	-0.00	10	55%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Williams	0.09	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09	0.11	0.01	0.03	11	71%	0.12	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Nikola Vucevic	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,0.02,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.02,-0.08,-0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.02	14	52%	0.11	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.03
Lonzo Ball	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	44%	0.03	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.03
Coby White	0.01	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.08,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01	-0.08	0.07	-0.02	24	42%	0.14	3	-0.13	7	86%	0.02
Julian Phillips	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Dalen Terry	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	4	42%	0.00	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Matas Buzelis	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	6	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Talen Horton-Tucker	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Josh Giddey	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14	-0.09	-0.04	0.01	16	36%	-0.07	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.02

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mark Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.17,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.38	0.38	0.20	0.20	0.02	9	100%	0.41	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.03
Miles Bridges	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.28,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.16	0.16	-0.00	0.17	0.01	32	46%	0.29	3	-0.13	3	100%	0.01
Josh Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.02	-0.00	8	74%	0.21	2	-0.11	3	100%	0.03
DaQuan Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.00	4	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Moussa Diabate	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Seth Curry	0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.06	-0.04	0.03	13	65%	0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
KJ Simpson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	7	35%	-0.00	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Tidjane Salaun	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	6	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Richards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	2	33%	-0.01	2	-0.07	2	0%	-0.05
Isaiah Wong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.11	-0.07	-0.01	7	12%	-0.14	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.06
Vasilije Micic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.24,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3	-0.30	-0.14	-0.16	-0.00	13	23%	-0.17	2	-0.13	5	80%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.5	2.2	23.6	15.4	26.6	2.4	34.4	2.4	13.5	144.0
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.1	2.4	15.6	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +11.8%

CHA -7.9%

CHI +38.4%

CHI +11.9%

CHA -4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	CHA	NBA	CHI	CHA	NBA
this game	13.1	15.0	14.4	101.8	94.7	113.1
season	13.2	15.0		112.4	106.2
opponent	14.2	14.5		115.2	114.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CHI	11.8	11.2	13.3	15.3	14.8	13.1
CHA	14.3	17.6	14.4	13.5	15.2	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lonzo Ball	57	53	0.95	-0.45	1.40	0.22	25	-18	43	13.0	13.1	-0.11	15.5	14.4	1.10
Torrey Craig	46	45	0.74	-0.24	0.99	0.39	12	-5	17	14.5	12.0	2.48	14.4	15.3	-0.85
Talen Horton-Tucker	44	44	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.00	20	-13	33	11.8	13.8	-2.02	15.6	14.6	1.00
Jalen Smith	41	40	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.06	11	-4	15	13.0	13.1	-0.01	15.0	14.9	0.07
Dalen Terry	41	42	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.02	5	2	3	13.0	13.1	-0.16	15.2	14.8	0.45
Josh Giddey	64	67	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.28	-4	11	-15	13.1	13.0	0.17	15.0	14.9	0.11
Nikola Vucevic	72	74	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.23	-4	11	-15	13.1	13.0	0.01	14.9	15.0	-0.07
Coby White	86	89	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.19	-3	10	-13	13.2	12.7	0.46	14.7	16.0	-1.29
Matas Buzelis	22	23	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.04	3	4	-1	11.8	13.4	-1.59	15.3	14.9	0.44
Patrick Williams	67	67	-0.23	0.73	-0.95	0.04	-9	16	-25	13.3	12.7	0.57	15.0	14.9	0.18
Julian Phillips	25	26	-0.54	1.04	-1.57	0.08	-21	28	-49	12.8	13.1	-0.38	13.5	15.4	-1.89

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Green	69	70	0.31	-0.81	1.12	0.08	8	-15	23	15.2	14.5	0.70	13.1	13.0	0.12
Mark Williams	68	66	0.12	-0.62	0.75	-0.23	12	-19	31	14.7	15.3	-0.51	13.2	12.8	0.46
Vasilije Micic	74	75	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.12	5	-12	17	14.7	15.5	-0.80	13.3	12.5	0.87
Miles Bridges	75	75	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.16	2	-9	11	15.0	14.8	0.17	13.7	11.8	1.86
Seth Curry	71	72	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.10	-2	-5	3	15.1	14.7	0.49	12.8	13.4	-0.57
Moussa Diabate	18	18	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.01	-6	-1	-5	14.6	15.0	-0.48	15.6	12.6	2.98
Nick Richards	28	28	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.02	-13	6	-19	15.7	14.7	1.00	11.5	13.6	-2.11
Isaiah Wong	38	36	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.20	-6	-1	-5	15.2	14.9	0.30	12.7	13.2	-0.49
Tidjane Salaun	39	38	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.14	-9	2	-11	14.8	15.0	-0.17	11.8	13.7	-1.86
KJ Simpson	31	30	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.05	-13	6	-19	15.9	14.6	1.26	11.5	13.6	-2.07
DaQuan Jeffries	49	47	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.26	-6	-1	-5	13.9	15.7	-1.78	13.4	12.8	0.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.67,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.64,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.52,0.65,0.74,0.68,0.52,0.41,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.26,0.21,0.33,0.27,0.17,0.2,0.17,0.11,0.21,0.09,0.16,0.54,0.39,0.1,0.04,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 104, NOH 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.54,0.47,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.37,0.4,0.32,0.26,0.18,0.3,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.16,0.24,0.08,0.46,0.31,0.21,0.23,0.01,0	89.1%
CLE 95, GSW 93	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.58,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.45,0.36,0.34,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.26,0.29,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.24,0.19,0.21,0.15,0.03,0.07,0.02,0.14,0.17,0.54,0.45,0.1,0.31,0.27,0	88.6%
WAS 91, MIN 88	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.67,0.66,0.63,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.28,0.29,0.36,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.59,0.52,0.41,0.34,0.44,0.32,0.38,0.48,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.3,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.46,0.31,0.07,0.15,0.27,0	88.5%